Jozef Kovalik and Michael Vrbensky will fight against each other in the 1^st round of the Szczecin Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.57
Michael Vrbensky -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. Michael Vrbensky

There is no head to head record between Jozef Kovalik and Michael Vrbensky since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Jozef Kovalik

Ranked no. 552, Kovalik reached the 1^st round after defeating Bartosz Surudo 6-2 6-1 and Marvin Moeller 6-2 6-3.

In the qualifications, Kovalik had a good straight sets win against Moeller (6-2 6-3). During the match, Kovalik scored 63 points vs Moeller’s 45. Kovalik was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kovalik bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jozef Kovalik was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jozef broke Moeller 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Slovakian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Kovalik has winning record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (293-256). 8-12 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovalik has a compiled 239-169 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The Slovakian has an aggregate 11-20 win-loss record in 2025, 8-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Szczecin Challenger

Michael Vrbensky

Ranked no. 630, the Czech reached the 1^st round after beating David Pichler 6-2 6-2 and Jakub Nicod 4-3 ret..

In the qualifications against Nicod, Vrbensky had a free pass after Nicod retired on a 4-3 . scoreline.

Michael’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Opatija.

Vrbensky has a compiled 19-24 win-loss record in 2025, 18-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Szczecin Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kovalik	Vrbensky
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	32	23
Pts	119-78	88-58
Total Points	197	146
Winners	45	36
%Winners	38%	41%

Both Kovalik and Vrbensky played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kovalik and Vrbensky have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Kovalik played 9 games more than Vrbensky. Jozef scored 45 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Vrbensky fired 36 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kovalik	Vrbensky
Aces	8	3
Avg per match	4	1.5
1st in	53/88	42/74
%1st in	60%	57%
1st pts	45/53	36/42
%1st pts	85%	86%
2nd pts	20/35	17/32
%2nd pts	57%	53%

Kovalik bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Vrbensky struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kovalik won 85% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Vrbensky won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kovalik	Vrbensky
Won	9	5
Converted	9/14	5/11
% Converted	64%	45%
Conceded	3	8
Saved	2	7
% Saved	67%	88%
Times Broken	1	1

Kovalik broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Jozef conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Michael broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Michael conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Kovalik
	Q1 Surudo	Q3 Moeller	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	17	32
pts	56-33	63-45	119-78
Total points	89	108	197
Winners	19	26	45
%Winners	34%	41%	38%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	8
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	21/37	32/51	53/88
% 1st in	57%	63%	60%
1st pts	19/21	26/32	45/53
% 1st pts	90%	81%	85%
2nd pts	10/16	10/19	20/35
% 2nd pts	63%	53%	57%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/7	4/7	9/14
Converted %	71%	57%	64%
Conceded	0	3	3
Saved	0/0	2/3	2
Saved %	–	67%	34%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Vrbensky
	Q1 Pichler	Q3 Nicod	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	4-3 ret.
Tot Set	2	1	3
Tot Games	16	7	23
pts	63-38	25-20	88-58
Total points	101	45	146
Winners	25	11	36
%Winners	40%	44%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	0	3
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	29/50	13/24	42/74
% 1st in	58%	54%	57%
1st pts	25/29	11/13	36/42
% 1st pts	86%	85%	86%
2nd pts	13/21	4/11	17/32
% 2nd pts	62%	36%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	1	5
Converted	4/7	1/4	5/11
Converted %	57%	25%	45%
Conceded	4	4	8
Saved	4/4	3/4	7
Saved %	100%	75%	88%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Szczecin Challenger

• Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Elias YmerYmer (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Dorian JuszczakJuszczak (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hynek BartonBarton – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (5-7 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Diego DeduraDedura – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Elias YmerYmer (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Alan WaznyWazny (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexey VatutinVatutin – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ivan GakhovGakhov – Henri SquireSquire (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – Lorenzo BocchiBocchi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Michael VrbenskyVrbensky – Jozef KovalikKovalik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction