Mikhail Kukushkin and Tom Paris will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikhail Kukushkin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mikhail Kukushkin is the pick to win this match.
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 1.53
Tom Paris -> 2.375

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Prediction and head to head Mikhail Kukushkin vs. Tom Paris

There is no head to head record between Mikhail Kukushkin and Tom Paris since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Mikhail Kukushkin

Mikhail Kukushkin

17 - 21win/loss

Hard
11-12
I Hard
2-4
Clay
3-2
Grass
1-3
Rank
294
High
39
LWWWWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-27 11-13 3-2 9-9 1-3 0-0
2024 52-32 24-10 10-9 12-9 6-4 0-0
2023 23-24 17-11 3-5 3-8 0-0 0-0
2022 36-28 18-11 0-2 13-11 5-4 0-0
2021 12-24 8-9 0-6 2-6 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 259, the Kazakhstani reached the 2nd round after defeating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 5-7 7-6(4) 7-5.

In the 1st round against Herbert, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-64 7-5). During the match, Kukushkin scored 117 points vs Herbert’s 104. Kukushkin was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kukushkin struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mikhail Kukushkin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kukushkin put 67% of his first serves in, winning 76% (53/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Mikhail broke Herbert 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Kukushkin has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (282-252). 11-12 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kukushkin has a composed 133-104 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Kukushkin has a compiled 17-21 win-loss record in 2025, 11-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

St. Tropez Challenger
Kukushkin's Record

Tom Paris

Tom Paris

35 - 20win/loss

Hard
11-2
I Hard
9-7
Clay
10-11
Carpet
5-0
Rank
252
High
252
LWWWLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-28 14-4 10-11 12-12 0-0 9-1
2024 19-10 12-5 0-1 5-3 0-0 2-1
2023 38-21 5-7 10-4 18-10 0-0 5-0
2022 4-1 4-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 2-3 1-2 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 306, Paris reached the 2nd round after beating Robin Catry 6-7(1) 6-4 6-4, Maxime Janvier 6-3 7-6(7) and Gregoire Barrere 6-4 3-6 6-0.

In the 1st round, The French player defeated Barrere (6-4 3-6 6-0). During the match Paris scored 86 points vs Barrere’s 72. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Paris struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Tom Paris lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paris put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Paris broke Barrere 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Paris’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Oslo,M25 Nussloch and Nova.

Paris has a composed 35-20 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

St. Tropez Challenger
Paris's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Kukushkin
T.Paris
2h:42
2h:42
Time on court​
!
5h:40
5h:40
!
2h:42
2h:42
Last match​
1h:36
1h:36
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
37
37
Games Played​
80
80
3
3
Set played​​
8
8
117
117
Total points​
262
262
117
117
Avg point​
87.3
87.3
53
53
Winners
121
121
53
53
Avg Winners​
40.3
40.3
45%
45%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
16
16
3
3
Avg Aces
5.3
5.3
3
3
Double Faults
11
11
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
53/70
53/70
1st won total​
121/166
121/166
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
17/34
17/34
2nd won total​
51/92
51/92
50%
50%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
10/25
10/25
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
3.3/8.3
3.3/8.3
44%
44%
Won
40%
40%
8
8
Conceded
14
14
8
8
Avg Conceded
4.7
4.7
4
4
Broken
5
5
4
4
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
4
4
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kukushkin Paris
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 8
Tot Games 37 80
Pts 117-104 262-233
Total Points 221 495
Winners 53 121
%Winners 45% 46%

Kukushkin played 1 match while Paris competed in 3 matches. Paris started his run from the qualifications while Kukushkin had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Mikhail Kukushkin lost 1 set, while Tom Paris surrendered 2 sets. Kukushkin has played 5 set(s) less than Paris (3 vs 8). Therefore, Kukushkin played 43 games less than Paris. Mikhail scored 53 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Tom scored 121 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kukushkin Paris
Aces 3 16
Avg per match 3 5.3
1st in 70/104 166/258
%1st in 67% 64%
1st pts 53/70 121/166
%1st pts 76% 73%
2nd pts 17/34 51/92
%2nd pts 50% 55%

Kukushkin managed to score 3 aces . Paris managed to score 16 aces (5.3 per match). Kukushkin won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Paris won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kukushkin Paris
Won 4 10
Converted 4/9 10/25
% Converted 44% 40%
Conceded 8 14
Saved 4 9
% Saved 50% 64%
Times Broken 4 5

The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Tom broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Kukushkin
R1
Herbert
Total
Score 5-7 7-64 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 37 37
pts 117-104 117-104
Total points 221 221
Winners 53 53
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 70/104 70/104
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 53/70 53/70
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 17/34 17/34
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 4/8 4
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 4
Paris
Q1
Catry
Q3
Janvier
R1
Barrere
Total
Score 6-71 6-4 6-4 6-3 7-67 6-4 3-6 6-0
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 33 22 25 80
pts 100-95 76-66 86-72 262-233
Total points 195 142 158 495
Winners 41 42 38 121
%Winners 41% 55% 44% 46%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 8 16
Double Faults 4 3 4 11
1st in 54/93 56/82 56/83 166/258
% 1st in 58% 68% 67% 64%
1st pts 41/54 42/56 38/56 121/166
% 1st pts 76% 75% 68% 73%
2nd pts 23/39 16/26 12/27 51/92
% 2nd pts 59% 62% 44% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 1 5 10
Converted 4/12 1/2 5/11 10/25
Converted % 33% 50% 45% 40%
Conceded 3 5 6 14
Saved 1/3 5/5 3/6 9
Saved % 33% 100% 50% 183%
Times Broken 2 0 3 5

Tennis Scores in St. Tropez Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw