H2H, prediction of Marvin Moeller vs Jozef Kovalik in Bad Waltersdorf Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 15th September 2025

PREVIEW. Bad Waltersdorf Challenger. Moeller and Kovalik will face off in the qualifications of the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Monday the 15th of September

Prediction and head to head Marvin Moeller vs. Jozef Kovalik

Marvin Moeller and Jozef Kovalik will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:45 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.51
Marvin Moeller -> 2.42

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Marvin Moeller vs. Jozef Kovalik

This will be the 2nd time that Marvin Moeller and Jozef Kovalik face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kovalik (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Kovalik won 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in the Szczecin Challenger back in September 2025.

Marvin Moeller

Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
256
High
256
WWWLWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 48-22 0-0 32-15 16-7 0-0 0-0
2025 43-25 1-2 29-16 13-7 0-0 0-0
2024 25-18 0-0 13-13 12-5 0-0 0-0
2023 59-27 2-1 36-16 20-8 0-0 1-2
2022 18-7 0-0 2-2 16-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 432, Marvin got to the qualifications after beating Nico Hipfl 7-6(8) 7-5.

In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Hipfl (7-68 7-5). During the match, Moeller scored 101 points vs Hipfl’s 93. The German was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Moeller wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Marvin Moeller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Moeller put 70% of his first serves in, winning 61% (40/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Hipfl 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Moeller has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (223-131). 27-13 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moeller has a composed112-70 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Marvin’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Oberhaching,M25 Brussels and M15 Amstelveen.

Moeller has a compiled 37-18 win-loss record in 2025, 27-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger

Moeller
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
Moeller's Record

Jozef Kovalik

Jozef Kovalik
Jozef Kovalik

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
889
High
80
LWLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 3-5 0-0 3-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2025 14-23 2-5 11-14 0-3 1-1 0-0
2024 36-25 3-5 30-15 3-4 0-1 0-0
2023 23-34 1-3 21-28 1-2 0-1 0-0
2022 33-23 3-6 29-13 1-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 515, Jozef reached the qualifications after beating Marco Cecchinato 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the qualifications, Jozef had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (7-63 6-2). During the match Kovalik scored 79 points vs Cecchinato’s 62. Kovalik was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Kovalik managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jozef Kovalik was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jozef broke Cecchinato twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

The Slovakian has a compiled 13-21 win-loss record in 2025, 10-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Kovalik
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
Kovalik's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Moeller
J.Kovalik
2h:17
2h:17
Time on court​
1h:34
1h:34
!
2h:17
2h:17
Last match​
1h:34
1h:34
1
1
Match played
1
1
25
25
Games Played​
21
21
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
101
101
Total points​
79
79
101
101
Avg point​
79
79
40
40
Winners
31
31
40
40
Avg Winners​
31
31
40%
40%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
3
3
0
0
Avg Aces
3
3
0
0
Double Faults
3
3
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3
3
40/66
40/66
1st won total​
31/43
31/43
61%
61%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
13/28
13/28
2nd won total​
18/27
18/27
46%
46%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
2/5
2/5
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
2/5
2/5
33%
33%
Won
40%
40%
6
6
Conceded
0
0
6
6
Avg Conceded
0
0
3
3
Broken
0
0
3
3
Avg Broken
!
0
0
3
3
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Moeller Kovalik
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 25 21
Pts 101-93 79-62
Total Points 194 141
Winners 40 31
%Winners 40% 39%

Both Moeller and Kovalik played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Moeller and Kovalik have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Moeller played 4 games more than Kovalik. Marvin scored 40 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jozef blasted 31 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Moeller Kovalik
Aces 0 3
Avg per match 0 3
1st in 66/94 43/70
%1st in 70% 61%
1st pts 40/66 31/43
%1st pts 61% 72%
2nd pts 13/28 18/27
%2nd pts 46% 67%

Moeller didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kovalik managed to score 3 aces . Moeller won 61% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Moeller Kovalik
Won 4 2
Converted 4/12 2/5
% Converted 33% 40%
Conceded 6 0
Saved 3 0
% Saved 50% 0%
Times Broken 3 0

Moeller broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Marvin lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Kovalik broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Kovalik was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Moeller
Q1
Hipfl
Total
Score 7-68 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 25 25
pts 101-93 101-93
Total points 194 194
Winners 40 40
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 66/94 66/94
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 40/66 40/66
% 1st pts 61% 61%
2nd pts 13/28 13/28
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 3
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 3
Kovalik
Q1
Cecchinato
Total
Score 7-63 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 79-62 79-62
Total points 141 141
Winners 31 31
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 43/70 43/70
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 31/43 31/43
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 18/27 18/27
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/5
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % – 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Moeller
WWWWWWWWWW
Kovalik
WWW
2026 2025 2024
48 - 22
3 - 5
16-7
I Hard
0-0
32-15
Clay
3-5

Tennis Scores in Bad Waltersdorf Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw