Francesco Passaro and Jan Choinski will square off in the quarter of the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.5
Jan Choinski -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Jan Choinski
There is no head to head record between Francesco Passaro and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Francesco Passaro
31 - 19win/loss
128
89
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-26 | 8-5 | 23-14 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, Passaro reached the quarter after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-1 5-7 6-4 and Luka Pavlovic 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Pavlovic (6-2 6-2). During the match, Passaro scored 61 points vs Pavlovic’s 34. Passaro was quite aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Passaro scored 5 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Francesco Passaro was very efficient on serve to win 86% (18/21) of his 1st serve and 88% (14/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Passaro broke Pavlovic 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francesco has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Passaro has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (205-151). 23-13 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Passaro has an aggregate165-107 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Passaro’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Sassuolo Challenger.
Passaro has a composed 31-19 win-loss record in 2025, 23-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
Jan Choinski
26 - 22win/loss
129
126
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-26 | 0-4 | 29-14 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 227, the Brit got to the quarter after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-1 6-4 and Marko Topo 2-6 6-1 7-6(6).
In the 2nd round against Topo, Choinski recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 7-66). During the match Choinski scored 106 points vs Topo’s 95. Jan was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Choinski scored 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 64% of his first serves in, winning 72% (44/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Jan broke Topo 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jan has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Troyes Challenger where he overcame Calvin Hemery in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 and the Bunschoten Challenger where he overcame Kimmer Coppejans in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.
The Brit has an aggregate 26-22 win-loss record in 2025, 20-13 on clay (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 45 |
| Pts | 153-113 | 175-146 |
| Total Points | 266 | 321 |
| Winners | 54 | 69 |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Passaro and Choinski played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Passaro conceded 1 set, while Jan Choinski dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Passaro and Choinski have played the same amount of sets 5. They also played the same amount of games (45). The Italian scored 54 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Choinski struck 69 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 72/123 | 99/150 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 54/72 | 69/99 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 34/51 | 28/51 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 55% |
Passaro managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Choinski blasted 16 aces (8 per match). Passaro won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 8/21 |
| % Converted | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 25% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Passaro broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Choinski broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Choinski conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Passaro | ||||
| R1 Lajovic | R2 Pavlovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 5-7 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 16 | 45 | |
| pts | 92-79 | 61-34 | 153-113 | |
| Total points | 171 | 95 | 266 | |
| Winners | 36 | 18 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 30% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/86 | 21/37 | 72/123 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 18/21 | 54/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 86% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 14/16 | 34/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 88% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/10 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | – | 13% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Choinski | ||||
| R1 Sachko | R2 Topo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 2-6 6-1 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 28 | 45 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 106-95 | 175-146 | |
| Total points | 120 | 201 | 321 | |
| Winners | 25 | 44 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 13 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/54 | 61/96 | 99/150 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/38 | 44/61 | 69/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 72% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 16/35 | 28/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 46% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/12 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zdenek KolarKolar – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sandro KoppKopp – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction