Yasutaka Uchiyama and Giulio Zeppieri will clash against each other in the final of the Shanghai Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Giulio Zeppieri who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Giulio Zeppieri is the pick to win this match.
Giulio Zeppieri -> 1.5
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Yasutaka Uchiyama vs. Giulio Zeppieri

There is no head to head record between Yasutaka Uchiyama and Giulio Zeppieri since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Ranked no. 225, Uchiyama got to the final after beating Arthur Gea 7-5 6-4, Ilia Simakin 6-0 6-4, Rio Noguchi 5-7 6-2 6-4 and Bernard Tomic 6-3 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, Uchiyama had a good straight sets win against Tomic (6-3 7-6³). During the match, Uchiyama scored 76 points vs Tomic’s 63. Yasutaka was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Uchiyama blasted 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Yasutaka Uchiyama conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Uchiyama put 69% of his first serves in, winning 88% (42/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Uchiyama broke Tomic once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Uchiyama has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Uchiyama has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (253-231). 15-14 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Uchiyama has a compiled 192-148 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Japanese’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Zhangjiagang Challenger and the Shanghai Challenger.

The Japanese has an aggregate 19-20 win-loss record in 2025, 15-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Giulio Zeppieri

Ranked no. 260, Giulio reached the final after defeating Gauthier Onclin 6-4 6-4, Petr Bar Biryukov 6-4 6-1, Filip Peliwo 6-1 6-3 and Yu Hsiou Hsu 7-6(5) 6-3.

In the semifinal, Giulio had a good straight sets win against Hsiou Hsu (7-6⁵ 6-3). During the match Zeppieri scored 75 points vs Hsiou Hsu’s 61. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Zeppieri struck 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Giulio Zeppieri was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (33/39) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Zeppieri broke Hsiou Hsu once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zeppieri hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Giulio’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Koblenz Challenger and the Shanghai Challenger.

Giulio has an overall 31-19 win-loss record in 2025, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Uchiyama	Zeppieri
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	8
Tot Games	90	75
Pts	311-250	264-201
Total Points	561	465
Winners	155	121
%Winners	50%	46%

Both Uchiyama and Zeppieri played 4 matches. At the moment, Yasutaka Uchiyama lost 1 set while Giulio Zeppieri hasn’t conceded a set so far. Uchiyama has played 1 set more than Zeppieri (9 vs 8). Therefore, Uchiyama played 15 games more than Zeppieri. The Japanese scored 155 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Zeppieri fired 121 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Uchiyama	Zeppieri
Aces	39	29
Avg per match	9.8	7.3
1st in	192/282	151/215
%1st in	68%	70%
1st pts	155/192	121/151
%1st pts	81%	80%
2nd pts	47/90	38/64
%2nd pts	52%	59%

Uchiyama fired 39 aces (9.8 per match). Zeppieri recorded 29 aces (7.3 per match). Uchiyama won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Zeppieri won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Uchiyama	Zeppieri
Won	11	12
Converted	11/33	12/33
% Converted	33%	36%
Conceded	13	7
Saved	11	5
% Saved	85%	71%
Times Broken	2	2

Uchiyama broke his opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Uchiyama surrendered his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. Zeppieri broke his opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. Giulio conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Uchiyama
	R1 Gea	R2 Simakin	1/4 Noguchi	1/2 Tomic	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-0 6-4	5-7 6-2 6-4	6-3 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	22	16	30	22	90
pts	73-65	60-36	102-86	76-63	311-250
Total points	138	96	188	139	561
Winners	42	26	45	42	155
%Winners	58%	43%	44%	55%	50%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	13	12	39
Double Faults	1	0	1	1	3
1st in	52/77	33/44	59/91	48/70	192/282
% 1st in	68%	75%	65%	69%	68%
1st pts	42/52	26/33	45/59	42/48	155/192
% 1st pts	81%	79%	76%	88%	81%
2nd pts	12/25	7/11	18/32	10/22	47/90
% 2nd pts	48%	64%	56%	45%	52%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	1	11
Converted	2/4	4/9	4/13	1/7	11/33
Converted %	50%	44%	31%	14%	33%
Conceded	8	0	4	1	13
Saved	8/8	0/0	2/4	1/1	11
Saved %	100%	–	50%	100%	63%
Times Broken	0	0	2	0	2

Zeppieri
	R1 Onclin	R2 Bar	1/4 Peliwo	1/2 Hsiou	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-1	6-1 6-3	7-65 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	20	17	16	22	75
pts	66-58	63-42	60-40	75-61	264-201
Total points	124	105	100	136	465
Winners	36	30	22	33	121
%Winners	55%	48%	37%	44%	46%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	6	11	29
Double Faults	0	1	1	1	3
1st in	51/68	35/44	26/41	39/62	151/215
% 1st in	75%	80%	63%	63%	70%
1st pts	36/51	30/35	22/26	33/39	121/151
% 1st pts	71%	86%	85%	85%	80%
2nd pts	7/17	6/9	10/15	15/23	38/64
% 2nd pts	41%	67%	67%	65%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	3	4	1	12
Converted	4/8	3/12	4/6	1/7	12/33
Converted %	50%	25%	67%	14%	36%
Conceded	5	0	0	2	7
Saved	3/5	0/0	0/0	2/2	5
Saved %	60%	–	–	100%	40%
Times Broken	2	0	0	0	2

Tennis Scores in Shanghai Challenger

• Pruchya Isarow/Niki Kaliyanda PoonachaIsarow/Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha – Jason Jung/Reese StalderJung/Reese Stalder (6-4 6-7² 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (0-0) – H2H and prediction