Daniel Merida Aguilar and Tiago Pereira will face off in the 2nd round of the Lisbon Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 10:00 am on ESTADIO CIF. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 3 sets.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.5
Tiago Pereira -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Tiago Pereira
There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Tiago Pereira since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
43 - 18win/loss
172
163
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-23 | 15-5 | 32-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-33 | 17-9 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-31 | 16-13 | 20-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 8-9 | 21-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-14 | 1-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 173, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after beating Jerome Kym 6-2 4-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard defeated Kym (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 109 points vs Kym’s 94. Daniel was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Merida Aguilar struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve 4 times. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 73% of his first serves in, winning 70% (40/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Kym 6 times after converting 33% of his break points (6/18).
Merida Aguilar has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (178-125). 30-12 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Merida Aguilar has an aggregate123-81 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he defeated Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.
Daniel has an overall 42-18 win-loss record in 2025, 30-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.
Tiago Pereira
46 - 31win/loss
260
260
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 54-40 | 30-15 | 20-22 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-36 | 42-27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 57-43 | 53-37 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-13 | 20-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 282 (career-high), Tiago reached the 2nd round after beating Elmer Moller 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round, Tiago had a good straight sets win against Moller (7-5 7-5). During the match Pereira scored 86 points vs Moller’s 75. Tiago was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Pereira recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tiago Pereira lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pereira put 46% of his first serves in, winning 68% (28/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (20/48) on the 2nd serve. Tiago broke Moller 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Pereira’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Faro,M25 Vale do Lobo,M25 Bol,M25 Monastir and M25 Figueira da Foz.
Tiago has a composed 46-30 win-loss record in 2025, 19-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023 and 2024. See his history
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Merida Aguilar | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 24 |
| Pts | 109-94 | 86-75 |
| Total Points | 203 | 161 |
| Winners | 40 | 28 |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% |
Both Merida Aguilar and Pereira played 1 match. At the moment, Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped 1 set while Tiago Pereira hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Merida Aguilar has played 1 set more than Pereira (3 vs 2). Therefore, Merida Aguilar played 4 games more than Pereira. Merida Aguilar scored 40 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Pereira recorded 28 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Merida Aguilar | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 57/78 | 41/89 |
| %1st in | 73% | 46% |
| 1st pts | 40/57 | 28/41 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 20/48 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 42% |
Merida Aguilar bagged 3 aces . Pereira blasted 2 aces . Merida Aguilar won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Pereira won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Merida Aguilar | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/18 | 7/9 |
| % Converted | 33% | 78% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Merida Aguilar broke his opponent 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. Daniel dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Pereira conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Merida Aguilar | |||
| R1 Kym | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 109-94 | 109-94 | |
| Total points | 203 | 203 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 57/78 | 57/78 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 40/57 | 40/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 10/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Pereira | |||
| R1 Moller | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 86-75 | 86-75 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/89 | 41/89 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 28/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/48 | 20/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Lisbon Challenger
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (7-6(1) 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Matej DodigDodig (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (7-61 7-62) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Elias YmerYmer (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tiago PereiraPereira – Elmer MollerMoller (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Pedro AraujoAraujo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Jerome KymKym (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Matej DodigDodig (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Elias YmerYmer (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (7-6(1) 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christoph NegrituNegritu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco RochaRocha – (0-0) – H2H and prediction