Jan Choinski and Henrique Rocha will play each other in the 2nd round of the Lisbon Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on ESTADIO CIF. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan Choinski who should win in 3 sets.
Jan Choinski -> 1.82
Henrique Rocha -> 1.909
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jan Choinski vs. Henrique Rocha
This will be the 2nd time that Jan Choinski and Henrique Rocha square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Choinski (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Choinski won 6-3 7-5 in the 1st round in the Prague Challenger back in May 2025.
Jan Choinski
30 - 22win/loss
128
126
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-26 | 0-4 | 30-14 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 161, Choinski got to the 2nd round after beating Andrea Pellegrino 6-2 3-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Brit defeated Pellegrino (6-2 3-6 6-1). During the match, Choinski scored 84 points vs Pellegrino’s 66. Jan was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Choinski struck 8 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 65% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Jan broke Pellegrino 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Choinski has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (327-228). 24-13 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Choinski has a composed 194-111 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Troyes Challenger where he overcame Calvin Hemery in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 and the Bunschoten Challenger where he defeated Kimmer Coppejans in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger where he beat Vit Kopriva in the final 7-5 6-4.
Jan has a composed 30-22 win-loss record in 2025, 24-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Jan has never competed in this tournament before.
Henrique Rocha
23 - 23win/loss
155
149
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-28 | 16-9 | 15-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-33 | 10-7 | 27-22 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-27 | 47-11 | 17-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 171, Rocha got to the 2nd round after beating Pedro Araujo 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Rocha had a good straight sets win against Araujo (6-4 6-3). During the match Rocha scored 71 points vs Araujo’s 59. Rocha was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Rocha scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 6 double faults. Henrique Rocha lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rocha put 54% of his first serves in, winning 76% (22/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (9/25) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Araujo 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
The Portuguese’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
The Portuguese has an aggregate 23-23 win-loss record in 2025, 11-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Choinski | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 19 |
| Pts | 84-66 | 71-59 |
| Total Points | 150 | 130 |
| Winners | 39 | 22 |
| %Winners | 46% | 31% |
Both Choinski and Rocha played 1 match. At the moment, Jan Choinski dropped 1 set while Henrique Rocha hasn’t lost a set so far. Choinski has played 1 set more than Rocha (3 vs 2). Therefore, Choinski played 5 games more than Rocha. The Brit scored 39 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Henrique made 22 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Choinski | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 1 |
| 1st in | 50/77 | 29/54 |
| %1st in | 65% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 39/50 | 22/29 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 9/25 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 36% |
Choinski struck 8 aces . Rocha fired 1 ace . Choinski won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Rocha won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Choinski | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 57% | 46% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Brit broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Jan dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Rocha broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Choinski | |||
| R1 Pellegrino | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 84-66 | 84-66 | |
| Total points | 150 | 150 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 50/77 | 50/77 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/50 | 39/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 13/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rocha | |||
| R1 Araujo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 71-59 | 71-59 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/54 | 29/54 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 22/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/25 | 9/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Lisbon Challenger
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Christoph NegrituNegritu (6-4 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (7-61 7-62) – See score progression
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Matej DodigDodig (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Elias YmerYmer (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Pedro AraujoAraujo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Jerome KymKym (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Tiago PereiraPereira – Elmer MollerMoller (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Matej DodigDodig (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Christoph NegrituNegritu (6-4 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (7-6(1) 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Alexander RitschardRitschard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco RochaRocha – (0-0) – H2H and prediction