Jay Clarke and Mili Poljicak will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Targu Mures 1 Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jay Clarke who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jay Clarke is the pick to win this match.
Jay Clarke -> 1.84
Mili Poljicak -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Jay Clarke vs. Mili Poljicak
This will be the 4th time that Jay Clarke and Mili Poljicak play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Clarke (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Clarke won 6-2 7-5 in the qualifications in the Oeiras 2 Challenger back in January 2025.
Jay Clarke
46 - 21win/loss
174
153
WWWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 62-30 | 30-9 | 26-9 | 5-6 | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| 2024 | 54-29 | 6-4 | 41-18 | 6-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-19 | 10-12 | 21-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-27 | 11-12 | 3-4 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-28 | 7-7 | 8-14 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 192, Clarke reached the semifinal after defeating Ryan Nijboer 6-3 6-2, Radu Mihai Papoe 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Andrea Picchione 6-4 3-6 7-5.
In the quarter, The Brit defeated Picchione (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match, Clarke scored 101 points vs Picchione’s 94. Clarke was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Clarke managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jay Clarke lost the serve 6 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Clarke put 57% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. Clarke broke Picchione 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Clarke has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (339-234). 22-5 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Clarke has an overall 168-80 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Skopje Challenger where he beat Nerman Fatic in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Brit has an aggregate 46-21 win-loss record in 2025, 22-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Targu Mures 1 Challenger
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
Mili Poljicak
29 - 25win/loss
397
257
LWWWWLLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-26 | 5-3 | 24-20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 63-23 | 12-7 | 48-14 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-26 | 13-8 | 11-14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 14-18 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 406, Mili reached the semifinal after beating Nicholas David Ionel 4-6 6-3 6-4, Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-7(4) 6-2 6-1 and Cezar Cretu 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, The Croatian had a good straight sets win against Cretu (6-3 6-2). During the match Poljicak scored 66 points vs Cretu’s 49. Poljicak was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Poljicak fired 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mili Poljicak lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Poljicak put 53% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Mili broke Cretu 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mili has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Poljicak’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Porec and the Skopje Challenger.
Poljicak has an overall 29-25 win-loss record in 2025, 23-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Clarke | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 74 |
| Pts | 257-229 | 263-212 |
| Total Points | 486 | 475 |
| Winners | 91 | 102 |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Clarke and Poljicak played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jay Clarke conceded 2 sets, while Mili Poljicak lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Clarke and Poljicak have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Clarke played 2 games more than Poljicak. Jay scored 91 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian bagged 102 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Clarke | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 127/223 | 141/238 |
| %1st in | 57% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 91/127 | 102/141 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 45/96 | 54/97 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 56% |
Clarke bagged 5 aces (1.7 per match). Poljicak struck 14 aces (4.7 per match). Clarke won 72% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Poljicak won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Clarke | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 14 |
| Converted | 15/32 | 14/30 |
| % Converted | 47% | 47% |
| Conceded | 19 | 16 |
| Saved | 9 | 11 |
| % Saved | 47% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 5 |
Clarke broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Brit surrendered his serve 10 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded. The Croatian broke his opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. Mili conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Clarke | |||||
| R1 Nijboer |
R2 Mihai |
1/4 Picchione |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 28 | 31 | 76 | |
| pts | 69-50 | 87-85 | 101-94 | 257-229 | |
| Total points | 119 | 172 | 195 | 486 | |
| Winners | 25 | 33 | 33 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% | 33% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 49/88 | 49/86 | 127/223 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 56% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 33/49 | 33/49 | 91/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 67% | 67% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 18/39 | 15/37 | 45/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 46% | 41% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 5/6 | 7/15 | 15/32 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 83% | 47% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/6 | 6/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 50% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Poljicak | |||||
| R1 David |
R2 Adrian |
1/4 Cretu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-74 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 28 | 17 | 74 | |
| pts | 94-80 | 103-83 | 66-49 | 263-212 | |
| Total points | 174 | 186 | 115 | 475 | |
| Winners | 37 | 41 | 24 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 53/85 | 53/87 | 35/66 | 141/238 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 61% | 53% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 41/53 | 24/35 | 102/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 77% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/32 | 17/34 | 15/31 | 54/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 50% | 48% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 6/12 | 5/7 | 14/30 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 50% | 71% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 5/6 | 4/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 83% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWWWWL
LWWWWLLLLL Tennis Scores in Targu Mures 1 Challenger
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Stefan PalosiPalosi (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Mili PoljicakPoljicak – Cezar CretuCretu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Stefan PalosiPalosi (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Mili PoljicakPoljicak – Cezar CretuCretu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
