Mackenzie Mcdonald and Nikoloz Basilashvili will square off in the 2^nd round of the Chengdu Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.5
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili

This will be the 5^th time that Mackenzie Mcdonald and Nikoloz Basilashvili play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Mcdonald won 6-1 6-7(4) 3-2 ret. in the qualifications in Miami back in March 2025.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 98, the American got to the 2^nd round after beating James McCabe 6-3 3-0 ret., Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 4-6 7-5 6-0 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 3-6 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Mackenzie defeated Van De Zandschulp (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match, Mcdonald scored 84 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 82. Mcdonald was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mcdonald blasted 8 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mcdonald put 67% of his first serves in, winning 76% (45/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Mcdonald broke Van De Zandschulp 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Mcdonald has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (296-237). 16-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mcdonald has an overall 182-126 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Mcdonald’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the San Diego Challenger.

Mackenzie has a composed 28-22 win-loss record in 2025, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Mcdonald has never competed in this tournament before.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Ranked no. 114, the Georgean reached the 2^nd round after defeating Rei Sakamoto 6-2 3-6 6-1, Bernard Tomic 2-6 7-5 7-5 and Billy Harris 7-6(5) 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Nikoloz had a good straight sets win against Harris (7-6⁵ 6-3). During the match Basilashvili scored 76 points vs Harris’s 68. The Georgean was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Basilashvili managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nikoloz Basilashvili lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Basilashvili put 60% of his first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the 2nd serve. Basilashvili broke Harris 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Nikoloz’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Bordeaux Challenger.

Basilashvili has an aggregate 34-25 win-loss record in 2025, 14-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mcdonald	Basilashvili
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	9	8
Tot Games	68	78
Pts	215-184	255-233
Total Points	399	488
Winners	99	98
%Winners	46%	38%

Both Mcdonald and Basilashvili played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Mackenzie Mcdonald surrendered 2 sets, while Nikoloz Basilashvili dropped 2 sets. Mcdonald has played 1 set more than Basilashvili (9 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Mcdonald played 10 games less than Basilashvili. The American scored 99 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Georgean fired 98 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mcdonald	Basilashvili
Aces	13	35
Avg per match	4.3	11.7
1st in	132/206	137/250
%1st in	64%	55%
1st pts	99/132	98/137
%1st pts	75%	72%
2nd pts	35/74	61/113
%2nd pts	47%	54%

Mcdonald struck 13 aces (4.3 per match). Basilashvili blasted 35 aces (11.7 per match). Mcdonald won 75% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Basilashvili won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mcdonald	Basilashvili
Won	12	12
Converted	12/21	12/21
% Converted	57%	57%
Conceded	18	22
Saved	13	14
% Saved	72%	64%
Times Broken	5	8

The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Mackenzie dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. The Georgean broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Georgean conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Mcdonald
	Q1 McCabe	Q3 Budkov	R1 Van De Zandschulp	Total
Score	6-3 3-0 ret.	4-6 7-5 6-0	6-4 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	12	28	28	68
pts	45-28	86-74	84-82	215-184
Total points	73	160	166	399
Winners	22	32	45	99
%Winners	49%	37%	54%	46%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	8	13
Double Faults	1	4	0	5
1st in	27/39	46/79	59/88	132/206
% 1st in	69%	58%	67%	64%
1st pts	22/27	32/46	45/59	99/132
% 1st pts	81%	70%	76%	75%
2nd pts	6/12	17/33	12/29	35/74
% 2nd pts	50%	52%	41%	47%
Breaks
Won	3	6	3	12
Converted	3/5	6/10	3/6	12/21
Converted %	60%	60%	50%	57%
Conceded	6	6	6	18
Saved	6/6	3/6	4/6	13
Saved %	100%	50%	67%	72%
Times Broken	0	3	2	5

Basilashvili
	Q1 Sakamoto	Q3 Tomic	R1 Harris	Total
Score	6-2 3-6 6-1	2-6 7-5 7-5	7-65 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	24	32	22	78
pts	86-74	93-91	76-68	255-233
Total points	160	184	144	488
Winners	33	39	26	98
%Winners	38%	42%	34%	38%
SERVE
Aces	8	16	11	35
Double Faults	6	5	2	13
1st in	42/81	51/96	44/73	137/250
% 1st in	52%	53%	60%	55%
1st pts	33/42	39/51	26/44	98/137
% 1st pts	79%	76%	59%	72%
2nd pts	21/39	22/45	18/29	61/113
% 2nd pts	54%	49%	62%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	4	4	12
Converted	4/8	4/7	4/6	12/21
Converted %	50%	57%	67%	57%
Conceded	4	11	7	22
Saved	3/4	7/11	4/7	14
Saved %	75%	64%	57%	65%
Times Broken	1	4	3	8

Tennis Scores in Chengdu

• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Yi ZhouZhou (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcos GironGiron – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Taro DanielDaniel (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – (0-2) – H2H and prediction