Stan Wawrinka and Michael Geerts will clash against each other in the quarter of the Rennes Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on LE LIBERTE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stan Wawrinka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Stan Wawrinka is the pick to win this match.
Stan Wawrinka -> 1.158
Michael Geerts -> 4.75

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Prediction and head to head Stan Wawrinka vs. Michael Geerts

There is no head to head record between Stan Wawrinka and Michael Geerts since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Stan Wawrinka

Stan Wawrinka

18 - 18win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
3-3
Clay
11-12
Rank
156
High
3
LWLWLWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-23 7-4 11-12 7-7 0-0 0-0
2024 12-20 1-5 5-10 5-4 1-1 0-0
2023 29-24 8-6 11-8 8-9 2-1 0-0
2022 10-15 0-3 2-5 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 3-3 3-2 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 149, the Swiss got to the quarter after defeating Kenny de Schepper 6-4 6-4 and Dan Added 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Stan had a good straight sets win against Added (6-3 6-4). During the match, Wawrinka scored 61 points vs Added’s 43. Wawrinka was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Wawrinka scored 10 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Stan Wawrinka was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 73% (19/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Wawrinka was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Added twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Swiss hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Wawrinka has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (215-153). 2-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Wawrinka has a compiled 50-40 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The Swiss’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Aix En Provence Challenger.

Stan has a compiled 17-18 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rennes Challenger

Stan has never competed in this tournament before.

Rennes Challenger
Wawrinka's Record

Michael Geerts

Michael Geerts

29 - 28win/loss

Hard
16-10
I Hard
3-4
Clay
10-14
Rank
367
High
212
WLWWLWLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-34 22-15 10-14 4-5 0-0 0-0
2024 50-37 18-11 10-12 17-13 0-1 5-0
2023 32-39 13-10 13-19 6-8 0-1 0-1
2022 42-37 5-8 24-14 11-13 0-0 2-2
2021 35-28 13-7 14-14 8-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 324, the Belgian reached the quarter after defeating Robin Catry 6-4 3-6 6-4 and Federico Cina 6-2 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round, Michael had a good straight sets win against Cina (6-2 7-64). During the match Geerts scored 67 points vs Cina’s 53. The Belgian was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Geerts scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Michael Geerts lost the serve once. Furthermore, Geerts put 70% of his first serves in, winning 81% (34/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Michael was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Cina 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belgian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Michael’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Loule and the Abidjan 2 Challenger.

The Belgian has an overall 29-27 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rennes Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

Rennes Challenger
Geerts's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Wawrinka
M.Geerts
2h:29
2h:29
Time on court​
3h:32
3h:32
1h:11
1h:11
Last match​
1h:25
1h:25
2
2
Match played
2
2
39
39
Games Played​
50
50
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
129
129
Total points​
160
160
64.5
64.5
Avg point​
80
80
51
51
Winners
72
72
25.5
25.5
Avg Winners​
36
36
40%
40%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
2
2
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
1
1
4
4
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
51/59
51/59
1st won total​
72/89
72/89
!
86%
86%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
35/50
35/50
2nd won total​
25/45
25/45
!
70%
70%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
5/11
5/11
2/4.5
2/4.5
Avg BP won
2.5/5.5
2.5/5.5
44%
44%
Won
45%
45%
2
2
Conceded
3
3
1
1
Avg Conceded
1.5
1.5
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
1
1
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Wawrinka Geerts
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 39 50
Pts 129-94 160-140
Total Points 223 300
Winners 51 72
%Winners 40% 45%

Both Wawrinka and Geerts played 2 matches. At the moment, Michael Geerts surrendered 1 set while Stan Wawrinka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Wawrinka has played 1 set(s) less than Geerts (4 vs 5). Therefore, Wawrinka played 11 games less than Geerts. Wawrinka scored 51 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Michael recorded 72 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Wawrinka Geerts
Aces 13 2
Avg per match 6.5 1
1st in 59/109 89/134
%1st in 54% 66%
1st pts 51/59 72/89
%1st pts 86% 81%
2nd pts 35/50 25/45
%2nd pts 70% 56%

Wawrinka fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Geerts made 2 aces (1 per match). Wawrinka won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Geerts won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Wawrinka Geerts
Won 4 5
Converted 4/9 5/11
% Converted 44% 45%
Conceded 2 3
Saved 2 1
% Saved 100% 33%
Times Broken 0 2

The Swiss broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Stan had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Michael broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Wawrinka
R1
de Schepper		 R2
Added		 Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 19 39
pts 68-51 61-43 129-94
Total points 119 104 223
Winners 27 24 51
%Winners 40% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 10 13
Double Faults 4 0 4
1st in 31/55 28/54 59/109
% 1st in 56% 52% 54%
1st pts 27/31 24/28 51/59
% 1st pts 87% 86% 86%
2nd pts 16/24 19/26 35/50
% 2nd pts 67% 73% 70%
Breaks
Won 2 2 4
Converted 2/7 2/2 4/9
Converted % 29% 100% 44%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 1/1 1/1 2
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Geerts
R1
Catry		 R2
Cina		 Total
Score 6-4 3-6 6-4 6-2 7-64
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 21 50
pts 93-87 67-53 160-140
Total points 180 120 300
Winners 38 34 72
%Winners 41% 51% 45%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 47/74 42/60 89/134
% 1st in 64% 70% 66%
1st pts 38/47 34/42 72/89
% 1st pts 81% 81% 81%
2nd pts 16/27 9/18 25/45
% 2nd pts 59% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/8 3/3 5/11
Converted % 25% 100% 45%
Conceded 2 1 3
Saved 1/2 0/1 1
Saved % 50% 0% 25%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Upcoming matches in the draw

Wawrinka
More Stats
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Geerts

Click for FULL STATS