Mikhail Kukushkin and Tom Paris will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikhail Kukushkin who should win in 3 sets.
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 1.53
Tom Paris -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Mikhail Kukushkin vs. Tom Paris
There is no head to head record between Mikhail Kukushkin and Tom Paris since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mikhail Kukushkin
17 - 21win/loss
294
39
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-27 | 11-13 | 3-2 | 9-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-32 | 24-10 | 10-9 | 12-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-24 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 18-11 | 0-2 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-24 | 8-9 | 0-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 259, the Kazakhstani reached the 2nd round after defeating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 5-7 7-6(4) 7-5.
In the 1st round against Herbert, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-64 7-5). During the match, Kukushkin scored 117 points vs Herbert’s 104. Kukushkin was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kukushkin struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mikhail Kukushkin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kukushkin put 67% of his first serves in, winning 76% (53/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Mikhail broke Herbert 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Kukushkin has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (282-252). 11-12 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kukushkin has a composed 133-104 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Kukushkin has a compiled 17-21 win-loss record in 2025, 11-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
Tom Paris
35 - 20win/loss
252
252
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-28 | 14-4 | 10-11 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 9-1 |
| 2024 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 5-7 | 10-4 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 306, Paris reached the 2nd round after beating Robin Catry 6-7(1) 6-4 6-4, Maxime Janvier 6-3 7-6(7) and Gregoire Barrere 6-4 3-6 6-0.
In the 1st round, The French player defeated Barrere (6-4 3-6 6-0). During the match Paris scored 86 points vs Barrere’s 72. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Paris struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Tom Paris lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paris put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Paris broke Barrere 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Paris’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Oslo,M25 Nussloch and Nova.
Paris has a composed 35-20 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kukushkin | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 80 |
| Pts | 117-104 | 262-233 |
| Total Points | 221 | 495 |
| Winners | 53 | 121 |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% |
Kukushkin played 1 match while Paris competed in 3 matches. Paris started his run from the qualifications while Kukushkin had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Mikhail Kukushkin lost 1 set, while Tom Paris surrendered 2 sets. Kukushkin has played 5 set(s) less than Paris (3 vs 8). Therefore, Kukushkin played 43 games less than Paris. Mikhail scored 53 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Tom scored 121 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kukushkin | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 70/104 | 166/258 |
| %1st in | 67% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 53/70 | 121/166 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 51/92 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Kukushkin managed to score 3 aces . Paris managed to score 16 aces (5.3 per match). Kukushkin won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Paris won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kukushkin | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 10 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 10/25 |
| % Converted | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Tom broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kukushkin | |||
| R1 Herbert | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-64 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 37 | |
| pts | 117-104 | 117-104 | |
| Total points | 221 | 221 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 70/104 | 70/104 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 53/70 | 53/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 17/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Paris | |||||
| Q1 Catry | Q3 Janvier | R1 Barrere | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-71 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 7-67 | 6-4 3-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 22 | 25 | 80 | |
| pts | 100-95 | 76-66 | 86-72 | 262-233 | |
| Total points | 195 | 142 | 158 | 495 | |
| Winners | 41 | 42 | 38 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 55% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 54/93 | 56/82 | 56/83 | 166/258 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 68% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 41/54 | 42/56 | 38/56 | 121/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 75% | 68% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/39 | 16/26 | 12/27 | 51/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 62% | 44% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 1/2 | 5/11 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 45% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/5 | 3/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 50% | 183% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in St. Tropez Challenger
- Harold MayotMayot – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Mark LajalLajal – Sascha Gueymard WayenburgGueymard Wayenburg (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Moez EcharguiEchargui – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Trey HilderbrandHilderbrand (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Marek GengelGengel – Norbert GombosGombos (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Florent BaxBax (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Justin EngelEngel (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (5-7 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez – Etienne DonnetDonnet (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tom ParisParis – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-4 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Luca PotenzaPotenza (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Robin BertrandBertrand – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Edas ButvilasButvilas – Matteo GiganteGigante (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mae MaligeMalige – Michael MmohMmoh (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dan AddedAdded – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Florent BaxBax (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Marek GengelGengel – Norbert GombosGombos (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Robin BertrandBertrand – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Justin EngelEngel (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (5-7 7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Tom ParisParis – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-4 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Luca PotenzaPotenza (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez – Etienne DonnetDonnet (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Trey HilderbrandHilderbrand (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Edas ButvilasButvilas – Matteo GiganteGigante (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dan AddedAdded – Harold MayotMayot (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction