Alexander Bublik and Adrian Mannarino will square off in the 1st round of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on MOON. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.45
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.75

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Adrian Mannarino face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Bublik won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Doha back in 2020.

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

42 - 19win/loss

Hard
12-9
I Hard
2-3
Clay
23-6
Grass
5-1
Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0

Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Alexander will start his run in Beijing after he won the title in Hangzhou after beating 7-6(4) 7-6(4) Royer in the final.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 42-19 win-loss record in 2025, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he defeated Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Hangzhou where he beat Valentin Royer in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).

Talking about his overall career, Bublik has an overall 393-282 record. He has a positive 145-114 record on hard.

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.

Beijing
Bublik's Record

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

33 - 32win/loss

Hard
14-14
I Hard
0-3
Clay
5-9
Grass
14-6
Rank
69
High
17
LLLLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-37 16-16 5-9 0-6 14-6 0-0
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 60, Adrian got to the 1st

round after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-1 and Jesper De Jong 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-4 6-4). During the match Mannarino scored 70 points vs De Jong’s 59. Adrian was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Mannarino blasted 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke De Jong 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mannarino started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Adrian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Newport Challenger.

Mannarino has an overall 33-32 win-loss record in 2025, 14-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016 and 2024. See his history.

Beijing
Mannarino's Record

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw