Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova will square off in the final of the U.S. Open for the 10^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.43
Amanda Anisimova -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova

This will be the 10^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova play each other. The head to head is 6-3 for Anisimova (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Anisimova won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the semifinal in at the Wimbledon back in July 2025.

Highlights Amanda Anisimova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Wimbledon 10-July-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian got to the final after beating Rebeka Masarova 7-5 6-1, Polina Kudermetova 7-6(4) 6-2, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 7-6(2), Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-4, Marketa Vondrousova w/o and Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Pegula, Aryna recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 90 points vs Pegula’s 88. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka made 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was pretty effective on serve to win 72% (46/64) of her 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Belarussian broke Pegula 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=sabalenka

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aryna has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of her matches (429-178). 31-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled 258-97 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Aryna has a compiled 55-10 win-loss record in 2025, 31-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Amanda Anisimova

Ranked no. 9, the American got to the final after beating Kimberly Birrell 6-3 6-2, Maya Joint 7-6(2) 6-2, Jaqueline Cristian 6-4 4-6 6-2, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-0 6-3, Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-3 and Naomi Osaka 6-7(4) 7-6(3) 6-3.

In the semifinal against Osaka, Amanda recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁴ 7-6³ 6-3). During the match Anisimova scored 122 points vs Osaka’s 112. Amanda was extremely aggressive to blast 49 winners.

About the serving games, Anisimova scored 7 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Amanda Anisimova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Anisimova put 61% of her first serves in, winning 67% (49/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (22/47) on the 2nd serve. Amanda broke Osaka 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anisimova has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where she beat Jelena Ostapenko in the final 6-4 6-3.

Anisimova has an aggregate 39-15 win-loss record in 2025, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2020. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Anisimova
Match played	5	6
Tot Set	11	14
Tot Games	108	135
Pts	379-317	482-386
Total Points	696	868
Winners	171	190
%Winners	45%	39%

Sabalenka played 5 matches while Anisimova competed in 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Amanda Anisimova surrendered 2 sets. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Anisimova (11 vs 14). Therefore, Sabalenka played 27 games less than Anisimova. Sabalenka scored 171 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Anisimova fired 190 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Anisimova
Aces	24	35
Avg per match	4.8	5.8
1st in	222/360	269/412
%1st in	62%	65%
1st pts	171/222	190/269
%1st pts	77%	71%
2nd pts	74/138	73/143
%2nd pts	54%	51%

Sabalenka managed to score 24 aces (4.8 per match). Anisimova managed to score 35 aces (5.8 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Anisimova won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Anisimova
Won	14	29
Converted	14/29	29/70
% Converted	48%	41%
Conceded	26	30
Saved	22	16
% Saved	85%	53%
Times Broken	4	14

Sabalenka broke her opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded. Anisimova broke her opponents 29 times with a 41% conversion rate. Amanda conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R1 Masarova	R2 Kudermetova	R3 Annie	R4 Bucsa	1/4 Vondrousova	1/2 Pegula	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	7-64 6-2	6-3 7-62	6-1 6-4	w/o	4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	–	3	11
Tot Games	19	21	22	17	–	29	108
pts	66-47	80-68	77-65	66-49	–	90-88	379-317
Total points	113	148	142	115	–	178	696
Winners	23	35	41	26	–	46	171
%Winners	35%	44%	53%	39%	–	51%	45%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	6	3	–	8	24
Double Faults	2	5	4	2	–	4	17
1st in	30/57	45/75	52/82	31/50	–	64/96	222/360
% 1st in	53%	60%	63%	62%	–	67%	62%
1st pts	23/30	35/45	41/52	26/31	–	46/64	171/222
% 1st pts	77%	78%	79%	84%	–	72%	77%
2nd pts	17/27	14/30	15/30	11/19	–	17/32	74/138
% 2nd pts	63%	47%	50%	58%	–	53%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	3	1	3	–	3	14
Converted	4/5	3/5	1/3	3/9	–	3/7	14/29
Converted %	80%	60%	33%	33%	–	43%	48%
Conceded	6	9	4	0	–	7	26
Saved	5/6	8/9	4/4	0/0	–	5/7	22
Saved %	83%	89%	100%	–	–	71%	57%
Times Broken	1	1	0	0	–	2	4

Anisimova
	R1 Birrell	R2 Joint	R3 Cristian	R4 Haddad Maia	1/4 Swiatek	1/2 Osaka	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	7-62 6-2	6-4 4-6 6-2	6-0 6-3	6-4 6-3	6-74 7-63 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	3	14
Tot Games	17	21	28	15	19	35	135
pts	60-38	70-54	99-89	64-39	67-54	122-112	482-386
Total points	98	124	188	103	121	234	868
Winners	24	33	36	24	24	49	190
%Winners	40%	47%	36%	38%	36%	40%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	6	5	3	7	35
Double Faults	3	2	4	1	2	6	18
1st in	28/46	45/61	56/81	33/43	34/61	73/120	269/412
% 1st in	61%	74%	69%	77%	56%	61%	65%
1st pts	24/28	33/45	36/56	24/33	24/34	49/73	190/269
% 1st pts	86%	73%	64%	73%	71%	67%	71%
2nd pts	10/18	10/16	11/25	6/10	14/27	22/47	73/143
% 2nd pts	56%	63%	44%	60%	52%	47%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	3	6	6	4	6	29
Converted	4/8	3/7	6/15	6/18	4/9	6/13	29/70
Converted %	50%	43%	40%	33%	44%	46%	41%
Conceded	2	2	8	3	4	11	30
Saved	1/2	1/2	4/8	2/3	2/4	6/11	16
Saved %	50%	50%	50%	67%	50%	55%	54%
Times Broken	1	1	4	1	2	5	14

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Katerina Siniakova/Taylor TownsendSiniakova/Taylor Townsend (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Dennis NovakNovak (3-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (3-6) – H2H and prediction