Christopher O Connell and Alejandro Tabilo will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 9:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Tabilo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Tabilo is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Tabilo -> 1.83
Christopher O Connell -> 1.89

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Christopher O Connell vs. Alejandro Tabilo

This will be the 3^rd time that Christopher O Connell and Alejandro Tabilo clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Tabilo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Tabilo won 6-3 6-4 in the 1^st round in Monte carlo back in 2024.

Christopher O Connell

Ranked no. 89, the Australian reached the semifinal after beating Rigele Te 6-4 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Marat Sharipov 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Sharipov (6-4 6-4). During the match, O Connell scored 54 points vs Sharipov’s 49. O Connell was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, O Connell recorded 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Christopher O Connell was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 93% (27/29) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Christopher was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Sharipov twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

O Connell has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (346-219). 16-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, O Connell has a compiled 152-100 record in the last years on hard.

The Australian has an aggregate 20-23 win-loss record in 2025, 16-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

Alejandro Tabilo

Ranked no. 125, the Chilean got to the semifinal after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-6(4) 6-4, Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-2 6-1 and Nishesh Basavareddy 5-7 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter against Basavareddy, Tabilo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-2). During the match Tabilo scored 106 points vs Basavareddy’s 81. Tabilo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Tabilo recorded 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Tabilo was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (50/62) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tabilo broke Basavareddy 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alejandro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The Chilean’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Prostejov Challenger.

The Chilean has an overall 13-16 win-loss record in 2025, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

Tabilo has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	O Connell	Tabilo
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	68	70
Pts	206-174	247-187
Total Points	380	434
Winners	92	110
%Winners	45%	45%

Both O Connell and Tabilo played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Christopher O Connell dropped 1 set, while Alejandro Tabilo lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, O Connell and Tabilo have played the same amount of sets 7. However, O Connell played 2 games less than Tabilo. O Connell scored 92 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Tabilo fired 110 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	O Connell	Tabilo
Aces	35	23
Avg per match	11.7	7.7
1st in	109/180	136/214
%1st in	61%	64%
1st pts	92/109	110/136
%1st pts	84%	81%
2nd pts	41/71	45/78
%2nd pts	58%	58%

O Connell struck 35 aces (11.7 per match). Tabilo recorded 23 aces (7.7 per match). O Connell won 84% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	O Connell	Tabilo
Won	8	10
Converted	8/17	10/18
% Converted	47%	56%
Conceded	7	20
Saved	4	18
% Saved	57%	90%
Times Broken	3	2

The Australian broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Christopher surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Tabilo broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve twice and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.

O Connell
	R1 Te	R2 Eubanks	1/4 Sharipov	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	20	28	20	68
pts	66-47	86-78	54-49	206-174
Total points	113	164	103	380
Winners	22	43	27	92
%Winners	33%	50%	50%	45%
SERVE
Aces	6	22	7	35
Double Faults	1	1	4	6
1st in	28/48	52/76	29/56	109/180
% 1st in	58%	68%	52%	61%
1st pts	22/28	43/52	27/29	92/109
% 1st pts	79%	83%	93%	84%
2nd pts	13/20	14/24	14/27	41/71
% 2nd pts	65%	58%	52%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	2	2	8
Converted	4/10	2/5	2/2	8/17
Converted %	40%	40%	100%	47%
Conceded	2	5	0	7
Saved	0/2	4/5	0/0	4
Saved %	0%	80%	–	27%
Times Broken	2	1	0	3

Tabilo
	R1 Kotov	R2 Hsiou	1/4 Basavareddy	Total
Score	7-64 6-4	6-2 6-1	5-7 7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	23	15	32	70
pts	75-64	66-42	106-81	247-187
Total points	139	108	187	434
Winners	32	28	50	110
%Winners	43%	42%	47%	45%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	11	23
Double Faults	2	3	2	7
1st in	39/68	35/55	62/91	136/214
% 1st in	57%	64%	68%	64%
1st pts	32/39	28/35	50/62	110/136
% 1st pts	82%	80%	81%	81%
2nd pts	18/29	9/20	18/29	45/78
% 2nd pts	62%	45%	62%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	5	3	10
Converted	2/6	5/8	3/4	10/18
Converted %	33%	63%	75%	56%
Conceded	6	7	7	20
Saved	5/6	7/7	6/7	18
Saved %	83%	100%	86%	90%
Times Broken	1	0	1	2

Tennis Scores in Guangzhou Challenger

• Billy HarrisHarris – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-2 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Marat SharipovSharipov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Daniel EvansEvans (4-6 1-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Kaito Uesugi/Seita WatanabeUesugi/Seita Watanabe – Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart Stevens (6-2 3-6 10-3) – See score progression
• Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell – Marat SharipovSharipov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Billy HarrisHarris – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-2 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Daniel EvansEvans (4-6 1-2 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Billy HarrisHarris – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction