Renata Zarazua and Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah will face off in the semifinal of the SP Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL MARIA ESTHER BUENO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Renata Zarazua who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Renata Zarazua is the pick to win this match.
Renata Zarazua -> 1.27
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah -> 3.76

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Renata Zarazua vs. Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah

There is no head to head record between Renata Zarazua and Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Renata Zarazua

Ranked no. 84, the Mexican got to the semifinal after beating Luiza Fullana 6-2 6-1, Berfu Cengiz 6-4 6-4 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 7-6(5) 6-3.

In the quarter, Renata had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (7-6⁵ 6-3). During the match, Zarazua scored 77 points vs Haddad Maia’s 67. Renata was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zarazua scored 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Renata Zarazua lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zarazua put 72% of her first serves in, winning 57% (31/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the 2nd serve. The Mexican broke Haddad Maia 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Renata hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Zarazua has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (341-260). 13-14 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Zarazua has an overall 133-116 record in the last years on hard.

Renata’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the W100 Madrid.

The Mexican has an aggregate 24-26 win-loss record in 2025, 13-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Sao Paulo

The Mexican has never competed in this tournament before.

Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah

Ranked no. 214, Tiantsoa reached the semifinal after beating Ana Sofia Sanchez 6-4 4-6 7-6(7), Victoria Rodriguez 7-5 6-1 and Panna Udvardy 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, Tiantsoa had a good straight sets win against Udvardy (6-2 6-4). During the match Rakotomanga scored 63 points vs Udvardy’s 49. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Rakotomanga scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (26/35) of her 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Tiantsoa broke Udvardy 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Tiantsoa’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the W50 Macon,the W50 Bujumbura and the W100 Biarritz.

Tiantsoa has an aggregate 30-18 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zarazua	Rakotomanga
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	57	70
Pts	214-155	253-212
Total Points	369	465
Winners	81	98
%Winners	38%	39%

Both Zarazua and Rakotomanga played 3 matches. At the moment, Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah lost 1 set while Renata Zarazua hasn’t dropped a set so far. Zarazua has played 1 set(s) less than Rakotomanga (6 vs 7). Therefore, Zarazua played 13 games less than Rakotomanga. Renata scored 81 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Rakotomanga fired 98 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zarazua	Rakotomanga
Aces	5	1
Avg per match	1.7	0.3
1st in	120/180	155/242
%1st in	67%	64%
1st pts	81/120	98/155
%1st pts	68%	63%
2nd pts	40/60	41/87
%2nd pts	67%	47%

Zarazua made 5 aces (1.7 per match). Rakotomanga fired 1 ace (0.3 per match). Zarazua won 68% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Rakotomanga won 63% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zarazua	Rakotomanga
Won	11	18
Converted	11/19	18/36
% Converted	58%	50%
Conceded	11	24
Saved	7	13
% Saved	64%	54%
Times Broken	4	11

The Mexican broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Zarazua conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. The French player broke her opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Zarazua
	R1 Fullana	R2 Cengiz	1/4 Haddad Maia	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-4 6-4	7-65 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	15	20	22	57
pts	65-30	72-58	77-67	214-155
Total points	95	130	144	369
Winners	23	27	31	81
%Winners	35%	38%	40%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	3	2	5
Double Faults	0	3	2	5
1st in	30/44	36/61	54/75	120/180
% 1st in	68%	59%	72%	67%
1st pts	23/30	27/36	31/54	81/120
% 1st pts	77%	75%	57%	68%
2nd pts	13/14	13/25	14/21	40/60
% 2nd pts	93%	52%	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/8	4/7	3/4	11/19
Converted %	50%	57%	75%	58%
Conceded	1	5	5	11
Saved	1/1	3/5	3/5	7
Saved %	100%	60%	60%	73%
Times Broken	0	2	2	4

Rakotomanga
	R1 Sofia Sanchez	R2 Rodriguez	1/4 Udvardy	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 7-67	7-5 6-1	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	33	19	18	70
pts	116-112	74-51	63-49	253-212
Total points	228	125	112	465
Winners	44	28	26	98
%Winners	38%	38%	41%	39%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	1	1
Double Faults	3	2	1	6
1st in	81/117	39/67	35/58	155/242
% 1st in	69%	58%	60%	64%
1st pts	44/81	28/39	26/35	98/155
% 1st pts	54%	72%	74%	63%
2nd pts	15/36	13/28	13/23	41/87
% 2nd pts	42%	46%	57%	47%
Breaks
Won	8	6	4	18
Converted	8/18	6/12	4/6	18/36
Converted %	44%	50%	67%	50%
Conceded	15	6	3	24
Saved	7/15	4/6	2/3	13
Saved %	47%	67%	67%	60%
Times Broken	8	2	1	11

Tennis Scores in Sao Paulo

• Pedro SousaSousa – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Facundo ArguelloArguello (2-6 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Renata ZarazuaZarazua – (0-0) – H2H and prediction