Tomas Machac and Sho Shimabukuro will face off in the 1st round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on KINOSHITA GROUP SHOW COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 2 sets.
Tomas Machac -> 1.36
Sho Shimabukuro -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Sho Shimabukuro
There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Sho Shimabukuro since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Tomas Machac
22 - 15win/loss
32
20
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-19 | 15-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 22, Tomas will start his run in Tokyo after he played his last match at the Us Open where he lost 6-4 6-3 6-3 to Fritz in the 4th round on the 31st of August.
The Czech has an overall 22-15 win-loss record in 2025, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the year was winning the title in Acapulco where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.
Talking about his overall career, Machac has an overall 279-146 record. He has a positive 86-40 record on hard.
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history.
Sho Shimabukuro
19 - 18win/loss
146
135
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-23 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 273, Shimabukuro got to the 1st round after beating Mariano Navone 6-2 6-3 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-4 6-3). During the match Shimabukuro scored 61 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 49. Sho was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimabukuro scored 2 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sho Shimabukuro was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Manuel Cerundolo twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shimabukuro started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he defeated Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5.
Shimabukuro has a compiled 19-18 win-loss record in 2025, 16-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (2-6 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy (7-67 4-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Sebastian BaezBaez (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction