Adrian Mannarino and Jesper De Jong will play each other in the qualifications of the China Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 3 sets.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.56
Jesper De Jong -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Jesper De Jong
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Jesper De Jong since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
32 - 32win/loss
69
17
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-37 | 16-16 | 5-9 | 0-6 | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, the French player reached the qualifications after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Adrian had a good straight sets win against Vavassori (6-3 6-1). During the match, Mannarino scored 57 points vs Vavassori’s 38. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mannarino made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Adrian Mannarino was very efficient on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Vavassori 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Mannarino has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 51% of his matches (299-290). 13-14 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mannarino has an aggregate 132-125 match record in the last years on hard.
Adrian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Newport Challenger.
The French player has a compiled 32-32 win-loss record in 2025, 13-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Jesper De Jong
32 - 26win/loss
76
76
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-31 | 8-7 | 20-13 | 5-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-25 | 12-5 | 33-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-23 | 19-4 | 30-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-28 | 12-7 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-29 | 2-6 | 27-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79 (career-high), De got to the qualifications after beating Tristan Schoolkate 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the qualifications against Schoolkate, De recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4). During the match De scored 111 points vs Schoolkate’s 103. The Dutch was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, De recorded 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Jesper De Jong was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (43/56) of his 1st serve and 59% (24/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Dutch broke Schoolkate 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
De’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Murcia Challenger and Bastad.
Jesper has a composed 32-26 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Jesper has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | De |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 33 |
| Pts | 57-38 | 111-103 |
| Total Points | 95 | 214 |
| Winners | 22 | 43 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Both Mannarino and De played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Jesper De Jong dropped 1 set while Adrian Mannarino hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than De (2 vs 3). Therefore, Mannarino played 17 games less than De. Mannarino scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Dutch recorded 43 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | De |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 8 |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 56/97 |
| %1st in | 61% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 43/56 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 24/41 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 59% |
Mannarino scored 2 aces . De fired 8 aces . Mannarino won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, De won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | De |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 67% | 38% |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Adrian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mannarino was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. De broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. De conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | |||
| Q1 Vavassori | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-38 | 57-38 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 28/46 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 22/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| De | |||
| Q1 Schoolkate | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 111-103 | 111-103 | |
| Total points | 214 | 214 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 56/97 | 56/97 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 43/56 | 43/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/41 | 24/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Jesper De JongDe Jong (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – David GoffinGoffin (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marin CilicCilic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-0) – H2H and prediction