Sumit Nagal and Francisco Rocha will face off in the qualifications of the Lisbon Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on ESTADIO CIF. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sumit Nagal who should win in 2 sets.
Sumit Nagal -> 1.15
Francisco Rocha -> 4.85
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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Francisco Rocha
There is no head to head record between Sumit Nagal and Francisco Rocha since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Sumit Nagal
26 - 25win/loss
273
68
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-27 | 2-3 | 30-23 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-29 | 15-13 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 9-8 | 32-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-18 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-26 | 1-4 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 290, Nagal got to the qualifications after beating Alexander Donski 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Indian had a good straight sets win against Donski (6-4 6-4). During the match, Nagal scored 67 points vs Donski’s 55. The Indian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nagal scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Sumit Nagal was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (33/45) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sumit broke Donski 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Nagal has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (310-226). 22-20 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Nagal has a composed 237-147 match record in the last years on clay.
Nagal’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Trieste Challenger and the Tampere Challenger.
Sumit has an aggregate 26-24 win-loss record in 2025, 22-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
The Indian has never competed in this tournament before.
Francisco Rocha
19 - 20win/loss
736
675
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-24 | 8-12 | 11-10 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-30 | 19-15 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-13 | 10-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-7 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-7 | 9-5 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 774, Francisco reached the qualifications after defeating Javier Barranco Cosano 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Portuguese had a good straight sets win against Barranco Cosano (6-4 6-2). During the match Rocha scored 69 points vs Barranco Cosano’s 53. The Portuguese was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Rocha made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Francisco Rocha was very efficient on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Francisco broke Barranco Cosano 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
The Portuguese has a composed 18-20 win-loss record in 2025, 10-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nagal | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 |
| Pts | 67-55 | 69-53 |
| Total Points | 122 | 122 |
| Winners | 33 | 24 |
| %Winners | 49% | 35% |
Both Nagal and Rocha played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nagal and Rocha have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Nagal played 2 games more than Rocha. Nagal scored 33 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Rocha made 24 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nagal | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 45/57 | 33/59 |
| %1st in | 79% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 24/33 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 15/26 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Nagal blasted 1 ace . Rocha also fired 4 aces . Nagal won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Rocha won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nagal | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 75% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Nagal broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Nagal dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Rocha broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nagal | |||
| Q1 Donski | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 67-55 | 67-55 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 45/57 | 45/57 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 33/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rocha | |||
| Q1 Barranco | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 69-53 | 69-53 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/59 | 33/59 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 24/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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