Bernard Tomic and Yasutaka Uchiyama will face off in the semifinal of the Shanghai Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Bernard Tomic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Bernard Tomic is the pick to win this match.
Bernard Tomic -> 1.6
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 2.22

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Prediction and head to head Bernard Tomic vs. Yasutaka Uchiyama

This will be the 2nd time that Bernard Tomic and Yasutaka Uchiyama square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Uchiyama (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Uchiyama won 6-4 2-6 7-6(5) in the 1st round in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger back in 2024.

Bernard Tomic

Bernard Tomic

33 - 25win/loss

Hard
22-16
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-7
Grass
5-2
Rank
182
High
17
LWWLWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 42-32 29-22 6-7 2-1 5-2 0-0
2024 50-29 34-19 12-5 4-4 0-1 0-0
2023 41-27 35-19 4-4 2-4 0-0 0-0
2022 26-12 24-7 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 9-12 4-4 2-4 2-3 1-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 168, the Australian reached the semifinal after defeating Yaojie Zeng 6-4 6-1, Tsung-Hao Huang 6-3 6-1 and Omar Jasika 6-4 7-6(2).

In the quarter, Bernard had a good straight sets win against Jasika (6-4 7-62). During the match, Tomic scored 78 points vs Jasika’s 69. Bernard was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tomic made 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Bernard Tomic was quite effective on serve to win 71% (35/49) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Australian broke Jasika 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

Tomic has good match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (250-199). 22-16 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tomic has an aggregate 164-108 record in the last years on hard.

The Australian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Lexington Challenger and the Barranquilla Challenger.

Bernard has a composed 33-25 win-loss record in 2025, 22-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Tomic has never competed in this tournament before.

Shanghai Challenger
Tomic's Record

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Yasutaka Uchiyama

18 - 20win/loss

Hard
14-14
I Hard
1-1
Clay
0-1
Grass
3-4
Rank
330
High
78
WLLWLLLLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-28 18-21 0-1 1-2 3-4 0-0
2024 34-25 26-18 1-1 6-5 1-1 0-0
2023 29-24 27-22 0-0 2-1 0-1 0-0
2022 23-21 16-13 0-0 7-8 0-0 0-0
2021 12-26 9-13 0-3 1-6 2-4 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 225, the Japanese got to the semifinal after beating Arthur Gea 7-5 6-4, Ilia Simakin 6-0 6-4 and Rio Noguchi 5-7 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter against Noguchi, Yasutaka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-4). During the match Uchiyama scored 102 points vs Noguchi’s 86. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

About the serving games, Uchiyama struck 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Yasutaka Uchiyama was very effective on serve to win 76% (45/59) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Uchiyama broke Noguchi 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Yasutaka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Uchiyama’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Zhangjiagang Challenger.

Yasutaka has a composed 18-20 win-loss record in 2025, 14-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shanghai Challenger
Uchiyama's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Tomic
Y.Uchiyama
4h:33
4h:33
Time on court​
5h:28
5h:28
!
2h:02
2h:02
Last match​
!
2h:28
2h:28
3
3
Match played
3
3
56
56
Games Played​
68
68
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
197
197
Total points​
235
235
65.7
65.7
Avg point​
78.3
78.3
84
84
Winners
113
113
28
28
Avg Winners​
37.7
37.7
43%
43%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
27
27
1.7
1.7
Avg Aces
9
9
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
84/111
84/111
1st won total​
113/144
113/144
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
41/71
41/71
2nd won total​
37/68
37/68
58%
58%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
11/16
11/16
BP won
10/26
10/26
3.7/5.3
3.7/5.3
Avg BP won
3.3/8.7
3.3/8.7
!
69%
69%
Won
38%
38%
18
18
Conceded
12
12
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
3
3
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
15
15
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tomic Uchiyama
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 56 68
Pts 197-140 235-187
Total Points 337 422
Winners 84 113
%Winners 43% 48%

Both Tomic and Uchiyama played 3 matches. At the moment, Yasutaka Uchiyama lost 1 set while Bernard Tomic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Tomic has played 1 set(s) less than Uchiyama (6 vs 7). Therefore, Tomic played 12 games less than Uchiyama. Tomic scored 84 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Yasutaka managed to score 113 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tomic Uchiyama
Aces 5 27
Avg per match 1.7 9
1st in 111/182 144/212
%1st in 61% 68%
1st pts 84/111 113/144
%1st pts 76% 78%
2nd pts 41/71 37/68
%2nd pts 58% 54%

Tomic struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Uchiyama scored 27 aces (9 per match). Tomic won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Uchiyama won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tomic Uchiyama
Won 11 10
Converted 11/16 10/26
% Converted 69% 38%
Conceded 18 12
Saved 15 10
% Saved 83% 83%
Times Broken 3 2

Bernard broke his opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Uchiyama broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Uchiyama conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Tomic
R1
Zeng		 R2
Huang		 1/4
Jasika		 Total
Score 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-1 6-4 7-62
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 16 23 56
pts 62-36 57-35 78-69 197-140
Total points 98 92 147 337
Winners 27 22 35 84
%Winners 44% 39% 45% 43%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 3 5
Double Faults 2 1 0 3
1st in 33/52 29/48 49/82 111/182
% 1st in 63% 60% 60% 61%
1st pts 27/33 22/29 35/49 84/111
% 1st pts 82% 76% 71% 76%
2nd pts 13/19 11/19 17/33 41/71
% 2nd pts 68% 58% 52% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 5 3 11
Converted 3/6 5/6 3/4 11/16
Converted % 50% 83% 75% 69%
Conceded 2 4 12 18
Saved 2/2 3/4 10/12 15
Saved % 100% 75% 83% 86%
Times Broken 0 1 2 3
Uchiyama
R1
Gea		 R2
Simakin		 1/4
Noguchi		 Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-0 6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 22 16 30 68
pts 73-65 60-36 102-86 235-187
Total points 138 96 188 422
Winners 42 26 45 113
%Winners 58% 43% 44% 48%
SERVE
Aces 6 8 13 27
Double Faults 1 0 1 2
1st in 52/77 33/44 59/91 144/212
% 1st in 68% 75% 65% 68%
1st pts 42/52 26/33 45/59 113/144
% 1st pts 81% 79% 76% 78%
2nd pts 12/25 7/11 18/32 37/68
% 2nd pts 48% 64% 56% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 4 4 10
Converted 2/4 4/9 4/13 10/26
Converted % 50% 44% 31% 38%
Conceded 8 0 4 12
Saved 8/8 0/0 2/4 10
Saved % 100% – 50% 50%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2

Tennis Scores in Shanghai Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Tomic
More Stats
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Uchiyama

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