Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Alejandro Moro Canas will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Lisbon Challenger for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:30 pm on COURT BELÉM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Llamas Ruiz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz -> 1.64
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Alejandro Moro Canas

This will be the 6th time that Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Alejandro Moro Canas clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Moro Canas (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Moro Canas won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Tenerife 1 Challenger back in February 2025.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

26 - 19win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
1-2
Clay
20-11
Grass
0-1
Rank
214
High
131
LWLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-21 5-5 23-13 1-2 0-1 0-0
2024 16-16 2-5 10-8 4-3 0-0 0-0
2023 46-21 12-6 33-12 0-2 1-1 0-0
2022 37-23 2-4 35-19 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 22-16 2-2 20-14 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 222, Pablo reached the 1st round after beating Hugo Maia 6-0 6-1 and Diego Dedura 3-6 6-0 6-3.

In the qualifications against Dedura, Llamas Ruiz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-0 6-3). During the match, Llamas Ruiz scored 88 points vs Dedura’s 75. Llamas Ruiz was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Llamas Ruiz was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Llamas Ruiz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Llamas Ruiz put 63% of his first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Dedura 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

Llamas Ruiz has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (175-113). 20-11 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Llamas Ruiz has a compiled144-78 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

Llamas Ruiz’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Szczecin Challenger.

Llamas Ruiz has a composed 26-19 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lisbon Challenger

Lisbon Challenger
Llamas Ruiz's Record

Alejandro Moro Canas

Alejandro Moro Canas

29 - 28win/loss

Hard
13-9
I Hard
0-2
Clay
16-16
Grass
0-1
Rank
238
High
142
LWWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-34 19-11 19-19 3-3 0-1 0-0
2024 35-28 11-8 17-13 3-5 4-2 0-0
2023 39-31 17-11 17-15 5-4 0-1 0-0
2022 40-18 20-8 20-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 35-16 30-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 266, Alejandro got to the 1st round after defeating Tomas Antonio Serrano Luis 6-2 6-4 and Orlando Luz w/o.

In the qualifications, The Spaniard defeated Luz (w/o). During the match Moro Canas and Luz scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 222 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Alejandro was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

About the serving games, Moro Canas couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Moro Canas conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Alejandro’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

Moro Canas has a composed 29-28 win-loss record in 2025, 16-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Lisbon Challenger
Moro Canas's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

P.Llamas Ruiz
A.Moro Canas
!
2h:59
2h:59
Time on court​
1h:23
1h:23
1h:52
1h:52
Last match​
1h:23
1h:23
!
2
2
Match played
1
1
37
37
Games Played​
18
18
5
5
Set played​​
2
2
146
146
Total points​
70
70
73
73
Avg point​
70
70
57
57
Winners
21
21
28.5
28.5
Avg Winners​
21
21
39%
39%
Ratio winners
30%
30%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
2
2
0
0
Avg Aces
2
2
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
57/84
57/84
1st won total​
21/27
21/27
68%
68%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
19/40
19/40
2nd won total​
13/17
13/17
48%
48%
2nd won %
!
76%
76%
-- Break Points --
12/22
12/22
BP won
4/10
4/10
6/11
6/11
Avg BP won
4/10
4/10
!
55%
55%
Won
40%
40%
10
10
Conceded
1
1
5
5
Avg Conceded
1
1
4
4
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
6
6
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Llamas Ruiz Moro Canas
Match played 2 1
Tot Set 5 2
Tot Games 37 18
Pts 146-105 70-50
Total Points 251 120
Winners 57 21
%Winners 39% 30%

Llamas Ruiz played 2 matches while Moro Canas competed in 1 match. At the moment, Pablo Llamas Ruiz lost 1 set while Alejandro Moro Canas hasn’t conceded a set so far. Llamas Ruiz has played 3 sets more than Moro Canas (5 vs 2). Therefore, Llamas Ruiz played 19 games more than Moro Canas. The Spaniard scored 57 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro recorded 21 winners (30%).

Serve Performance

Serve Llamas Ruiz Moro Canas
Aces 0 2
Avg per match 0 2
1st in 84/124 27/44
%1st in 68% 61%
1st pts 57/84 21/27
%1st pts 68% 78%
2nd pts 19/40 13/17
%2nd pts 48% 76%

Llamas Ruiz didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Moro Canas recorded 2 aces . Llamas Ruiz won 68% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Moro Canas won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Llamas Ruiz Moro Canas
Won 12 4
Converted 12/22 4/10
% Converted 55% 40%
Conceded 10 1
Saved 6 0
% Saved 60% 0%
Times Broken 4 1

Llamas Ruiz broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Pablo dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Moro Canas conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Llamas Ruiz
Q1
Maia
Q3
Dedura
Total
Score 6-0 6-1 3-6 6-0 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 13 24 37
pts 58-30 88-75 146-105
Total points 88 163 251
Winners 26 31 57
%Winners 45% 35% 39%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 0
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 37/49 47/75 84/124
% 1st in 76% 63% 68%
1st pts 26/37 31/47 57/84
% 1st pts 70% 66% 68%
2nd pts 8/12 11/28 19/40
% 2nd pts 67% 39% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 7 12
Converted 5/6 7/16 12/22
Converted % 83% 44% 55%
Conceded 1 9 10
Saved 1/1 5/9 6
Saved % 100% 56% 78%
Times Broken 0 4 4
Moro Canas
Q1
Antonio Serrano Luis
Q3
Luz
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 w/o
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 70-50 70-50
Total points 120 120
Winners 21 21
%Winners 30% 30%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 27/44 27/44
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 21/27 21/27
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 13/17 13/17
% 2nd pts 76% 76%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/10 4/10
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Lisbon Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw