Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Shevchenko will play each other in the semifinal of the Chengdu Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.28
Alexander Shevchenko -> 3.68

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alexander Shevchenko

This will be the 2^nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Shevchenko fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Musetti won 6-1 6-1 6-2 in the 2^nd round in at the French Open back in 2023.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko – French Open 31-May-2023

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 9, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after beating Dino Prizmic 7-5 3-6 6-2 and Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Basilashvili (6-3 6-3). During the match, Musetti scored 61 points vs Basilashvili’s 49. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti fired 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 66% of his first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Musetti broke Basilashvili 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (252-174). 13-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has a compiled63-54 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Lorenzo’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Carlo.

The Italian has a composed 32-13 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Alexander Shevchenko

Ranked no. 96, the Kazakhstani reached the semifinal after beating Gael Monfils 6-7(3) 6-3 1-0 ret., Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(2) 7-6(5) 6-4 and Taro Daniel 7-6(2) 3-6 6-2.

In the quarter, The Kazakhstani defeated Daniel (7-6² 3-6 6-2). During the match Shevchenko scored 97 points vs Daniel’s 85. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, Shevchenko struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alexander Shevchenko was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (44/54) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexander broke Daniel twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Sumter Challenger.

Shevchenko has an aggregate 31-29 win-loss record in 2025, 11-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Alexander has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Shevchenko
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	10
Tot Games	47	89
Pts	150-122	277-253
Total Points	272	530
Winners	71	129
%Winners	47%	47%

Musetti played 2 matches while Shevchenko competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set, while Alexander Shevchenko dropped 3 sets. Musetti has played 5 set(s) less than Shevchenko (5 vs 10). Therefore, Musetti played 42 games less than Shevchenko. Musetti scored 71 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander struck 129 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Shevchenko
Aces	17	24
Avg per match	8.5	8
1st in	89/125	163/252
%1st in	71%	65%
1st pts	71/89	129/163
%1st pts	80%	79%
2nd pts	19/36	61/89
%2nd pts	53%	69%

Musetti recorded 17 aces (8.5 per match). Shevchenko blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Musetti won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Shevchenko won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Shevchenko
Won	8	5
Converted	8/17	5/14
% Converted	47%	36%
Conceded	9	15
Saved	6	14
% Saved	67%	93%
Times Broken	3	1

The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Lorenzo dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Shevchenko conceded his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R2 Prizmic	1/4 Basilashvili	Total
Score	7-5 3-6 6-2	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	29	18	47
pts	89-73	61-49	150-122
Total points	162	110	272
Winners	44	27	71
%Winners	49%	44%	47%
SERVE
Aces	10	7	17
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	54/72	35/53	89/125
% 1st in	75%	66%	71%
1st pts	44/54	27/35	71/89
% 1st pts	81%	77%	80%
2nd pts	10/18	9/18	19/36
% 2nd pts	56%	50%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/8	4/9	8/17
Converted %	50%	44%	47%
Conceded	5	4	9
Saved	3/5	3/4	6
Saved %	60%	75%	68%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Shevchenko
	R1 Monfils	R2 Mpetshi	1/4 Daniel	Total
Score	6-73 6-3 1-0 ret.	6-72 7-65 6-4	7-62 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	23	36	30	89
pts	77-73	103-95	97-85	277-253
Total points	150	198	182	530
Winners	35	50	44	129
%Winners	45%	49%	45%	47%
SERVE
Aces	7	10	7	24
Double Faults	1	2	2	5
1st in	50/86	59/90	54/76	163/252
% 1st in	58%	66%	71%	65%
1st pts	35/50	50/59	44/54	129/163
% 1st pts	70%	85%	81%	79%
2nd pts	20/36	25/31	16/22	61/89
% 2nd pts	56%	81%	73%	69%
Breaks
Won	2	1	2	5
Converted	2/3	1/5	2/6	5/14
Converted %	67%	20%	33%	36%
Conceded	11	0	4	15
Saved	11/11	0/0	3/4	14
Saved %	100%	–	75%	88%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Chengdu

• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Taro DanielDaniel (7-6² 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 2-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (4-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Diego Hidalgo/Patrik TrhacHidalgo/Patrik Trhac – Jie Cui/Rigele TeCui/Rigele Te (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Constantin Frantzen/Robin HaaseFrantzen/Robin Haase – Nathaniel Lammons/Jean-Julien RojerLammons/Jean-Julien Rojer (7-6¹² 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Taro DanielDaniel (7-6(2) 3-6 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (1-0) – H2H and prediction