Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili will play each other in the quarter of the Chengdu Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.35
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili

This will be the 4th time that Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Basilashvili (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Basilashvili won 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-1 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2025.

Highlights Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Lorenzo Musetti – Wimbledon 01-July-2025

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

31 - 13win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
19-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 9, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Dino Prizmic 7-5 3-6 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Lorenzo defeated Prizmic (7-5 3-6 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 89 points vs Prizmic’s 73. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti recorded 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (44/54) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Prizmic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (251-174). 12-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed62-54 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Carlo.

The Italian has a compiled 31-13 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Chengdu
Musetti's Record

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Nikoloz Basilashvili

35 - 25win/loss

Hard
15-10
I Hard
6-2
Clay
9-10
Grass
5-3
Rank
110
High
16
LWWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-29 18-13 9-10 9-3 5-3 0-0
2024 51-32 11-8 27-15 13-9 0-0 0-0
2023 4-19 1-8 0-5 3-6 0-0 0-0
2022 16-31 3-11 5-9 4-7 4-4 0-0
2021 35-27 18-11 8-8 3-5 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 114, Basilashvili reached the quarter after defeating Rei Sakamoto 6-2 3-6 6-1, Bernard Tomic 2-6 7-5 7-5, Billy Harris 7-6(5) 6-3 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round, Basilashvili had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-2 7-64). During the match Basilashvili scored 81 points vs Mcdonald’s 66. Basilashvili was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Basilashvili blasted 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nikoloz Basilashvili was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Georgean broke Mcdonald twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Basilashvili started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Nikoloz’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Bordeaux Challenger.

Basilashvili has a compiled 35-25 win-loss record in 2025, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Chengdu

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2018. See his history.

Chengdu
Basilashvili's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Musetti
N.Basilashvili
2h:16
2h:16
Time on court​
!
6h:29
6h:29
!
2h:16
2h:16
Last match​
1h:32
1h:32
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
29
29
Games Played​
99
99
3
3
Set played​​
10
10
89
89
Total points​
336
336
89
89
Avg point​
84
84
44
44
Winners
128
128
44
44
Avg Winners​
32
32
49%
49%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
49
49
10
10
Avg Aces
!
12.3
12.3
1
1
Double Faults
16
16
1
1
Avg Double Faults
4
4
44/54
44/54
1st won total​
128/172
128/172
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
10/18
10/18
2nd won total​
75/138
75/138
56%
56%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
14/28
14/28
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
3.5/7
3.5/7
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
5
5
Conceded
22
22
5
5
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
2
2
Broken
8
8
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
3
3
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Basilashvili
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 3 10
Tot Games 29 99
Pts 89-73 336-299
Total Points 162 635
Winners 44 128
%Winners 49% 38%

Musetti played 1 match while Basilashvili competed in 4 matches. Basilashvili started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set, while Nikoloz Basilashvili lost 2 sets. Musetti has played 7 set(s) less than Basilashvili (3 vs 10). Therefore, Musetti played 70 games less than Basilashvili. Musetti scored 44 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Nikoloz managed to score 128 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Basilashvili
Aces 10 49
Avg per match 10 12.3
1st in 54/72 172/310
%1st in 75% 55%
1st pts 44/54 128/172
%1st pts 81% 74%
2nd pts 10/18 75/138
%2nd pts 56% 54%

Musetti recorded 10 aces . Basilashvili managed to score 49 aces (12.3 per match). Musetti won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Basilashvili won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Basilashvili
Won 4 14
Converted 4/8 14/28
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 5 22
Saved 3 14
% Saved 60% 64%
Times Broken 2 8

The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Nikoloz broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Nikoloz conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R2
Prizmic
Total
Score 7-5 3-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 89-73 89-73
Total points 162 162
Winners 44 44
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 54/72 54/72
% 1st in 75% 75%
1st pts 44/54 44/54
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 10/18 10/18
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2
Basilashvili
Q1
Sakamoto
Q3
Tomic
R1
Harris
R2
Mcdonald
Total
Score 6-2 3-6 6-1 2-6 7-5 7-5 7-65 6-3 6-2 7-64
Tot Set 3 3 2 2 10
Tot Games 24 32 22 21 99
pts 86-74 93-91 76-68 81-66 336-299
Total points 160 184 144 147 635
Winners 33 39 26 30 128
%Winners 38% 42% 34% 37% 38%
SERVE
Aces 8 16 11 14 49
Double Faults 6 5 2 3 16
1st in 42/81 51/96 44/73 35/60 172/310
% 1st in 52% 53% 60% 58% 55%
1st pts 33/42 39/51 26/44 30/35 128/172
% 1st pts 79% 76% 59% 86% 74%
2nd pts 21/39 22/45 18/29 14/25 75/138
% 2nd pts 54% 49% 62% 56% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 2 14
Converted 4/8 4/7 4/6 2/7 14/28
Converted % 50% 57% 67% 29% 50%
Conceded 4 11 7 0 22
Saved 3/4 7/11 4/7 0/0 14
Saved % 75% 64% 57% 196%
Times Broken 1 4 3 0 8

Upcoming matches in the draw