Ignacio Buse and Thiago Moura Monteiro will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Lisbon Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on ESTADIO CIF. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ignacio Buse who should win in 3 sets.
Ignacio Buse -> 1.46
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Ignacio Buse vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro
This will be the 2nd time that Ignacio Buse and Thiago Moura Monteiro play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Moura Monteiro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Moura Monteiro won 7-5 7-6(4) in the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger back in March 2025.
Ignacio Buse
41 - 22win/loss
105
105
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-28 | 6-5 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-28 | 3-3 | 44-24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-19 | 7-3 | 28-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-8 | 4-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 116, Ignacio reached the 2nd round after beating Francisco Rocha 6-3 6-0.
In the 1st round, The Peruvian had a good straight sets win against Rocha (6-3 6-0). During the match, Buse scored 67 points vs Rocha’s 40. Buse was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Buse struck 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Ignacio Buse was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (23/32) of his 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Buse broke Rocha 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Buse has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (138-85). 33-14 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Buse has a compiled117-68 record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Guy Den Ouden in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Seville Challenger where he overcame Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
Buse has an aggregate 40-22 win-loss record in 2025, 33-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Buse has never competed in this tournament before.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
25 - 27win/loss
186
61
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-30 | 3-4 | 23-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-27 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 177, the Brazilian reached the 2nd round after beating Marco Cecchinato 7-6(1) 7-6(2).
In the 1st round, Moura Monteiro had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (7-61 7-62). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 86 points vs Cecchinato’s 72. Thiago was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Moura Monteiro fired 3 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Thiago Moura Monteiro was quite effective on serve to win 80% (35/44) of his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Thiago broke Cecchinato once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).
Moura Monteiro’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Santiago Challenger and the Asuncion Challenger.
The Brazilian has a compiled 25-26 win-loss record in 2025, 22-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Buse | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 26 |
| Pts | 67-40 | 86-72 |
| Total Points | 107 | 158 |
| Winners | 23 | 35 |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% |
Both Buse and Moura Monteiro played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Buse and Moura Monteiro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Buse played 11 games less than Moura Monteiro. Ignacio scored 23 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Moura Monteiro recorded 35 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Buse | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 32/46 | 44/72 |
| %1st in | 70% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 35/44 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 20/28 |
| %2nd pts | 79% | 71% |
Buse bagged 2 aces . Moura Monteiro fired 3 aces . Buse won 72% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 79% of the points. On the other side, Moura Monteiro won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Buse | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 1 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 1/9 |
| % Converted | 36% | 11% |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Ignacio broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Peruvian very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Thiago broke his opponent once with a 11% conversion rate. Thiago conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Buse | |||
| R1 Rocha | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 67-40 | 67-40 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 32/46 | 32/46 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 23/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 11/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 79% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moura Monteiro | |||
| R1 Cecchinato | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 86-72 | 86-72 | |
| Total points | 158 | 158 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 44/72 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/44 | 35/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/28 | 20/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/9 | 1/9 | |
| Converted % | 11% | 11% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Lisbon Challenger
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Guy Den OudenDen Ouden (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Jaime FariaFaria (6-1 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Henrique RochaRocha – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (7-5 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Tiago PereiraPereira (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Stefano TravagliaTravaglia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – (0-1) – H2H and prediction