Sebastian Korda is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Tokyo. The American has defeated Marcos Giron 4-6 6-3 7-64 to reach the 2nd round where he will face Sho Shimabukuro.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Sebastian Korda’s projected draw includinghispresumable opposition in Japan Open Tennis Championships. The American has a negative record (2-6) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Marcos Giron (48) – 4-6 6-3 7-64
R2 – Sho Shimabukuro (273) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Taylor Fritz (5) – H2H 1-2
or Nuno Borges (51) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Holger Rune (11) – H2H 0-0
or Luciano Darderi (30) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (1) – H2H 1-4
or Casper Ruud (12) – H2H 0-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R2 – Sho Shimabukuro’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

34 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
147
High
135
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-23 29-19 0-0 2-1 3-3 0-0
2024 30-28 21-17 1-3 3-5 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 31-20 28-18 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2020 4-5 4-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-12 31-8 4-2 2-1 0-0 1-1
2018 20-10 16-7 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-1

Sho Shimabukuro has a 20-18 win-loss record in 2025, 17-15 on hard. Regarding the last 10 years, the Japanese has a 195-118 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Shimabukuro won 8 of his last 10 matches.

Shimabukuro’s most significant result of the current year was reaching the final the Zhangjiagang Challenger.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Sho didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Sebastian Korda vs. Sho Shimabukuro

There is no head to head record between Sebastian Korda and Sho Shimabukuro since this would be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

1/4 – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Taylor Fritz

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 46-17 record in 2025, 27-10 on hard. As for the last 12 years, Fritz has a 263-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Fritz won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the current year was conquering the competition in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4), in Stuttgart where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0), and in Eastbourne where he beat Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Fritz was defeated by Arthur Fils in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 6-3.

H2H Sebastian Korda vs. Taylor Fritz

This would be the 4th time that Sebastian Korda and Taylor Fritz face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), but Korda leads 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Sebastian Korda may compete against Nuno Borges. Their H2H is 1-0 for Sebastian Korda

.

1/2 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

36 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 30-19 record in 2025, 16-8 on hard. Talking about the last 8 years, the Dane has a 67-50 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Rune won 6 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the year was conquering the tournament in Barcelona where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Holger surrendered to Arthur Fils in the semifinal 7-6(8) 7-6(10).

H2H Sebastian Korda vs. Holger Rune

There is no head to head record between Sebastian Korda and Holger Rune since this would be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Possibly, Sebastian Korda may square off with Luciano Darderi. Their head to head is 1-0 for Sebastian Korda.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 63-7 win-loss record in 2025, 24-4 on hard. Talking about the last 8 years, Carlos has a 121-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the tournament in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, in Cincinnati where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret., and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Alcaraz didn’t play in this event.

H2H Sebastian Korda vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This would be the 6th time that Sebastian Korda and Carlos Alcaraz play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Sebastian Korda may face Casper Ruud. Their H2H is 1-0 for Casper Ruud.