Hugo Gaston and Eliakim Coulibaly will square off in the quarter of the Rennes Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on LE LIBERTE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.36
Eliakim Coulibaly -> 2.94

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Eliakim Coulibaly

There is no head to head record between Hugo Gaston and Eliakim Coulibaly since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 128, Hugo reached the quarter after beating Christoph Negritu 6-2 7-5 and Enzo Couacaud 6-3 1-0 ret..

In the 2^nd round against Couacaud, Gaston had a free pass after Couacaud retired on a 6-3 1-0 . scoreline.

Gaston has good match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (258-210). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaston has a compiled 65-56 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Gaston has an aggregate 17-27 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rennes Challenger

Eliakim Coulibaly

Ranked no. 289, Eliakim got to the quarter after defeating Leo Raquillet 6-4 6-7(0) 6-2 and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 7-6(6) 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Coulibaly had a good straight sets win against Gueymard Wayenburg (7-6⁶ 6-3). During the match Coulibaly scored 77 points vs Gueymard Wayenburg’s 61. The Ivorian was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Coulibaly struck 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Eliakim Coulibaly was quite effective on serve to win 85% (41/48) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ivorian broke Gueymard Wayenburg once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Eliakim has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Abidjan 2 Challenger where he beat Aziz Dougaz in the final 6-7(3) 6-4 6-4.

The Ivorian has an overall 23-16 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rennes Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaston	Coulibaly
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	30	53
Pts	113-75	173-150
Total Points	188	323
Winners	42	85
%Winners	37%	49%

Both Gaston and Coulibaly played 2 matches. At the moment, Eliakim Coulibaly lost 1 set while Hugo Gaston hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Gaston and Coulibaly have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Gaston played 23 games less than Coulibaly. Hugo scored 42 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Coulibaly scored 85 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaston	Coulibaly
Aces	8	22
Avg per match	4	11
1st in	47/79	101/158
%1st in	59%	64%
1st pts	42/47	85/101
%1st pts	89%	84%
2nd pts	22/32	30/57
%2nd pts	69%	53%

Gaston scored 8 aces (4 per match). Coulibaly fired 22 aces (11 per match). Gaston won 89% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Coulibaly won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaston	Coulibaly
Won	5	5
Converted	5/12	5/15
% Converted	42%	33%
Conceded	2	8
Saved	2	7
% Saved	100%	88%
Times Broken	0	1

Hugo broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The French player pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Ivorian broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Ivorian conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
	R1 Negritu	R2 Couacaud	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	6-3 1-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	20	10	30
pts	77-52	36-23	113-75
Total points	129	59	188
Winners	24	18	42
%Winners	31%	50%	37%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	8
Double Faults	0	3	3
1st in	27/50	20/29	47/79
% 1st in	54%	69%	59%
1st pts	24/27	18/20	42/47
% 1st pts	89%	90%	89%
2nd pts	17/23	5/9	22/32
% 2nd pts	74%	56%	69%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/9	2/3	5/12
Converted %	33%	67%	42%
Conceded	2	0	2
Saved	2/2	0/0	2
Saved %	100%	–	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Coulibaly
	R1 Raquillet	R2 Gueymard	Total
Score	6-4 6-70 6-2	7-66 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	31	22	53
pts	96-89	77-61	173-150
Total points	185	138	323
Winners	44	41	85
%Winners	46%	53%	49%
SERVE
Aces	15	7	22
Double Faults	3	5	8
1st in	53/88	48/70	101/158
% 1st in	60%	69%	64%
1st pts	44/53	41/48	85/101
% 1st pts	83%	85%	84%
2nd pts	17/35	13/22	30/57
% 2nd pts	49%	59%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	1	5
Converted	4/10	1/5	5/15
Converted %	40%	20%	33%
Conceded	7	1	8
Saved	6/7	1/1	7
Saved %	86%	100%	93%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Michael GeertsGeerts – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Harold MayotMayot – Clement ChidekhChidekh (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cannon KingsleyKingsley – Titouan DroguetDroguet (0-0) – H2H and prediction