Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili will play each other in the quarter of the Chengdu Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.35
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
This will be the 4th time that Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Basilashvili (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Basilashvili won 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-1 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2025.
Highlights Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Lorenzo Musetti – Wimbledon 01-July-2025
Lorenzo Musetti
31 - 13win/loss
8
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Dino Prizmic 7-5 3-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo defeated Prizmic (7-5 3-6 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 89 points vs Prizmic’s 73. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti recorded 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (44/54) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Prizmic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (251-174). 12-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed62-54 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Carlo.
The Italian has a compiled 31-13 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chengdu
Nikoloz Basilashvili
35 - 25win/loss
110
16
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-29 | 18-13 | 9-10 | 9-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-32 | 11-8 | 27-15 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-19 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-31 | 3-11 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 18-11 | 8-8 | 3-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 114, Basilashvili reached the quarter after defeating Rei Sakamoto 6-2 3-6 6-1, Bernard Tomic 2-6 7-5 7-5, Billy Harris 7-6(5) 6-3 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, Basilashvili had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-2 7-64). During the match Basilashvili scored 81 points vs Mcdonald’s 66. Basilashvili was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Basilashvili blasted 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nikoloz Basilashvili was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Georgean broke Mcdonald twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Basilashvili started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Nikoloz’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Bordeaux Challenger.
Basilashvili has a compiled 35-25 win-loss record in 2025, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in Chengdu
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 99 |
| Pts | 89-73 | 336-299 |
| Total Points | 162 | 635 |
| Winners | 44 | 128 |
| %Winners | 49% | 38% |
Musetti played 1 match while Basilashvili competed in 4 matches. Basilashvili started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set, while Nikoloz Basilashvili lost 2 sets. Musetti has played 7 set(s) less than Basilashvili (3 vs 10). Therefore, Musetti played 70 games less than Basilashvili. Musetti scored 44 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Nikoloz managed to score 128 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 49 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 12.3 |
| 1st in | 54/72 | 172/310 |
| %1st in | 75% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 44/54 | 128/172 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 75/138 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Musetti recorded 10 aces . Basilashvili managed to score 49 aces (12.3 per match). Musetti won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Basilashvili won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 14 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 14/28 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 22 |
| Saved | 3 | 14 |
| % Saved | 60% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Nikoloz broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Nikoloz conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||
| R2 Prizmic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 89-73 | 89-73 | |
| Total points | 162 | 162 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 54/72 | 54/72 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 44/54 | 44/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Basilashvili | ||||||
| Q1 Sakamoto | Q3 Tomic | R1 Harris | R2 Mcdonald | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-1 | 2-6 7-5 7-5 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 32 | 22 | 21 | 99 | |
| pts | 86-74 | 93-91 | 76-68 | 81-66 | 336-299 | |
| Total points | 160 | 184 | 144 | 147 | 635 | |
| Winners | 33 | 39 | 26 | 30 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 34% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 49 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 42/81 | 51/96 | 44/73 | 35/60 | 172/310 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 53% | 60% | 58% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 39/51 | 26/44 | 30/35 | 128/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 76% | 59% | 86% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/39 | 22/45 | 18/29 | 14/25 | 75/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 49% | 62% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 2/7 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 67% | 29% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 7/11 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 64% | 57% | – | 196% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marcos GironGiron – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (1-2) – H2H and prediction