Marco Trungelliti and Mili Poljicak will play each other in the final of the Targu Mures 1 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marco Trungelliti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marco Trungelliti is the pick to win this match.
Marco Trungelliti -> 1.5
Mili Poljicak -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Marco Trungelliti vs. Mili Poljicak

There is no head to head record between Marco Trungelliti and Mili Poljicak since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Marco Trungelliti

Ranked no. 150, Marco got to the final after defeating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-4 6-3, Mika Brunold 7-6(5) 6-4, Franco Agamenone 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Filip Cristian Jianu 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Trungelliti had a good straight sets win against Cristian Jianu (6-4 6-4). During the match, Trungelliti scored 69 points vs Cristian Jianu’s 55. Marco was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Trungelliti managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Marco Trungelliti lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Trungelliti put 79% of his first serves in, winning 69% (31/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Marco broke Cristian Jianu 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Trungelliti has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Trungelliti has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (320-224). 32-15 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Trungelliti has an overall 232-133 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Lyon Challenger where he beat Daniel Merida Aguilar in the final 6-3 4-6 6-3 and the Tulln Challenger where he beat Andrew Paulson in the final 7-5 6-1.

The Argentine has a composed 37-22 win-loss record in 2025, 32-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Targu Mures 1 Challenger

Marco has never competed in this tournament before.

Mili Poljicak

Ranked no. 406, Mili got to the final after defeating Nicholas David Ionel 4-6 6-3 6-4, Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-7(4) 6-2 6-1, Cezar Cretu 6-3 6-2 and Jay Clarke 6-3 7-5.

In the semifinal, Mili had a good straight sets win against Clarke (6-3 7-5). During the match Poljicak scored 69 points vs Clarke’s 59. Poljicak was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Poljicak struck 4 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mili Poljicak lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Poljicak put 64% of his first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Poljicak broke Clarke 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mili has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Croatian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Porec,the Skopje Challenger and the Targu Mures 1 Challenger.

The Croatian has a composed 30-25 win-loss record in 2025, 24-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Trungelliti	Poljicak
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	92	95
Pts	316-275	332-271
Total Points	591	603
Winners	120	135
%Winners	38%	41%

Both Trungelliti and Poljicak played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Marco Trungelliti surrendered 1 set, while Mili Poljicak conceded 2 sets. Trungelliti has played 1 set(s) less than Poljicak (9 vs 10). Therefore, Trungelliti played 3 games less than Poljicak. Trungelliti scored 120 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian blasted 135 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Trungelliti	Poljicak
Aces	17	18
Avg per match	4.3	4.5
1st in	181/278	186/308
%1st in	65%	60%
1st pts	120/181	135/186
%1st pts	66%	73%
2nd pts	59/97	64/122
%2nd pts	61%	52%

Trungelliti fired 17 aces (4.3 per match). Poljicak managed to score 18 aces (4.5 per match). Trungelliti won 66% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Poljicak won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Trungelliti	Poljicak
Won	16	18
Converted	16/37	18/36
% Converted	43%	50%
Conceded	25	22
Saved	16	15
% Saved	64%	68%
Times Broken	9	7

Marco broke his opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Trungelliti lost his serve 9 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The Croatian broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. Poljicak conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Trungelliti
	R1 Zapata Miralles	R2 Brunold	1/4 Agamenone	1/2 Cristian	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	7-65 6-4	6-4 4-6 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	19	23	30	20	92
pts	69-53	75-71	103-96	69-55	316-275
Total points	122	146	199	124	591
Winners	24	31	34	31	120
%Winners	35%	41%	33%	45%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	2	12	17
Double Faults	3	2	5	3	13
1st in	35/50	46/74	55/97	45/57	181/278
% 1st in	70%	62%	57%	79%	65%
1st pts	24/35	31/46	34/55	31/45	120/181
% 1st pts	69%	67%	62%	69%	66%
2nd pts	10/15	18/28	25/42	6/12	59/97
% 2nd pts	67%	64%	60%	50%	61%
Breaks
Won	5	2	5	4	16
Converted	5/11	2/2	5/15	4/9	16/37
Converted %	45%	100%	33%	44%	43%
Conceded	3	7	10	5	25
Saved	1/3	6/7	6/10	3/5	16
Saved %	33%	86%	60%	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	1	4	2	9

Poljicak
	R1 David	R2 Adrian	1/4 Cretu	1/2 Clarke	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-4	6-74 6-2 6-1	6-3 6-2	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	10
Tot Games	29	28	17	21	95
pts	94-80	103-83	66-49	69-59	332-271
Total points	174	186	115	128	603
Winners	37	41	24	33	135
%Winners	39%	40%	36%	48%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	8	2	4	18
Double Faults	2	2	2	0	6
1st in	53/85	53/87	35/66	45/70	186/308
% 1st in	62%	61%	53%	64%	60%
1st pts	37/53	41/53	24/35	33/45	135/186
% 1st pts	70%	77%	69%	73%	73%
2nd pts	22/32	17/34	15/31	10/25	64/122
% 2nd pts	69%	50%	48%	40%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	6	5	4	18
Converted	3/11	6/12	5/7	4/6	18/36
Converted %	27%	50%	71%	67%	50%
Conceded	4	6	6	6	22
Saved	2/4	5/6	4/6	4/6	15
Saved %	50%	83%	67%	67%	67%
Times Broken	2	1	2	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction