Daniel Masur and Luca Castagnola will face off in the qualifications of the Las Vegas Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on COURT 10. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Masur who should win in 2 sets.
Daniel Masur -> 1.32
Luca Castagnola -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Masur vs. Luca Castagnola
There is no head to head record between Daniel Masur and Luca Castagnola since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Daniel Masur
21 - 22win/loss
492
176
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-27 | 9-6 | 8-11 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-26 | 1-2 | 11-10 | 22-11 | 1-2 | 12-1 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 7-8 | 9-7 | 9-5 | 0-1 | 9-3 |
| 2022 | 25-28 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 4-9 | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| 2021 | 28-26 | 4-4 | 1-7 | 15-12 | 3-2 | 5-1 |
Ranked no. 536, Masur got to the qualifications after defeating Kaylan Bigun 6-2 7-6(8).
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Bigun (6-2 7-68). During the match, Masur scored 74 points vs Bigun’s 63. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Masur fired 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Daniel Masur was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The German broke Bigun 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Masur has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (330-260). 6-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Masur has an overall 51-48 match record in the last years on hard.
The German’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Cervia and the Columbus Challenger.
Masur has an aggregate 20-22 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
Masur has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Castagnola
27 - 28win/loss
645
575
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-32 | 14-15 | 13-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-30 | 14-11 | 10-17 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-31 | 10-6 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-31 | 5-3 | 44-27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-20 | 14-9 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 637, Luca reached the qualifications after defeating Daniel Milavsky 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Luca defeated Milavsky (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match Castagnola scored 94 points vs Milavsky’s 82. Luca was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Castagnola fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Luca Castagnola was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (37/49) of his 1st serve and 67% (26/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Milavsky twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Castagnola’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
Luca has a compiled 27-27 win-loss record in 2025, 12-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Masur | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 |
| Pts | 74-63 | 94-82 |
| Total Points | 137 | 176 |
| Winners | 30 | 37 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Masur and Castagnola played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Luca Castagnola surrendered 1 set while Daniel Masur hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Masur has played 1 set(s) less than Castagnola (2 vs 3). Therefore, Masur played 8 games less than Castagnola. The German scored 30 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Castagnola struck 37 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Masur | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 40/70 | 49/88 |
| %1st in | 57% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 37/49 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 26/39 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 67% |
Masur recorded 6 aces . Castagnola managed to score 3 aces . Masur won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Castagnola won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Masur | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The German broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The German lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Castagnola conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Masur | |||
| Q1 Bigun | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 74-63 | 74-63 | |
| Total points | 137 | 137 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 40/70 | 40/70 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 18/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Castagnola | |||
| Q1 Milavsky | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 94-82 | 94-82 | |
| Total points | 176 | 176 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/88 | 49/88 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 37/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/39 | 26/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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