[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Jannik Sinner’s draw vs Auger-Aliassime, Alcaraz to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Jannik Sinner may need to overcome Felix Auger-Aliassime, Carlos Alcaraz to conquer the title in the U.S. Open.

Jannik Sinner Stats info

Jannik Sinner is 2 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Jannik has defeated Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-1 6-2, Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3, Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-1 6-1 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-1 6-4 6-2 to reach the semifinal where he will face Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jannik Sinner’s projected draw andhisprojected opposition at the U.S. Open. Jannik has a weak record (6-12) against the likely opposition.

R1 – Vit Kopriva (89) – 6-1 6-1 6-2
R2 – Alexei Popyrin (36) – 6-3 6-2 6-2
R3 – Denis Shapovalov (29) – 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3
R4 – Alexander Bublik (24) – 6-1 6-1 6-1
1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti (10) – 6-1 6-4 6-2
1/2 – Felix Auger-Aliassime (27) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 5-10
or Novak Djokovic (7) – H2H 6-4
Sinner
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Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Felix Auger-Aliassime’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Felix Auger-Aliassime

50 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
5
LWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-25 24-10 3-6 17-5 6-4 0-0
2024 32-25 6-10 17-8 9-5 0-2 0-0
2023 23-19 13-13 1-3 9-2 0-1 0-0
2022 60-27 14-9 11-7 31-7 4-4 0-0
2021 38-24 19-10 4-6 5-5 10-3 0-0
2020 23-19 8-8 1-3 14-8 0-0 0-0
2019 38-25 17-11 13-9 0-2 8-3 0-0
2018 41-28 18-9 21-14 2-5 0-0 0-0

Felix Auger-Aliassime has a 34-19 record in 2025, 21-8 on hard. During the previous 11 years, the Canadian has a 128-91 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Felix will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 5 matches winning streak.

His best result of this current season was conquering the tournament in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1, and in Montpellier where he defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

Last year at the U.S. Open Auger-Aliassime lost to Jakub Mensik in the 1st round 6-2 6-4 6-2.

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This would be the 4th time that Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 10-5 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 59-6 record in 2025, 21-4 on hard. During the last 8 years, Alcaraz has a 118-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best result of the current season was winning the tournament in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open Carlos capitulated to Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This match would represent the 16th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz play each other. The head to head is 10-5 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 5-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Jannik Sinner may face Novak Djokovic. Their H2H record is 6-4 for Jannik Sinner.