Mathys Erhard and Corentin Denolly will fight against each other in the quarter of the Targu Mures 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathys Erhard who should win in 3 sets.
Mathys Erhard -> 1.52
Corentin Denolly -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Mathys Erhard vs. Corentin Denolly
There is no head to head record between Mathys Erhard and Corentin Denolly since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Mathys Erhard
24 - 22win/loss
316
249
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-28 | 7-6 | 22-20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 62-28 | 2-2 | 59-25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-35 | 4-4 | 49-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-22 | 10-7 | 33-13 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 10-5 | 31-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 274, the French player reached the quarter after beating Maxim Mrva 7-6(6) 7-5 and Sebastian Gima 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Mathys had a good straight sets win against Gima (6-3 6-4). During the match, Erhard scored 58 points vs Gima’s 51. Mathys was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Erhard wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Mathys Erhard lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Erhard put 73% of his first serves in, winning 77% (33/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (6/16) on the 2nd serve. Mathys broke Gima 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Erhard hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Erhard has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (251-156). 21-19 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Erhard has a composed214-117 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Erhard’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Poznan.
Erhard has a compiled 24-22 win-loss record in 2025, 21-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Targu Mures 2 Challenger
Corentin Denolly
20 - 25win/loss
379
269
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-29 | 3-6 | 25-21 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 0-0 | 32-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 2-4 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 320, Corentin reached the quarter after beating Gerard Campana Lee 6-7(2) 7-6(4) 6-2 and Max Alcala Gurri 6-3 3-6 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, Corentin defeated Alcala Gurri (6-3 3-6 7-65).During the match Denolly scored less points (8) than Alcala Gurri. In fact, the world no. 274 won 110 points vs Alcala Gurri’s. That means that Denolly was more focused during the important points. Denolly was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Denolly scored 2 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Corentin Denolly lost the serve 6 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Denolly put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (50/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (15/46) on the 2nd serve. Denolly broke Alcala Gurri 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Corentin has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
The French player best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Targu Mures.
Corentin has an overall 20-25 win-loss record in 2025, 16-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Erhard | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 65 |
| Pts | 154-134 | 233-229 |
| Total Points | 288 | 462 |
| Winners | 76 | 104 |
| %Winners | 49% | 45% |
Both Erhard and Denolly played 2 matches. At the moment, Corentin Denolly surrendered 2 sets while Mathys Erhard hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Erhard has played 2 set(s) less than Denolly (4 vs 6). Therefore, Erhard played 21 games less than Denolly. Mathys scored 76 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin blasted 104 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Erhard | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 102/149 | 153/245 |
| %1st in | 68% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 76/102 | 104/153 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 23/47 | 39/92 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 42% |
Erhard fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Denolly blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Erhard won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Denolly won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Erhard | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 19 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 63% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
Erhard broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Erhard lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Denolly conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Erhard | ||||
| R1 Mrva | R2 Gima | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 19 | 44 | |
| pts | 96-83 | 58-51 | 154-134 | |
| Total points | 179 | 109 | 288 | |
| Winners | 43 | 33 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 57% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 59/90 | 43/59 | 102/149 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 43/59 | 33/43 | 76/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 77% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 6/16 | 23/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 38% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/5 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Denolly | ||||
| R1 Campana | R2 Alcala | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 7-64 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 31 | 65 | |
| pts | 123-111 | 110-118 | 233-229 | |
| Total points | 234 | 228 | 462 | |
| Winners | 54 | 50 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 75/121 | 78/124 | 153/245 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 54/75 | 50/78 | 104/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 64% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 15/46 | 39/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 33% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/11 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 55% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 12 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 6/12 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 50% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Mathys ErhardErhard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PicchionePicchione – Miguel DamasDamas (0-0) – H2H and prediction