Mackenzie Mcdonald and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will play each other in the qualifications of the Chengdu Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.65
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
There is no head to head record between Mackenzie Mcdonald and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
26 - 22win/loss
112
37
LWWLWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-31 | 24-16 | 1-4 | 9-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 98, Mackenzie got to the qualifications after beating James McCabe 6-3 3-0 ret..
In the qualifications against McCabe, the American had a free pass after McCabe retired on a 6-3 3-0 . scoreline.
Mcdonald has good match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (294-237). 14-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mcdonald has a composed 180-126 record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the San Diego Challenger.
Mcdonald has a composed 26-22 win-loss record in 2025, 14-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chengdu
Mackenzie has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
41 - 21win/loss
133
132
LLLLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-27 | 7-2 | 18-12 | 22-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-11 | 5-5 | 19-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 158 (career-high), the Norwegian got to the qualifications after beating Yannick Hanfmann 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Budkov had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-3 6-4). During the match Budkov scored 67 points vs Hanfmann’s 48. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Budkov managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 82% (14/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Norwegian broke Hanfmann twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Glasgow Challenger where he beat Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Tampere Challenger where he beat Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the final 7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-2 and the Astana Challenger where he defeated Alexandr Binda in the final 6-4 6-3.
Nicolai has an overall 41-21 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mcdonald | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 12 | 19 |
| Pts | 45-28 | 67-48 |
| Total Points | 73 | 115 |
| Winners | 22 | 28 |
| %Winners | 49% | 42% |
Both Mcdonald and Budkov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Mcdonald has played 1 set more than Budkov (3 vs 2). However, it’s interesting to notice that Mcdonald played 7 games less than Budkov. Mackenzie scored 22 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian fired 28 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mcdonald | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 27/39 | 37/54 |
| %1st in | 69% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 28/37 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 14/17 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 82% |
Mcdonald scored 2 aces . Budkov blasted 6 aces . Mcdonald won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Budkov won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 82% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mcdonald | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 |
| Saved | 6 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Mcdonald pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 6 break points. Budkov broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Norwegian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Mcdonald | |||
| Q1 McCabe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
| pts | 45-28 | 45-28 | |
| Total points | 73 | 73 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/39 | 27/39 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 22/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Budkov | |||
| Q1 Hanfmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 67-48 | 67-48 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 37/54 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 14/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 82% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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