Mark Lajal and Hugo Grenier will clash against each other in the quarter of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mark Lajal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mark Lajal is the pick to win this match.
Mark Lajal -> 1.59
Hugo Grenier -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Mark Lajal vs. Hugo Grenier

This will be the 2^nd time that Mark Lajal and Hugo Grenier clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Grenier (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Grenier won 6-4 6-2 in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in 2024.

Mark Lajal

Ranked no. 156, Lajal got to the quarter after defeating Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 6-2 6-3 and Alex Molcan 4-6 6-3 3-0 ret..

In the 2^nd round against Molcan, Mark had a free pass after Molcan retired on a 4-6 6-3 3-0 . scoreline.

Lajal has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (170-108). 19-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Lajal has an overall102-55 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Bloomfield Hills Challenger where he overcame Andres Martin in the final 6-7(7) 7-5 7-6(9).

The Estonian has an aggregate 35-18 win-loss record in 2025, 19-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Hugo Grenier

Ranked no. 199, Hugo got to the quarter after beating Trey Hilderbrand 6-4 6-1 and Edas Butvilas 4-6 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Butvilas, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6³ 6-4). During the match Grenier scored 97 points vs Butvilas’s 91. Grenier was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Grenier managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hugo Grenier was very efficient on serve to win 78% (43/55) of his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The French player broke Butvilas 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hugo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Hugo’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Morelia Challenger and the Porto Challenger.

The French player has an aggregate 29-27 win-loss record in 2025, 21-14 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Lajal	Grenier
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	5
Tot Games	39	50
Pts	131-107	159-134
Total Points	238	293
Winners	61	71
%Winners	47%	45%

Both Lajal and Grenier played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mark Lajal conceded 1 set, while Hugo Grenier conceded 1 set. Lajal has played 1 set more than Grenier (6 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Lajal played 11 games less than Grenier. Lajal scored 61 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Grenier fired 71 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Lajal	Grenier
Aces	10	20
Avg per match	5	10
1st in	71/131	87/138
%1st in	54%	63%
1st pts	61/71	71/87
%1st pts	86%	82%
2nd pts	22/60	26/51
%2nd pts	37%	51%

Lajal fired 10 aces (5 per match). Grenier struck 20 aces (10 per match). Lajal won 86% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Grenier won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Lajal	Grenier
Won	8	7
Converted	8/15	7/18
% Converted	53%	39%
Conceded	14	7
Saved	11	4
% Saved	79%	57%
Times Broken	3	3

Lajal broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Estonian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Hugo broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Lajal
	R1 Gueymard	R2 Molcan	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	4-6 6-3 3-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	22	39
pts	54-41	77-66	131-107
Total points	95	143	238
Winners	31	30	61
%Winners	57%	39%	47%
SERVE
Aces	4	6	10
Double Faults	7	9	16
1st in	35/55	36/76	71/131
% 1st in	64%	47%	54%
1st pts	31/35	30/36	61/71
% 1st pts	89%	83%	86%
2nd pts	7/20	15/40	22/60
% 2nd pts	35%	38%	37%
Breaks
Won	3	5	8
Converted	3/4	5/11	8/15
Converted %	75%	45%	53%
Conceded	3	11	14
Saved	3/3	8/11	11
Saved %	100%	73%	87%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Grenier
	R1 Hilderbrand	R2 Butvilas	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	4-6 7-63 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	33	50
pts	62-43	97-91	159-134
Total points	105	188	293
Winners	28	43	71
%Winners	45%	44%	45%
SERVE
Aces	11	9	20
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	32/46	55/92	87/138
% 1st in	70%	60%	63%
1st pts	28/32	43/55	71/87
% 1st pts	88%	78%	82%
2nd pts	7/14	19/37	26/51
% 2nd pts	50%	51%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/9	3/9	7/18
Converted %	44%	33%	39%
Conceded	0	7	7
Saved	0/0	4/7	4
Saved %	–	57%	29%
Times Broken	0	3	3

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