Emilio Nava and Alex Barrena will play each other in the final of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 10:55 am on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.32
Alex Barrena -> 3.15

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Prediction and head to head Emilio Nava vs. Alex Barrena

This will be the 2^nd time that Emilio Nava and Alex Barrena fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nava (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Nava won 7-6(4) ret. in the qualifications in the Rosario Challenger back in February 2025.

Emilio Nava

Ranked no. 100 (career-high), Nava got to the final after beating Daniel Dutra Da Silva 4-6 6-4 6-4, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-2, Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 7-6(9) 6-4 and Murkel Dellien 6-4 7-6(5).

In the semifinal, Nava had a good straight sets win against Alejandro Dellien Velasco (6-4 7-6⁵). During the match, Nava scored 94 points vs Alejandro Dellien Velasco’s 80. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nava blasted 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Emilio Nava was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (42/55) of his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nava broke Alejandro Dellien Velasco twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Nava has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (238-157). 40-14 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nava has a compiled109-51 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Asuncion Challenger where he beat Thiago Moura Monteiro in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Concepcion Challenger where he overcame Nicolas Kicker in the final 6-1 7-6(3) and the Sarasota Challenger where he defeated Liam Draxl in the final 6-2 7-6(2).

The American has an aggregate 51-23 win-loss record in 2025, 40-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Nava has never competed in this tournament before.

Alex Barrena

Ranked no. 224 (career-high), Barrena got to the final after defeating Gonzalo Villanueva 7-6(4) 6-1

, Juan Manuel La Serna 6-4 7-6(5), Mariano Kestelboim 6-0 6-1 and Federico Agustin Gomez 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Agustin Gomez (6-3 6-4). During the match Barrena scored 64 points vs Agustin Gomez’s 49. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Barrena fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alex Barrena was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Agustin Gomez 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger where he defeated Santiago Rodriguez Taverna in the final 7-5 6-2 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he defeated Franco Roncadelli in the final 5-7 7-5 6-3.

Alex has an overall 38-19 win-loss record in 2025, 38-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nava	Barrena
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	8
Tot Games	93	75
Pts	346-286	261-199
Total Points	632	460
Winners	147	100
%Winners	42%	38%

Both Nava and Barrena played 4 matches. At the moment, Emilio Nava dropped 1 set while Alex Barrena hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nava has played 1 set more than Barrena (9 vs 8). Therefore, Nava played 18 games more than Barrena. Nava scored 147 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Alex managed to score 100 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nava	Barrena
Aces	37	11
Avg per match	9.3	2.8
1st in	192/308	143/244
%1st in	62%	59%
1st pts	147/192	100/143
%1st pts	77%	70%
2nd pts	62/116	59/101
%2nd pts	53%	58%

Nava struck 37 aces (9.3 per match). Barrena struck 11 aces (2.8 per match). Nava won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Barrena won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nava	Barrena
Won	12	16
Converted	12/34	16/31
% Converted	35%	52%
Conceded	30	21
Saved	24	15
% Saved	80%	71%
Times Broken	6	6

Emilio broke his opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 6 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Nava
	R1 Dutra Da Silva	R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio	1/4 Carlos Prado Angelo	1/2 Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 6-4	6-3 6-2	7-69 6-4	6-4 7-65
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	30	17	23	23	93
pts	97-86	63-45	92-75	94-80	346-286
Total points	183	108	167	174	632
Winners	46	32	27	42	147
%Winners	47%	51%	29%	45%	42%
SERVE
Aces	14	6	7	10	37
Double Faults	4	1	5	4	14
1st in	62/92	39/56	36/68	55/92	192/308
% 1st in	67%	70%	53%	60%	62%
1st pts	46/62	32/39	27/36	42/55	147/192
% 1st pts	74%	82%	75%	76%	77%
2nd pts	16/30	8/17	19/32	19/37	62/116
% 2nd pts	53%	47%	59%	51%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	2	12
Converted	3/5	3/8	4/13	2/8	12/34
Converted %	60%	38%	31%	25%	35%
Conceded	11	1	6	12	30
Saved	9/11	1/1	3/6	11/12	24
Saved %	82%	100%	50%	92%	81%
Times Broken	2	0	3	1	6

Barrena
	R1 Villanueva	R2 Manuel La Serna	1/4 Kestelboim	1/2 Agustin	Total
Score	7-64 6-1	6-4 7-65	6-0 6-1	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	20	23	13	19	75
pts	66-47	77-78	54-25	64-49	261-199
Total points	113	155	79	113	460
Winners	18	35	19	28	100
%Winners	27%	45%	35%	44%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	0	3	3	11
Double Faults	0	4	2	1	7
1st in	29/56	53/89	23/39	38/60	143/244
% 1st in	52%	60%	59%	63%	59%
1st pts	18/29	35/53	19/23	28/38	100/143
% 1st pts	62%	66%	83%	74%	70%
2nd pts	18/27	17/36	10/16	14/22	59/101
% 2nd pts	67%	47%	63%	64%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	3	5	3	16
Converted	5/8	3/6	5/7	3/10	16/31
Converted %	63%	50%	71%	30%	52%
Conceded	4	13	0	4	21
Saved	1/4	11/13	0/0	3/4	15
Saved %	25%	85%	–	75%	46%
Times Broken	3	2	0	1	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Emilio NavaNava – (1-0) – H2H and prediction