Alexander Bublik and Valentin Royer will fight against each other in the final of the Hangzhou Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.41
Valentin Royer -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Valentin Royer

There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Valentin Royer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alexander Bublik

Ranked no. 19, the Kazakhstani reached the final after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4, Dalibor Svrcina 6-1 6-1 and Yibing Wu 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Wu (6-3 6-3). During the match, Bublik scored 60 points vs Wu’s 40. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bublik bagged 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Bublik was extremely effective on serve to win 91% (31/34) of his 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Wu 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bublik has dropped 1 set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

Bublik has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (362-261). 11-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has a composed 138-108 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he beat Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3.

Bublik has an overall 41-19 win-loss record in 2025, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hangzhou

Bublik has never competed in this tournament before.

Valentin Royer

Ranked no. 88 (career-high), Royer reached the final after beating Charles Chen 6-3 7-5, Eliot Spizzirri 7-5 4-6 6-3, Aleksandar Kovacevic 4-6 7-6(6) 6-3, Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-6(2), Learner Tien 7-6(0) 4-6 6-2 and Corentin Moutet 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal, Valentin had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-3 6-2). During the match Royer scored 60 points vs Moutet’s 44. Royer was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Royer managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Valentin Royer was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (24/34) of his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Moutet 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Valentin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Kigali 1 Challenger where he overcame Andrej Martin in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Kigali 2 Challenger where he defeated Guy Den Ouden in the final 6-2 6-4.

Royer has an aggregate 53-22 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bublik	Royer
Match played	3	6
Tot Set	7	15
Tot Games	65	155
Pts	224-163	534-460
Total Points	387	994
Winners	105	231
%Winners	47%	43%

Bublik played 3 matches while Royer competed in 6 matches. Royer started his run from the qualifications while Bublik had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Bublik dropped 1 set, while Valentin Royer surrendered 3 sets. Bublik has played 8 set(s) less than Royer (7 vs 15). Therefore, Bublik played 90 games less than Royer. Bublik scored 105 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 231 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bublik	Royer
Aces	49	50
Avg per match	16.3	8.3
1st in	113/174	309/461
%1st in	65%	67%
1st pts	105/113	231/309
%1st pts	93%	75%
2nd pts	31/61	85/152
%2nd pts	51%	56%

Bublik made 49 aces (16.3 per match). Royer blasted 50 aces (8.3 per match). Bublik won 93% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Royer won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bublik	Royer
Won	10	20
Converted	10/27	20/50
% Converted	37%	40%
Conceded	1	32
Saved	1	22
% Saved	100%	69%
Times Broken	0	10

Alexander broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. The French player broke his opponents 20 times with a 40% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Bublik
	R2 Vukic	1/4 Svrcina	1/2 Wu	Total
Score	6-76 6-4 6-4	6-1 6-1	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	33	14	18	65
pts	106-94	58-29	60-40	224-163
Total points	200	87	100	387
Winners	52	22	31	105
%Winners	49%	38%	52%	47%
SERVE
Aces	24	6	19	49
Double Faults	5	1	3	9
1st in	57/91	22/38	34/45	113/174
% 1st in	63%	58%	76%	65%
1st pts	52/57	22/22	31/34	105/113
% 1st pts	91%	100%	91%	93%
2nd pts	18/34	7/16	6/11	31/61
% 2nd pts	53%	44%	55%	51%
Breaks
Won	2	5	3	10
Converted	2/10	5/12	3/5	10/27
Converted %	20%	42%	60%	37%
Conceded	0	1	0	1
Saved	0/0	1/1	0/0	1
Saved %	–	100%	–	33%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0

Royer
	Q1 Chen	Q3 Spizzirri	R1 Kovacevic	R2 Rublev	1/4 Tien	1/2 Moutet	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	7-5 4-6 6-3	4-6 7-66 6-3	6-4 7-62	7-60 4-6 6-2	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	3	2	3	2	15
Tot Games	21	31	32	23	31	17	155
pts	74-63	97-89	114-100	81-69	108-95	60-44	534-460
Total points	137	186	214	150	203	104	994
Winners	27	43	49	38	50	24	231
%Winners	36%	44%	43%	47%	46%	40%	43%
SERVE
Aces	4	11	12	10	11	2	50
Double Faults	0	1	1	3	1	1	7
1st in	38/56	56/82	62/90	49/74	70/107	34/52	309/461
% 1st in	68%	68%	69%	66%	65%	65%	67%
1st pts	27/38	43/56	49/62	38/49	50/70	24/34	231/309
% 1st pts	71%	77%	79%	78%	71%	71%	75%
2nd pts	12/18	13/26	16/28	13/25	18/37	13/18	85/152
% 2nd pts	67%	50%	57%	52%	49%	72%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	2	4	3	20
Converted	4/9	4/9	3/11	2/5	4/8	3/8	20/50
Converted %	44%	44%	27%	40%	50%	38%	40%
Conceded	4	4	6	4	12	2	32
Saved	3/4	1/4	4/6	3/4	9/12	2/2	22
Saved %	75%	25%	67%	75%	75%	100%	139%
Times Broken	1	3	2	1	3	0	10

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction