Luciano Darderi and Andrea Pellegrino will square off in the final of the Genova Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.26
Andrea Pellegrino -> 3.55

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Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Andrea Pellegrino

This will be the 2^nd time that Luciano Darderi and Andrea Pellegrino fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Darderi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Darderi won 6-3 6-3 in the 2^nd round in the Perugia Challenger back in 2024.

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 34, Luciano got to the final after beating Federico Arnaboldi 6-2 6-4, Dmitry Popko 6-3 6-3, Thiago Moura Monteiro 7-5 6-2 and Tom Gentzsch 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the semifinal against Gentzsch, Luciano recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match, Darderi scored 98 points vs Gentzsch’s 97. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Darderi recorded 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Luciano Darderi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Darderi put 53% of his first serves in, winning 67% (36/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (28/48) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gentzsch 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Darderi has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (215-139). 29-11 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Darderi has an overall181-98 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Marrakech where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he beat Jesper De Jong in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in Umag where he overcame Carlos Taberner in the final 6-3 6-3.

Luciano has an aggregate 35-23 win-loss record in 2025, 29-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Genova Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Andrea Pellegrino

Ranked no. 141, Andrea reached the final after beating Remy Bertola 6-4 7-6(4), Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo 6-3 6-0, Andrea Picchione 6-3 6-2

and Stefano Travaglia 7-6(6) 3-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Andrea defeated Travaglia (7-6⁶ 3-6 6-4). During the match Pellegrino scored 109 points vs Travaglia’s 107. Andrea was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Pellegrino scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 7 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 65% of his first serves in, winning 64% (44/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (14/37) on the 2nd serve. Andrea broke Travaglia 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pellegrino has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Perugia Challenger where he defeated Nerman Fatic in the final 6-2 6-4.

Andrea has an overall 35-18 win-loss record in 2025, 35-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Genova Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Darderi	Pellegrino
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	86	87
Pts	308-267	311-255
Total Points	575	566
Winners	92	113
%Winners	30%	36%

Both Darderi and Pellegrino played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luciano Darderi conceded 1 set, while Andrea Pellegrino lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Darderi and Pellegrino have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Darderi played 1 game less than Pellegrino. Darderi scored 92 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Pellegrino recorded 113 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Darderi	Pellegrino
Aces	18	9
Avg per match	4.5	2.3
1st in	135/284	166/274
%1st in	48%	61%
1st pts	92/135	113/166
%1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	82/149	54/108
%2nd pts	55%	50%

Darderi recorded 18 aces (4.5 per match). Pellegrino managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Darderi won 68% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Darderi	Pellegrino
Won	18	19
Converted	18/36	19/41
% Converted	50%	46%
Conceded	26	26
Saved	18	14
% Saved	69%	54%
Times Broken	8	12

Luciano broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. Darderi dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Pellegrino broke his opponents 19 times with a 46% conversion rate. Pellegrino conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.

Darderi
	R1 Arnaboldi	R2 Popko	1/4 Moura Monteiro	1/2 Gentzsch	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-3 6-3	7-5 6-2	3-6 7-65 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	18	18	20	30	86
pts	82-69	56-44	72-57	98-97	308-267
Total points	151	100	129	195	575
Winners	17	14	25	36	92
%Winners	21%	25%	35%	37%	30%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	8	3	18
Double Faults	1	0	4	5	10
1st in	24/64	23/48	34/70	54/102	135/284
% 1st in	38%	48%	49%	53%	48%
1st pts	17/24	14/23	25/34	36/54	92/135
% 1st pts	71%	61%	74%	67%	68%
2nd pts	23/40	12/25	19/36	28/48	82/149
% 2nd pts	58%	48%	53%	58%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	6	4	4	18
Converted	4/15	6/7	4/8	4/6	18/36
Converted %	27%	86%	50%	67%	50%
Conceded	6	3	9	8	26
Saved	5/6	0/3	8/9	5/8	18
Saved %	83%	0%	89%	63%	59%
Times Broken	1	3	1	3	8

Pellegrino
	R1 Bertola	R2 Sanchez-Izquierdo	1/4 Picchione	1/2 Travaglia	Total
Score	6-4 7-64	6-3 6-0	6-3 6-2	7-66 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	23	15	17	32	87
pts	81-72	57-29	64-47	109-107	311-255
Total points	153	86	111	216	566
Winners	26	16	27	44	113
%Winners	32%	28%	42%	40%	36%
SERVE
Aces	4	1	2	2	9
Double Faults	2	2	0	3	7
1st in	39/72	21/42	37/54	69/106	166/274
% 1st in	54%	50%	69%	65%	61%
1st pts	26/39	16/21	27/37	44/69	113/166
% 1st pts	67%	76%	73%	64%	68%
2nd pts	17/33	11/21	12/17	14/37	54/108
% 2nd pts	52%	52%	71%	38%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	6	3	6	19
Converted	4/9	6/10	3/10	6/12	19/41
Converted %	44%	60%	30%	50%	46%
Conceded	7	3	4	12	26
Saved	4/7	1/3	4/4	5/12	14
Saved %	57%	33%	100%	42%	58%
Times Broken	3	2	0	7	12

Upcoming matches in the draw