Francesco Maestrelli and Matias Soto will play each other in the 2nd round of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.35
Matias Soto -> 2.99

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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Matias Soto

There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Matias Soto since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Francesco Maestrelli

Francesco Maestrelli

36 - 22win/loss

Hard
9-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
27-15
Grass
0-1
Rank
157
High
149
WWWLWLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 44-29 9-7 28-18 7-3 0-1 0-0
2024 37-36 11-7 21-23 5-5 0-1 0-0
2023 27-38 9-10 16-24 2-3 0-1 0-0
2022 44-24 5-4 34-12 5-8 0-0 0-0
2021 32-18 8-3 18-12 6-3 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 159, Francesco got to the 2nd round after beating Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 7-6(14) 1-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Italian defeated Joaquin Rodriguez (7-614 1-6 6-3).During the match, Maestrelli scored less points (5) than Joaquin Rodriguez. In fact, the world no. 159 won 93 points vs Joaquin Rodriguez’s. That means that Maestrelli was more focused during the important points. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 58 winners.

Talking about the service games, Maestrelli struck 7 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 73% of his first serves in, winning 75% (58/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (10/29) on the 2nd serve. Maestrelli broke Joaquin Rodriguez twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Maestrelli has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (184-150). 26-15 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maestrelli has an aggregate121-93 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Francavilla Challenger where he overcame Valentin Vacherot in the final 6-4 6-4 and the Brasov Challenger where he defeated Luka Pavlovic in the final 7-6(7) 6-4.

Maestrelli has a compiled 35-22 win-loss record in 2025, 26-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Francesco has never competed in this tournament before.

Villa Maria Challenger
Maestrelli's Record

Matias Soto

Matias Soto

18 - 23win/loss

Hard
2-4
I Hard
0-3
Clay
16-16
Rank
300
High
240
LLLLWLWWLL
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-30 2-4 19-21 0-5 0-0 0-0
2024 57-27 10-9 43-17 4-1 0-0 0-0
2023 18-19 4-4 14-14 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 21-7 7-3 14-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 12-9 6-3 6-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 287, Soto got to the 2nd round after beating Carlos Maria Zarate 6-4 7-5.

In the 1st round, Soto had a good straight sets win against Maria Zarate (6-4 7-5). During the match Soto scored 78 points vs Maria Zarate’s 68. Soto was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Soto managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Matias Soto was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matias broke Maria Zarate 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Matias’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Concepcion Challenger,the Campinas Challenger and M25 Coquimbo.

The Chilean has an overall 18-22 win-loss record in 2025, 16-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Villa Maria Challenger
Soto's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

F.Maestrelli
M.Soto
2h:27
2h:27
Time on court​
1h:38
1h:38
!
2h:27
2h:27
Last match​
1h:38
1h:38
1
1
Match played
1
1
29
29
Games Played​
22
22
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
93
93
Total points​
78
78
93
93
Avg point​
78
78
58
58
Winners
28
28
58
58
Avg Winners​
28
28
62%
62%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
5
5
7
7
Avg Aces
5
5
8
8
Double Faults
1
1
!
8
8
Avg Double Faults
1
1
58/77
58/77
1st won total​
28/38
28/38
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
10/29
10/29
2nd won total​
18/30
18/30
!
34%
34%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
2/3
2/3
BP won
3/6
3/6
2/3
2/3
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
!
67%
67%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
3
3
Broken
1
1
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
3
3
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Maestrelli Soto
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 29 22
Pts 93-98 78-68
Total Points 191 146
Winners 58 28
%Winners 62% 36%

Both Maestrelli and Soto played 1 match. At the moment, Francesco Maestrelli dropped 1 set while Matias Soto hasn’t dropped a set so far. Maestrelli has played 1 set more than Soto (3 vs 2). Therefore, Maestrelli played 7 games more than Soto. Maestrelli scored 58 winners (62% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean scored 28 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Maestrelli Soto
Aces 7 5
Avg per match 7 5
1st in 77/106 38/68
%1st in 73% 56%
1st pts 58/77 28/38
%1st pts 75% 74%
2nd pts 10/29 18/30
%2nd pts 34% 60%

Maestrelli bagged 7 aces . Soto struck 5 aces . Maestrelli won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 34% of the points. On the other side, Soto won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Maestrelli Soto
Won 2 3
Converted 2/3 3/6
% Converted 67% 50%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 3 3
% Saved 50% 75%
Times Broken 3 1

Francesco broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Matias broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Soto conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Maestrelli
R1
Joaquin		 Total
Score 7-614 1-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 93-98 93-98
Total points 191 191
Winners 58 58
%Winners 62% 62%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 8 8
1st in 77/106 77/106
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 58/77 58/77
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 10/29 10/29
% 2nd pts 34% 34%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/3 2/3
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 3
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 3
Soto
R1
Maria		 Total
Score 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 78-68 78-68
Total points 146 146
Winners 28 28
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 38/68 38/68
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 28/38 28/38
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 18/30 18/30
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Villa Maria Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Maestrelli
More Stats
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Soto

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