Francesco Maestrelli and Murkel Dellien will clash against each other in the quarter of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.61
Murkel Dellien -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Murkel Dellien

This will be the 2^nd time that Francesco Maestrelli and Murkel Dellien fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alejandro Dellien Velasco (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Alejandro Dellien Velasco won 6-3 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Naples Challenger back in March 2025.

Francesco Maestrelli

Ranked no. 159, Francesco got to the quarter after defeating Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 7-6(14) 1-6 6-3 and Matias Soto 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Soto (6-2 6-4). During the match, Maestrelli scored 70 points vs Soto’s 58. Maestrelli was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Maestrelli bagged 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 62% of his first serves in, winning 76% (28/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Soto 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maestrelli has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 51% of the points he played.

Maestrelli has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (185-150). 27-15 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Maestrelli has an aggregate122-93 record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Francavilla Challenger where he defeated Valentin Vacherot in the final 6-4 6-4 and the Brasov Challenger where he overcame Luka Pavlovic in the final 7-6(7) 6-4.

Francesco has an aggregate 36-22 win-loss record in 2025, 27-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Maestrelli has never competed in this tournament before.

Murkel Dellien

Ranked no. 279, Murkel got to the quarter after defeating Genaro Alberto Olivieri 3-6 6-1 6-4 and Guido Ivan Justo 6-4 6-0.

In the 2^nd round, Alejandro Dellien Velasco had a good straight sets win against Ivan Justo (6-4 6-0). During the match Alejandro Dellien Velasco scored 63 points vs Ivan Justo’s 40. Alejandro Dellien Velasco was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Alejandro Dellien Velasco managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Murkel Dellien conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro Dellien Velasco put 73% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. The Bolivian broke Ivan Justo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Bolivian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Murkel’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Sofia 1 Challenger.

Alejandro Dellien Velasco has a compiled 24-26 win-loss record in 2025, 24-24 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Maestrelli	Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	47	42
Pts	163-156	147-116
Total Points	319	263
Winners	86	65
%Winners	53%	44%

Both Maestrelli and Alejandro Dellien Velasco played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Maestrelli lost 1 set, while Murkel Dellien surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Maestrelli and Alejandro Dellien Velasco have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Maestrelli played 5 games more than Alejandro Dellien Velasco. Francesco scored 86 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro Dellien Velasco recorded 65 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Maestrelli	Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Aces	14	5
Avg per match	7	2.5
1st in	114/166	95/138
%1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	86/114	65/95
%1st pts	75%	68%
2nd pts	20/52	24/43
%2nd pts	38%	56%

Maestrelli fired 14 aces (7 per match). Alejandro Dellien Velasco recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Maestrelli won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Alejandro Dellien Velasco won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Maestrelli	Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Won	6	9
Converted	6/9	9/20
% Converted	67%	45%
Conceded	9	11
Saved	5	8
% Saved	56%	73%
Times Broken	4	3

Maestrelli broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Murkel broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Bolivian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Maestrelli
	R1 Joaquin	R2 Soto	Total
Score	7-614 1-6 6-3	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	29	18	47
pts	93-98	70-58	163-156
Total points	191	128	319
Winners	58	28	86
%Winners	62%	40%	53%
SERVE
Aces	7	7	14
Double Faults	8	5	13
1st in	77/106	37/60	114/166
% 1st in	73%	62%	69%
1st pts	58/77	28/37	86/114
% 1st pts	75%	76%	75%
2nd pts	10/29	10/23	20/52
% 2nd pts	34%	43%	38%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/3	4/6	6/9
Converted %	67%	67%	67%
Conceded	6	3	9
Saved	3/6	2/3	5
Saved %	50%	67%	59%
Times Broken	3	1	4

Alejandro Dellien Velasco
	R1 Alberto	R2 Ivan	Total
Score	3-6 6-1 6-4	6-4 6-0
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	26	16	42
pts	84-76	63-40	147-116
Total points	160	103	263
Winners	37	28	65
%Winners	44%	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	5
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	55/83	40/55	95/138
% 1st in	66%	73%	69%
1st pts	37/55	28/40	65/95
% 1st pts	67%	70%	68%
2nd pts	14/28	10/15	24/43
% 2nd pts	50%	67%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/12	4/8	9/20
Converted %	42%	50%	45%
Conceded	6	5	11
Saved	3/6	5/5	8
Saved %	50%	100%	75%
Times Broken	3	0	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Emilio NavaNava – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (0-1) – H2H and prediction