Dan Added and Tom Paris will face off in the quarter of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tom Paris who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tom Paris is the pick to win this match.
Tom Paris -> 1.75
Dan Added -> 1.99

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Prediction and head to head Dan Added vs. Tom Paris

This will be the 3^rd time that Dan Added and Tom Paris face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paris (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Paris won 6-7(5) 7-6(10) 7-6(4) in the semifinal in M25 Sarreguemines back in 2023.

Dan Added

Ranked no. 272, Added got to the quarter after defeating Kyrian Jacquet 6-2 6-4 and Harold Mayot 4-6 6-1 7-6(6).

In the 2^nd round against Mayot, Added recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-6⁶). During the match, Added scored 112 points vs Mayot’s 99. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Added blasted 13 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Dan Added lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Added put 65% of his first serves in, winning 74% (49/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Dan broke Mayot 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Added has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (342-228). 28-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Added has a compiled133-76 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Added’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Dizier,Saunier,M15 Monastir,M25 Elvas,M25 Monastir,the Hersonissos 3 Challenger and the Hersonissos 4 Challenger.

Added has a composed 60-23 win-loss record in 2025, 28-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Tom Paris

Ranked no. 306, Paris reached the quarter after beating Robin Catry 6-7(1) 6-4 6-4, Maxime Janvier 6-3 7-6(7), Gregoire Barrere 6-4 3-6 6-0 and Mikhail Kukushkin 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Tom had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (7-6⁵ 6-4). During the match Paris scored 74 points vs Kukushkin’s 72. Paris was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Paris blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tom Paris lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Paris put 63% of his first serves in, winning 80% (40/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Kukushkin twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tom started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Oslo,M25 Nussloch and Nova.

Paris has a composed 36-20 win-loss record in 2025, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Added	Paris
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	10
Tot Games	48	103
Pts	180-151	336-305
Total Points	331	641
Winners	75	161
%Winners	42%	48%

Added played 2 matches while Paris competed in 4 matches. Paris started his run from the qualifications while Added had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Dan Added dropped 1 set, while Tom Paris dropped 2 sets. Added has played 5 set(s) less than Paris (5 vs 10). Therefore, Added played 55 games less than Paris. The French player scored 75 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Tom blasted 161 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Added	Paris
Aces	19	23
Avg per match	9.5	5.8
1st in	102/155	216/337
%1st in	66%	64%
1st pts	75/102	161/216
%1st pts	74%	75%
2nd pts	26/53	64/121
%2nd pts	49%	53%

Added fired 19 aces (9.5 per match). Paris struck 23 aces (5.8 per match). Added won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Paris won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Added	Paris
Won	8	12
Converted	8/19	12/30
% Converted	42%	40%
Conceded	14	20
Saved	10	14
% Saved	71%	70%
Times Broken	4	6

Dan broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Dan surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. Paris conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Added
	R1 Jacquet	R2 Mayot	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	4-6 6-1 7-66
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	18	30	48
pts	68-52	112-99	180-151
Total points	120	211	331
Winners	26	49	75
%Winners	38%	44%	42%
SERVE
Aces	6	13	19
Double Faults	2	7	9
1st in	36/54	66/101	102/155
% 1st in	67%	65%	66%
1st pts	26/36	49/66	75/102
% 1st pts	72%	74%	74%
2nd pts	10/18	16/35	26/53
% 2nd pts	56%	46%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/7	4/12	8/19
Converted %	57%	33%	42%
Conceded	3	11	14
Saved	2/3	8/11	10
Saved %	67%	73%	70%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Paris
	Q1 Catry	Q3 Janvier	R1 Barrere	R2 Kukushkin	Total
Score	6-71 6-4 6-4	6-3 7-67	6-4 3-6 6-0	7-65 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	33	22	25	23	103
pts	100-95	76-66	86-72	74-72	336-305
Total points	195	142	158	146	641
Winners	41	42	38	40	161
%Winners	41%	55%	44%	54%	48%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	8	7	23
Double Faults	4	3	4	2	13
1st in	54/93	56/82	56/83	50/79	216/337
% 1st in	58%	68%	67%	63%	64%
1st pts	41/54	42/56	38/56	40/50	161/216
% 1st pts	76%	75%	68%	80%	75%
2nd pts	23/39	16/26	12/27	13/29	64/121
% 2nd pts	59%	62%	44%	45%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	1	5	2	12
Converted	4/12	1/2	5/11	2/5	12/30
Converted %	33%	50%	45%	40%	40%
Conceded	3	5	6	6	20
Saved	1/3	5/5	3/6	5/6	14
Saved %	33%	100%	50%	83%	133%
Times Broken	2	0	3	1	6

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