Luciano Darderi and Thiago Moura Monteiro will fight against each other in the quarter of the Genova Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.25
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 3.64

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Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro

This will be the 3^rd time that Luciano Darderi and Thiago Moura Monteiro play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Darderi and Moura Monteiro (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Moura Monteiro won 6-2 6-1 in the semifinal in the Campinas Challenger back in 2023.

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 34, Darderi reached the quarter after beating Federico Arnaboldi 6-2 6-4 and Dmitry Popko 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Darderi had a good straight sets win against Popko (6-3 6-3). During the match, Darderi scored 56 points vs Popko’s 44. Luciano was extremely aggressive to blast 14 winners.

Regarding the service games, Darderi scored 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Luciano Darderi lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Darderi put 48% of his first serves in, winning 61% (14/23) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Darderi broke Popko 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Darderi has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (213-139). 27-11 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Darderi has an aggregate179-98 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Marrakech where he overcame Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he defeated Jesper De Jong in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in Umag where he overcame Carlos Taberner in the final 6-3 6-3.

Darderi has a composed 33-23 win-loss record in 2025, 27-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Genova Challenger

Darderi has never competed in this tournament before.

Thiago Moura Monteiro

Ranked no. 169, Moura Monteiro got to the quarter after defeating Francesco Passaro 7-6(3) 6-3 and Enrico Dalla Valle 6-4 7-6(1).

In the 2^nd round, Moura Monteiro had a good straight sets win against Dalla Valle (6-4 7-6¹

). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 68 points vs Dalla Valle’s 55. Moura Monteiro was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Moura Monteiro fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 57% of his first serves in, winning 86% (30/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Moura Monteiro broke Dalla Valle 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brazilian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Thiago’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Santiago Challenger and the Asuncion Challenger.

The Brazilian has an aggregate 23-23 win-loss record in 2025, 20-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Genova Challenger

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Darderi	Moura Monteiro
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	36	45
Pts	138-113	141-111
Total Points	251	252
Winners	31	61
%Winners	22%	43%

Both Darderi and Moura Monteiro played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Darderi and Moura Monteiro have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Darderi played 9 games less than Moura Monteiro. Luciano scored 31 winners (22% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian blasted 61 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Darderi	Moura Monteiro
Aces	7	8
Avg per match	3.5	4
1st in	47/112	72/126
%1st in	42%	57%
1st pts	31/47	61/72
%1st pts	66%	85%
2nd pts	35/65	34/54
%2nd pts	54%	63%

Darderi fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Moura Monteiro fired 8 aces (4 per match). Darderi won 66% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Moura Monteiro won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Darderi	Moura Monteiro
Won	10	4
Converted	10/22	4/8
% Converted	45%	50%
Conceded	9	5
Saved	5	3
% Saved	56%	60%
Times Broken	4	2

Darderi broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Darderi conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Moura Monteiro broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Moura Monteiro conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Darderi
	R1 Arnaboldi	R2 Popko	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	18	36
pts	82-69	56-44	138-113
Total points	151	100	251
Winners	17	14	31
%Winners	21%	25%	22%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	7
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	24/64	23/48	47/112
% 1st in	38%	48%	42%
1st pts	17/24	14/23	31/47
% 1st pts	71%	61%	66%
2nd pts	23/40	12/25	35/65
% 2nd pts	58%	48%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/15	6/7	10/22
Converted %	27%	86%	45%
Conceded	6	3	9
Saved	5/6	0/3	5
Saved %	83%	0%	42%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Moura Monteiro
	R1 Passaro	R2 Dalla Valle	Total
Score	7-63 6-3	6-4 7-61
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	23	45
pts	73-56	68-55	141-111
Total points	129	123	252
Winners	31	30	61
%Winners	42%	44%	43%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	8
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	37/65	35/61	72/126
% 1st in	57%	57%	57%
1st pts	31/37	30/35	61/72
% 1st pts	84%	86%	85%
2nd pts	21/28	13/26	34/54
% 2nd pts	75%	50%	63%
Breaks
Won	1	3	4
Converted	1/4	3/4	4/8
Converted %	25%	75%	50%
Conceded	3	2	5
Saved	3/3	0/2	3
Saved %	100%	0%	50%
Times Broken	0	2	2

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