Mattia Bellucci and Ethan Quinn will face off in the qualifications of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on KINOSHITA GROUP SHOW COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ethan Quinn who should win in 3 sets.
Ethan Quinn -> 1.76
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Ethan Quinn
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Ethan Quinn since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
23 - 26win/loss
74
63
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-31 | 10-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 65, Bellucci reached the qualifications after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 7-6(5) 5-7 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Italian defeated Uchiyama (7-65 5-7 7-5).During the match, Bellucci scored less points (4) than Uchiyama. In fact, the world no. 65 won 107 points vs Uchiyama’s. That means that Bellucci was more focused during the important points. Bellucci was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci bagged 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Mattia Bellucci was quite effective on serve to win 77% (54/70) of his 1st serve and 53% (25/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Bellucci broke Uchiyama twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (258-160). 9-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bellucci has an aggregate142-73 record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Sumter Challenger where he defeated Alexander Shevchenko in the final 7-6(5) 3-1 ret..
The Italian has a compiled 23-26 win-loss record in 2025, 9-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Ethan Quinn
38 - 23win/loss
70
64
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-28 | 22-14 | 11-6 | 7-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-34 | 17-18 | 2-7 | 13-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-16 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-14 | 21-7 | 6-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 81, Ethan reached the qualifications after beating Yuta Shimizu 7-6(4) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Ethan had a good straight sets win against Shimizu (7-64 6-4). During the match Quinn scored 78 points vs Shimizu’s 67. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Quinn struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ethan Quinn lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Quinn put 73% of his first serves in, winning 76% (39/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Shimizu 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Canberra Challenger.
The American has an aggregate 38-23 win-loss record in 2025, 20-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Quinn has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 23 |
| Pts | 107-111 | 78-67 |
| Total Points | 218 | 145 |
| Winners | 54 | 39 |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% |
Both Bellucci and Quinn played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Mattia Bellucci surrendered 1 set while Ethan Quinn hasn’t lost a set so far. Bellucci has played 1 set more than Quinn (3 vs 2). Therefore, Bellucci played 14 games more than Quinn. The Italian scored 54 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Ethan managed to score 39 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 7 |
| 1st in | 70/117 | 51/70 |
| %1st in | 60% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 54/70 | 39/51 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 25/47 | 7/19 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 37% |
Bellucci blasted 13 aces . Quinn made 7 aces . Bellucci won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Quinn won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 67% | 33% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Mattia broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Ethan broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | |||
| Q1 Uchiyama | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 37 | |
| pts | 107-111 | 107-111 | |
| Total points | 218 | 218 | |
| Winners | 54 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 70/117 | 70/117 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 54/70 | 54/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/47 | 25/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Quinn | |||
| Q1 Shimizu | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-67 | 78-67 | |
| Total points | 145 | 145 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/70 | 51/70 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 39/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/19 | 7/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
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