Mark Lajal and Moez Echargui will square off in the semifinal of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mark Lajal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mark Lajal is the pick to win this match.
Mark Lajal -> 1.64
Moez Echargui -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Mark Lajal vs. Moez Echargui

There is no head to head record between Mark Lajal and Moez Echargui since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Mark Lajal

Ranked no. 156, the Estonian reached the semifinal after beating Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 6-2 6-3, Alex Molcan 4-6 6-3 3-0 ret. and Hugo Grenier 6-4 5-7 6-4.

In the quarter, The Estonian defeated Grenier (6-4 5-7 6-4). During the match, Lajal scored 97 points vs Grenier’s 91. The Estonian was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Lajal blasted 8 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Mark Lajal was very effective on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Lajal broke Grenier 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Estonian has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Lajal has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (171-108). 20-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Lajal has a compiled103-55 record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Bloomfield Hills Challenger where he overcame Andres Martin in the final 6-7(7) 7-5 7-6(9).

Mark has a compiled 36-18 win-loss record in 2025, 20-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Moez Echargui

Ranked no. 175, Echargui reached the semifinal after defeating Ugo Blanchet 6-3 6-3, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 6-3 6-4 and Titouan Droguet 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the quarter, Echargui had a good straight sets win against Droguet (7-6³ 6-2). During the match Echargui scored 74 points vs Droguet’s 67. The Tunisian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Echargui managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Moez Echargui conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Echargui put 54% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the 2nd serve. Echargui was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Droguet twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moez hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Porto Challenger where he beat Francesco Maestrelli in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Hersonissos 4 Challenger where he defeated Dan Added in the final 5-7 6-4 3-0 ret..

Echargui has a compiled 66-15 win-loss record in 2025, 60-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Lajal	Echargui
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	9	6
Tot Games	71	58
Pts	228-198	207-171
Total Points	426	378
Winners	100	79
%Winners	44%	38%

Both Lajal and Echargui played 3 matches. At the moment, Mark Lajal lost 2 sets while Moez Echargui hasn’t conceded a set so far. Lajal has played 3 sets more than Echargui (9 vs 6). Therefore, Lajal played 13 games more than Echargui. The Estonian scored 100 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Tunisian scored 79 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Lajal	Echargui
Aces	18	12
Avg per match	6	4
1st in	122/216	105/199
%1st in	56%	53%
1st pts	100/122	79/105
%1st pts	82%	75%
2nd pts	40/94	59/94
%2nd pts	43%	63%

Lajal made 18 aces (6 per match). Echargui bagged 12 aces (4 per match). Lajal won 82% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Echargui won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Lajal	Echargui
Won	12	7
Converted	12/25	7/18
% Converted	48%	39%
Conceded	18	10
Saved	12	10
% Saved	67%	100%
Times Broken	6	0

The Estonian broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Mark dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Tunisian broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Echargui was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 10 break points.

Lajal
	R1 Gueymard	R2 Molcan	1/4 Grenier	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	4-6 6-3 3-0 ret.	6-4 5-7 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	17	22	32	71
pts	54-41	77-66	97-91	228-198
Total points	95	143	188	426
Winners	31	30	39	100
%Winners	57%	39%	40%	44%
SERVE
Aces	4	6	8	18
Double Faults	7	9	8	24
1st in	35/55	36/76	51/85	122/216
% 1st in	64%	47%	60%	56%
1st pts	31/35	30/36	39/51	100/122
% 1st pts	89%	83%	76%	82%
2nd pts	7/20	15/40	18/34	40/94
% 2nd pts	35%	38%	53%	43%
Breaks
Won	3	5	4	12
Converted	3/4	5/11	4/10	12/25
Converted %	75%	45%	40%	48%
Conceded	3	11	4	18
Saved	3/3	8/11	1/4	12
Saved %	100%	73%	25%	66%
Times Broken	0	3	3	6

Echargui
	R1 Blanchet	R2 Pacheco	1/4 Droguet	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-3 6-4	7-63 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	19	21	58
pts	65-50	68-54	74-67	207-171
Total points	115	122	141	378
Winners	25	24	30	79
%Winners	38%	35%	41%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	5	12
Double Faults	3	2	1	6
1st in	32/58	30/62	43/79	105/199
% 1st in	55%	48%	54%	53%
1st pts	25/32	24/30	30/43	79/105
% 1st pts	78%	80%	70%	75%
2nd pts	16/26	20/32	23/36	59/94
% 2nd pts	62%	63%	64%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	2	2	7
Converted	3/8	2/8	2/2	7/18
Converted %	38%	25%	100%	39%
Conceded	3	3	4	10
Saved	3/3	3/3	4/4	10
Saved %	100%	100%	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in St. Tropez Challenger

• Mark LajalLajal – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-4 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Titouan DroguetDroguet (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Martin LandaluceLandaluce (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Dan AddedAdded – Tom ParisParis (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Patrik Niklas-Salminen/Matej VocelNiklas-Salminen/Matej Vocel – Hugo Grenier/Luca SanchezGrenier/Luca Sanchez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Martin LandaluceLandaluce (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Dan AddedAdded – Tom ParisParis (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Titouan DroguetDroguet (7-6(3) 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Dan AddedAdded (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – (0-0) – H2H and prediction