Alexander Shevchenko and Taro Daniel will face off in the quarter of the Chengdu Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Shevchenko who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Shevchenko is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Shevchenko -> 1.62
Taro Daniel -> 2.3

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Shevchenko vs. Taro Daniel

There is no head to head record between Alexander Shevchenko and Taro Daniel since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alexander Shevchenko

Ranked no. 96, Shevchenko got to the quarter after beating Gael Monfils 6-7(3) 6-3 1-0 ret. and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(2) 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Mpetshi Perricard, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 7-6⁵ 6-4). During the match, Shevchenko scored 103 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 95. Shevchenko was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shevchenko recorded 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Shevchenko was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (50/59) of his 1st serve and 81% (25/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Mpetshi Perricard once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).

Shevchenko has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (282-200). 10-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shevchenko has an aggregate58-51 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Alexander’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Sumter Challenger.

Alexander has an aggregate 30-29 win-loss record in 2025, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.

Taro Daniel

Ranked no. 168, the Japanese got to the quarter after defeating James Duckworth 7-6(4) 7-6(0), Billy Harris 7-5 6-4, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-3 6-2 and Tallon Griekspoor 3-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Griekspoor, Daniel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Daniel scored 79 points vs Griekspoor’s 75. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Daniel bagged 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Taro Daniel was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (43/52) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Griekspoor twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Daniel has an overall 11-25 win-loss record in 2025, 9-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shevchenko	Daniel
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	7	9
Tot Games	59	93
Pts	180-168	298-257
Total Points	348	555
Winners	85	132
%Winners	47%	44%

Shevchenko played 2 matches while Daniel competed in 4 matches. Daniel started his run from the qualifications while Shevchenko had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Shevchenko surrendered 2 sets, while Taro Daniel lost 1 set. Shevchenko has played 2 set(s) less than Daniel (7 vs 9). Therefore, Shevchenko played 34 games less than Daniel. The Kazakhstani scored 85 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel bagged 132 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shevchenko	Daniel
Aces	17	31
Avg per match	8.5	7.8
1st in	109/176	166/268
%1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	85/109	132/166
%1st pts	78%	80%
2nd pts	45/67	59/102
%2nd pts	67%	58%

Shevchenko recorded 17 aces (8.5 per match). Daniel blasted 31 aces (7.8 per match). Shevchenko won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Daniel won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shevchenko	Daniel
Won	3	11
Converted	3/8	11/33
% Converted	38%	33%
Conceded	11	16
Saved	11	12
% Saved	100%	75%
Times Broken	0	4

The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Shevchenko very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 11 break points. The Japanese broke his opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Shevchenko
	R1 Monfils	R2 Mpetshi	Total
Score	6-73 6-3 1-0 ret.	6-72 7-65 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	23	36	59
pts	77-73	103-95	180-168
Total points	150	198	348
Winners	35	50	85
%Winners	45%	49%	47%
SERVE
Aces	7	10	17
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	50/86	59/90	109/176
% 1st in	58%	66%	62%
1st pts	35/50	50/59	85/109
% 1st pts	70%	85%	78%
2nd pts	20/36	25/31	45/67
% 2nd pts	56%	81%	67%
Breaks
Won	2	1	3
Converted	2/3	1/5	3/8
Converted %	67%	20%	38%
Conceded	11	0	11
Saved	11/11	0/0	11
Saved %	100%	–	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Daniel
	Q1 Duckworth	Q3 Harris	R1 Lam Coleman Wong	R2 Griekspoor	Total
Score	7-64 7-60	7-5 6-4	6-3 6-2	3-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	26	22	17	28	93
pts	80-74	71-59	68-49	79-75	298-257
Total points	154	130	117	154	555
Winners	34	34	21	43	132
%Winners	43%	48%	31%	54%	44%
SERVE
Aces	7	11	3	10	31
Double Faults	2	1	3	1	7
1st in	47/79	39/65	28/50	52/74	166/268
% 1st in	59%	60%	56%	70%	62%
1st pts	34/47	34/39	21/28	43/52	132/166
% 1st pts	72%	87%	75%	83%	80%
2nd pts	18/32	15/26	14/22	12/22	59/102
% 2nd pts	56%	58%	64%	55%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	2	11
Converted	3/9	2/6	4/14	2/4	11/33
Converted %	33%	33%	29%	50%	33%
Conceded	7	7	0	2	16
Saved	4/7	7/7	0/0	1/2	12
Saved %	57%	100%	–	50%	104%
Times Broken	3	0	0	1	4

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marcos GironGiron – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Taro DanielDaniel – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (1-2) – H2H and prediction