Renta Tokuda and Quinn Vandecasteele will play each other in the qualifications of the Las Vegas Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Renta Tokuda who should win in 3 sets.
Renta Tokuda -> 1.54
Quinn Vandecasteele -> 2.35
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Prediction and head to head Renta Tokuda vs. Quinn Vandecasteele
There is no head to head record between Renta Tokuda and Quinn Vandecasteele since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Renta Tokuda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 60-22 | 59-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-16 | 24-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-13 | 30-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 395, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Ramkumar Ramanathan 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Renta had a good straight sets win against Ramanathan (6-4 6-4). During the match, Tokuda scored 79 points vs Ramanathan’s 63. Renta was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tokuda blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Renta Tokuda was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Renta broke Ramanathan twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Tokuda has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (278-165). 55-16 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tokuda has a composed234-130 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Renta’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Tashkent,M15 Tokyo and M25 Sapporo.
Tokuda has a compiled 55-16 win-loss record in 2025, 55-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
Renta has never competed in this tournament before.
Quinn Vandecasteele
27 - 24win/loss
657
555
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-32 | 25-19 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-20 | 13-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-13 | 28-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-8 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 711, Quinn got to the qualifications after beating Bor Artnak 7-6(4) 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Quinn had a good straight sets win against Artnak (7-64 7-65). During the match Vandecasteele scored 82 points vs Artnak’s 79. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Vandecasteele fired 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Quinn Vandecasteele was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (36/47) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Quinn broke Artnak twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Vandecasteele’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Champaign.
The American has a compiled 26-24 win-loss record in 2025, 22-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tokuda | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 26 |
| Pts | 79-63 | 82-79 |
| Total Points | 142 | 161 |
| Winners | 27 | 36 |
| %Winners | 34% | 44% |
Both Tokuda and Vandecasteele played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tokuda and Vandecasteele have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Tokuda played 6 games less than Vandecasteele. Tokuda scored 27 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 36 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tokuda | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 11 |
| 1st in | 35/59 | 47/81 |
| %1st in | 59% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 36/47 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 19/34 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 56% |
Tokuda struck 7 aces . Vandecasteele made 11 aces . Tokuda won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Vandecasteele won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tokuda | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 2 |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/3 |
| % Converted | 22% | 67% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Renta broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. Tokuda pretty effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Quinn broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Quinn conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tokuda | |||
| Q1 Ramanathan | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 79-63 | 79-63 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/59 | 35/59 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 27/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 17/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Vandecasteele | |||
| Q1 Artnak | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 82-79 | 82-79 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/81 | 47/81 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 36/47 | 36/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 19/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Renta TokudaTokuda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex RybakovRybakov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Garrett JohnsJohns (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tibo ColsonColson – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Joshua SheehySheehy – Andrew FentyFenty (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tyler ZinkZink – Nicolas MejiaMejia (0-2) – H2H and prediction