Pablo Carreno-Busta and Sebastian Sorger will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.07
Sebastian Sorger -> 7.1
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Sebastian Sorger
There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Sebastian Sorger since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
30 - 23win/loss
89
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-26 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 125, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after defeating Lukas Neumayer 7-5 4-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Carreno-Busta defeated Neumayer (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 93 points vs Neumayer’s 79. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta blasted 5 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was very effective on serve to win 78% (42/54) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Pablo broke Neumayer 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (281-191). 13-13 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an overall 108-72 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.
Pablo has a composed 30-23 win-loss record in 2025, 13-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Sorger
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-24 | 0-1 | 35-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-25 | 1-3 | 34-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-30 | 32-14 | 20-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-22 | 9-7 | 19-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 632, the Austrian got to the 2nd round after defeating Jozef Kovalik 6-4 5-7 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Austrian defeated Kovalik (6-4 5-7 6-4). During the match Sorger scored 104 points vs Kovalik’s 100. The Austrian was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Sorger struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Sorger lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sorger put 75% of his first serves in, winning 63% (50/80) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Kovalik 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Sebastian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Telfs.
Sorger has a compiled 28-18 win-loss record in 2025, 28-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 32 |
| Pts | 93-79 | 104-100 |
| Total Points | 172 | 204 |
| Winners | 42 | 50 |
| %Winners | 45% | 48% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Sorger played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set, while Sebastian Sorger lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Sorger have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Carreno-Busta played 1 game less than Sorger. Pablo scored 42 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian struck 50 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 54/85 | 80/107 |
| %1st in | 64% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 42/54 | 50/80 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 13/27 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 48% |
Carreno-Busta managed to score 5 aces . Sorger managed to score 3 aces . Carreno-Busta won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Sorger won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 40% | 60% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Carreno-Busta broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Sorger broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Austrian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Neumayer | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 93-79 | 93-79 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 54/85 | 54/85 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 42/54 | 42/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Sorger | |||
| R1 Kovalik | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 104-100 | 104-100 | |
| Total points | 204 | 204 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 80/107 | 80/107 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 50/80 | 50/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 13/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
- Gabriele PirainoPiraino – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (2-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Hynek BartonBarton – Marvin MoellerMoeller (6-3 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Sebastian SorgerSorger – Jozef KovalikKovalik (6-4 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Matej DodigDodig (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Dennis NovakNovak (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Tadeas ParoulekParoulek (6-4 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 3-6 7-61) – See score progression
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Marko TopoTopo – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Sandro KoppKopp – Elias YmerYmer (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-1 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Marko TopoTopo – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Gabriele PirainoPiraino – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (2-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Hynek BartonBarton – Marvin MoellerMoeller (6-3 3-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Dennis NovakNovak (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian SorgerSorger – Jozef KovalikKovalik (6-4 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 3-6 7-6(1)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sandro KoppKopp – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – (1-0) – H2H and prediction