Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the final of the Korea Open for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.168
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 5.1

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 8^th time that Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova fight against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Swiatek won 6-3 6-1 in the 4^th round in at the U.S. Open back in September 2025.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – U.S. Open 01-September-2025

Iga Swiatek

Ranked no. 2, Iga reached the final after defeating Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-2, Barbora Krejcikova 6-0 6-3 and Maya Joint 6-0 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Joint (6-0 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 58 points vs Joint’s 30. Iga was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek bagged 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 76% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 17% (2/12) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Joint 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Swiatek hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 62% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (405-89). 35-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has an aggregate 197-50 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0 and in Cincinnati where she defeated Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

The Pole has an overall 56-13 win-loss record in 2025, 35-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Seoul

Iga has never competed in this tournament before.

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 11 (career-high), Alexandrova got to the final after defeating Lois Boisson 4-6 6-2 6-2, Ella Seidel 6-2 6-3 and Katerina Siniakova 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Siniakova (6-4 6-2). During the match Alexandrova scored 78 points vs Siniakova’s 69. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Alexandrova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 50% (19/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the 2nd serve. Alexandrova broke Siniakova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexandrova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Ekaterina has an overall 41-19 win-loss record in 2025, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Seoul

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Alexandrova
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	46	61
Pts	188-117	235-189
Total Points	305	424
Winners	62	85
%Winners	33%	36%

Both Swiatek and Alexandrova played 3 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova surrendered 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Alexandrova (6 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 15 games less than Alexandrova. Swiatek scored 62 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina managed to score 85 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Alexandrova
Aces	7	15
Avg per match	2.3	5
1st in	94/161	118/223
%1st in	58%	53%
1st pts	62/94	85/118
%1st pts	66%	72%
2nd pts	36/67	49/105
%2nd pts	54%	47%

Swiatek managed to score 7 aces (2.3 per match). Alexandrova blasted 15 aces (5 per match). Swiatek won 66% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Alexandrova
Won	18	16
Converted	18/37	16/28
% Converted	49%	57%
Conceded	16	27
Saved	11	20
% Saved	69%	74%
Times Broken	5	7

Iga broke her opponents 18 times with a 49% conversion rate. Iga conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. Ekaterina broke her opponents 16 times with a 57% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R2 Cirstea	1/4 Krejcikova	1/2 Joint	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-0 6-3	6-0 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	15	14	46
pts	69-49	61-38	58-30	188-117
Total points	118	99	88	305
Winners	15	17	30	62
%Winners	22%	28%	52%	33%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	2	7
Double Faults	1	5	3	9
1st in	25/53	31/58	38/50	94/161
% 1st in	47%	53%	76%	58%
1st pts	15/25	17/31	30/38	62/94
% 1st pts	60%	55%	79%	66%
2nd pts	17/28	17/27	2/12	36/67
% 2nd pts	61%	63%	17%	54%
Breaks
Won	6	6	6	18
Converted	6/17	6/10	6/10	18/37
Converted %	35%	60%	60%	49%
Conceded	7	5	4	16
Saved	5/7	3/5	3/4	11
Saved %	71%	60%	75%	69%
Times Broken	2	2	1	5

Alexandrova
	R2 Boisson	1/4 Seidel	1/2 Siniakova	Total
Score	4-6 6-2 6-2	6-2 6-3	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	26	17	18	61
pts	89-74	68-46	78-69	235-189
Total points	163	114	147	424
Winners	41	25	19	85
%Winners	46%	37%	24%	36%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	1	15
Double Faults	14	7	3	24
1st in	48/87	32/69	38/67	118/223
% 1st in	55%	46%	57%	53%
1st pts	41/48	25/32	19/38	85/118
% 1st pts	85%	78%	50%	72%
2nd pts	14/39	16/37	19/29	49/105
% 2nd pts	36%	43%	66%	47%
Breaks
Won	5	6	5	16
Converted	5/8	6/10	5/10	16/28
Converted %	63%	60%	50%	57%
Conceded	9	11	7	27
Saved	7/9	8/11	5/7	20
Saved %	78%	73%	71%	74%
Times Broken	2	3	2	7

Tennis Scores in Seoul

• Tommy RobredoRobredo – Federico GaioGaio (7-6¹⁰ 5-7 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Laurynas Grigelis/Andrea PellegrinoGrigelis/Andrea Pellegrino – Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar (1-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (5-2) – H2H and prediction