Brandon Nakashima and Marcos Giron will fight against each other in the quarter of the Chengdu Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.49
Marcos Giron -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Marcos Giron

This will be the 3^rd time that Brandon Nakashima and Marcos Giron play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Nakashima won 6-4 6-4 in the final in San Diego back in 2022.

Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Giron – San Diego 25-September-2022

Brandon Nakashima

Ranked no. 33, Brandon reached the quarter after beating Juncheng Shang 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Shang (7-5 6-3). During the match, Nakashima scored 75 points vs Shang’s 64. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nakashima bagged 13 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 78% of his first serves in, winning 73% (41/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Shang 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Nakashima has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (254-163). 16-11 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a compiled 124-80 record in the last years on hard.

Nakashima’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.

Nakashima has an overall 28-23 win-loss record in 2025, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Marcos Giron

Ranked no. 50, the American got to the quarter after defeating Ethan Quinn 7-5 6-4 and Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Marcos had a good straight sets win against Sonego (6-4 6-4). During the match Giron scored 70 points vs Sonego’s 59. Marcos was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Giron couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Marcos Giron conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Giron put 61% of his first serves in, winning 92% (35/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Giron broke Sonego twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Giron has an aggregate 20-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nakashima	Giron
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	21	42
Pts	75-64	142-117
Total Points	139	259
Winners	41	63
%Winners	55%	44%

Nakashima played 1 match while Giron competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Nakashima has played 2 set(s) less than Giron (2 vs 4). Therefore, Nakashima played 21 games less than Giron. The American scored 41 winners (55% of the total points). On the other side, Giron struck 63 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nakashima	Giron
Aces	13	9
Avg per match	13	4.5
1st in	56/72	73/130
%1st in	78%	56%
1st pts	41/56	63/73
%1st pts	73%	86%
2nd pts	8/16	32/57
%2nd pts	50%	56%

Nakashima scored 13 aces . Giron struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Nakashima won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nakashima	Giron
Won	3	4
Converted	3/9	4/12
% Converted	33%	33%
Conceded	7	3
Saved	6	3
% Saved	86%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

Brandon broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Nakashima surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Nakashima
	R2 Shang	Total
Score	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	75-64	75-64
Total points	139	139
Winners	41	41
%Winners	55%	55%
SERVE
Aces	13	13
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	56/72	56/72
% 1st in	78%	78%
1st pts	41/56	41/56
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	8/16	8/16
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/9	3/9
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	6/7	6
Saved %	86%	86%
Times Broken	1	1

Giron
	R1 Quinn	R2 Sonego	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	20	42
pts	72-58	70-59	142-117
Total points	130	129	259
Winners	28	35	63
%Winners	39%	50%	44%
SERVE
Aces	9	0	9
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	35/68	38/62	73/130
% 1st in	51%	61%	56%
1st pts	28/35	35/38	63/73
% 1st pts	80%	92%	86%
2nd pts	22/33	10/24	32/57
% 2nd pts	67%	42%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/4	2/8	4/12
Converted %	50%	25%	33%
Conceded	1	2	3
Saved	1/1	2/2	3
Saved %	100%	100%	200%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marcos GironGiron – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – (0-2) – H2H and prediction