Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Alejandro Tabilo will square off in the final of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Tabilo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Tabilo is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Tabilo -> 1.48
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Alejandro Tabilo

There is no head to head record between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Alejandro Tabilo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ranked no. 86, Juan reached the final after beating Yuta Shimizu 6-1 6-4, Petr Bar Biryukov 6-1 2-1 ret., Daniel Evans 4-6 1-2 ret. and Billy Harris 6-2 2-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Juan defeated Harris (6-2 2-6 6-4). During the match, Manuel Cerundolo scored 73 points vs Harris’s 69. Manuel Cerundolo was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Manuel Cerundolo bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Juan Manuel Cerundolo was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Juan broke Harris 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has conceded 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Manuel Cerundolo has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (288-173). 6-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Manuel Cerundolo has a compiled15-18 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Argentine’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Braunschweig Challenger and Gstaad.

The Argentine has an overall 43-24 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

Juan has never competed in this tournament before.

Alejandro Tabilo

Ranked no. 125, Tabilo reached the final after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-6(4) 6-4

, Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-2 6-1, Nishesh Basavareddy 5-7 7-5 6-2 and Christopher O Connell 2-1 ret..

In the semifinal against O Connell, the Chilean had a free pass after O Connell retired on a 2-1 . scoreline.

Alejandro’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Prostejov Challenger and the Guangzhou Challenger.

Alejandro has a composed 14-16 win-loss record in 2025, 8-9 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Manuel Cerundolo	Tabilo
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	11	9
Tot Games	66	73
Pts	217-192	259-198
Total Points	409	457
Winners	89	118
%Winners	41%	46%

Both Manuel Cerundolo and Tabilo played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost 3 sets, while Alejandro Tabilo lost 1 set. Manuel Cerundolo has played 2 sets more than Tabilo (11 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Manuel Cerundolo played 7 games less than Tabilo. Manuel Cerundolo scored 89 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean made 118 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Manuel Cerundolo	Tabilo
Aces	14	24
Avg per match	3.5	6
1st in	124/206	146/232
%1st in	60%	63%
1st pts	89/124	118/146
%1st pts	72%	81%
2nd pts	40/82	48/86
%2nd pts	49%	56%

Manuel Cerundolo struck 14 aces (3.5 per match). Tabilo made 24 aces (6 per match). Manuel Cerundolo won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Manuel Cerundolo	Tabilo
Won	12	10
Converted	12/28	10/18
% Converted	43%	56%
Conceded	17	21
Saved	10	19
% Saved	59%	90%
Times Broken	7	2

Juan broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Manuel Cerundolo conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve twice and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.

Manuel Cerundolo
	R1 Shimizu	R2 Bar Biryukov	1/4 Evans	1/2 Harris	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-1 2-1 ret.	4-6 1-2 ret.	6-2 2-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	17	10	13	26	66
pts	72-57	41-24	31-42	73-69	217-192
Total points	129	65	73	142	409
Winners	30	13	17	29	89
%Winners	42%	32%	55%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	8	4	0	2	14
Double Faults	7	1	4	3	15
1st in	40/67	18/30	30/41	36/68	124/206
% 1st in	60%	60%	73%	53%	60%
1st pts	30/40	13/18	17/30	29/36	89/124
% 1st pts	75%	72%	57%	81%	72%
2nd pts	12/27	8/12	2/11	18/32	40/82
% 2nd pts	44%	67%	18%	56%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	3	2	3	12
Converted	4/11	3/8	2/3	3/6	12/28
Converted %	36%	38%	67%	50%	43%
Conceded	7	1	7	2	17
Saved	6/7	1/1	3/7	0/2	10
Saved %	86%	100%	43%	0%	57%
Times Broken	1	0	4	2	7

Tabilo
	R1 Kotov	R2 Hsiou	1/4 Basavareddy	1/2 O	Total
Score	7-64 6-4	6-2 6-1	5-7 7-5 6-2	2-1 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	3	1	8
Tot Games	23	15	32	3	73
pts	75-64	66-42	106-81	12-11	259-198
Total points	139	108	187	23	457
Winners	32	28	50	8	118
%Winners	43%	42%	47%	67%	46%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	11	1	24
Double Faults	2	3	2	1	8
1st in	39/68	35/55	62/91	10/18	146/232
% 1st in	57%	64%	68%	56%	63%
1st pts	32/39	28/35	50/62	8/10	118/146
% 1st pts	82%	80%	81%	80%	81%
2nd pts	18/29	9/20	18/29	3/8	48/86
% 2nd pts	62%	45%	62%	38%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	5	3	0	10
Converted	2/6	5/8	3/4	0/0	10/18
Converted %	33%	63%	75%	0%	56%
Conceded	6	7	7	1	21
Saved	5/6	7/7	6/7	1/1	19
Saved %	83%	100%	86%	100%	92%
Times Broken	1	0	1	0	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction