Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Sho Shimabukuro will play each other in the qualifications of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 12:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Manuel Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Juan Manuel Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 1.7
Sho Shimabukuro -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Sho Shimabukuro

This will be the 2nd time that Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Sho Shimabukuro play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shimabukuro (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Shimabukuro won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in M15 Antalya back in 2019.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

45 - 25win/loss

Hard
8-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
37-17
Grass
0-2
Rank
85
High
71
LLWWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-29 8-8 39-19 0-0 0-2 0-0
2024 46-28 0-3 46-25 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 41-32 4-2 37-28 0-0 0-2 0-0
2022 27-17 3-6 24-11 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 53-26 0-0 53-22 0-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 72 (career-high), Juan reached the qualifications after defeating Rio Noguchi 6-3 6-2.

In the qualifications, Manuel Cerundolo had a good straight sets win against Noguchi (6-3 6-2). During the match, Manuel Cerundolo scored 57 points vs Noguchi’s 38. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Manuel Cerundolo recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost the serve once. Furthermore, Manuel Cerundolo put 60% of his first serves in, winning 86% (24/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Manuel Cerundolo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Noguchi 4 times.

Manuel Cerundolo has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (290-174). 8-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Manuel Cerundolo has a composed17-19 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Guangzhou Challenger where he beat Alejandro Tabilo in the final 6-2 6-3.

Juan has an overall 45-25 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Juan has never competed in this tournament before.

Tokyo
Manuel Cerundolo's Record

Sho Shimabukuro

Sho Shimabukuro

18 - 18win/loss

Hard
15-15
I Hard
0-0
Grass
3-3
Rank
145
High
135
LWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-23 29-19 0-0 2-1 3-3 0-0
2024 30-28 21-17 1-3 3-5 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 31-20 28-18 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 271, Shimabukuro got to the qualifications after beating Mariano Navone 6-2 6-3.

In the qualifications, Sho had a good straight sets win against Navone (6-2 6-3). During the match Shimabukuro scored 66 points vs Navone’s 52. Sho was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimabukuro wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sho Shimabukuro was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (23/32) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Navone 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he beat Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5.

Sho has an overall 18-18 win-loss record in 2025, 15-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tokyo
Shimabukuro's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Manuel Cerundolo
S.Shimabukuro
1h:06
1h:06
Time on court​
1h:19
1h:19
1h:06
1h:06
Last match​
1h:19
1h:19
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
17
17
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
57
57
Total points​
66
66
57
57
Avg point​
66
66
24
24
Winners
23
23
24
24
Avg Winners​
23
23
42%
42%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
0
0
4
4
Avg Aces
0
0
2
2
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
24/28
24/28
1st won total​
23/32
23/32
!
86%
86%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
9/19
9/19
2nd won total​
16/27
16/27
47%
47%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
4/4
4/4
BP won
4/9
4/9
4/4
4/4
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
!
100%
100%
Won
44%
44%
1
1
Conceded
2
2
1
1
Avg Conceded
2
2
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
0
0
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Manuel Cerundolo Shimabukuro
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
Pts 57-38 66-52
Total Points 95 118
Winners 24 23
%Winners 42% 35%

Both Manuel Cerundolo and Shimabukuro played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Manuel Cerundolo and Shimabukuro have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (17). Manuel Cerundolo scored 24 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese made 23 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Manuel Cerundolo Shimabukuro
Aces 4 0
Avg per match 4 0
1st in 28/47 32/59
%1st in 60% 54%
1st pts 24/28 23/32
%1st pts 86% 72%
2nd pts 9/19 16/27
%2nd pts 47% 59%

Manuel Cerundolo recorded 4 aces . Shimabukuro didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Manuel Cerundolo won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Manuel Cerundolo Shimabukuro
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/9
% Converted 100% 44%
Conceded 1 2
Saved 0 2
% Saved 0% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Manuel Cerundolo broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Sho was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Manuel Cerundolo
Q1
Noguchi
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 57-38 57-38
Total points 95 95
Winners 24 24
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 28/47 28/47
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 24/28 24/28
% 1st pts 86% 86%
2nd pts 9/19 9/19
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/4
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1
Shimabukuro
Q1
Navone
Total
Score 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 66-52 66-52
Total points 118 118
Winners 23 23
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 32/59 32/59
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 23/32 23/32
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 16/27 16/27
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Upcoming matches in the draw