Marvin Moeller and Jozef Kovalik will play each other in the qualifications of the Szczecin Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:30 am on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.84
Marvin Moeller -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Marvin Moeller vs. Jozef Kovalik

There is no head to head record between Marvin Moeller and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Marvin Moeller

Ranked no. 428, the German got to the qualifications after defeating Kacper Knitter 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Knitter (6-4 6-4). During the match, Moeller scored 74 points vs Knitter’s 64. The German was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moeller recorded 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Marvin Moeller lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Moeller put 66% of his first serves in, winning 55% (24/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Marvin broke Knitter 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Moeller has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (222-130). 26-12 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moeller has an aggregate111-69 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

The German’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Oberhaching,M25 Brussels and M15 Amstelveen.

The German has a composed 36-17 win-loss record in 2025, 26-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Szczecin Challenger

Jozef Kovalik

Ranked no. 577, Kovalik got to the qualifications after defeating Bartosz Surudo 6-2 6-1

.

In the qualifications, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Surudo (6-2 6-1). During the match Kovalik scored 56 points vs Surudo’s 33. The Slovakian was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Kovalik blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jozef Kovalik was extremely efficient on serve to win 90% (19/21) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jozef broke Surudo 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Kovalik has a compiled 10-20 win-loss record in 2025, 7-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moeller	Kovalik
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	15
Pts	74-64	56-33
Total Points	138	89
Winners	24	19
%Winners	32%	34%

Both Moeller and Kovalik played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Moeller and Kovalik have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Moeller played 5 games more than Kovalik. Marvin scored 24 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Slovakian scored 19 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moeller	Kovalik
Aces	3	3
Avg per match	3	3
1st in	44/67	21/37
%1st in	66%	57%
1st pts	24/44	19/21
%1st pts	55%	90%
2nd pts	12/23	10/16
%2nd pts	52%	63%

Moeller struck 3 aces . Kovalik recorded 3 aces . Moeller won 55% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 90% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moeller	Kovalik
Won	6	5
Converted	6/12	5/7
% Converted	50%	71%
Conceded	5	0
Saved	1	0
% Saved	20%	0%
Times Broken	4	0

Marvin broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Moeller conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. Kovalik broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Jozef was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Moeller
	Q1 Knitter	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	74-64	74-64
Total points	138	138
Winners	24	24
%Winners	32%	32%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	44/67	44/67
% 1st in	66%	66%
1st pts	24/44	24/44
% 1st pts	55%	55%
2nd pts	12/23	12/23
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/12	6/12
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	1/5	1
Saved %	20%	20%
Times Broken	4	4

Kovalik
	Q1 Surudo	Total
Score	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	56-33	56-33
Total points	89	89
Winners	19	19
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	21/37	21/37
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	19/21	19/21
% 1st pts	90%	90%
2nd pts	10/16	10/16
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

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