Ignacio Buse and Daniel Merida Aguilar will face off in the semifinal of the Seville Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ignacio Buse who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ignacio Buse is the pick to win this match.
Ignacio Buse -> 1.43
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 2.66

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Prediction and head to head Ignacio Buse vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar

This will be the 2^nd time that Ignacio Buse and Daniel Merida Aguilar clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Buse (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Buse won 6-4 6-3 in the semifinal in M25 Vic back in 2024.

Ignacio Buse

Ranked no. 135, Buse got to the semifinal after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-6(3) 6-3, Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 6-1 and Carlos Taberner 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, Ignacio had a good straight sets win against Taberner (6-3 6-2). During the match, Buse scored 72 points vs Taberner’s 53. The Peruvian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Buse fired 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Ignacio Buse lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 63% of his first serves in, winning 53% (19/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the 2nd serve. The Peruvian broke Taberner 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Buse hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Buse has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (133-85). 28-14 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Buse has a compiled112-68 record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Guy Den Ouden in the final 7-5 7-5.

The Peruvian has a compiled 35-22 win-loss record in 2025, 28-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Seville Challenger

Buse has never competed in this tournament before.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 170, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after defeating Christoph Negritu 3-6 6-3 6-2, Jaime Faria 4-6 7-5 6-4 and David Jorda Sanchis 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Jorda Sanchis (6-4 6-4). During the match Merida scored 64 points vs Jorda Sanchis’s 53. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Merida recorded 2 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Daniel Merida Aguilar was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Merida broke Jorda Sanchis 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniel has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he defeated Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.

Daniel has a composed 41-16 win-loss record in 2025, 29-10 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in the Seville Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Buse	Merida
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	8
Tot Games	55	78
Pts	213-157	261-236
Total Points	370	497
Winners	70	120
%Winners	33%	46%

Both Buse and Merida played 3 matches. At the moment, Daniel Merida Aguilar lost 2 sets while Ignacio Buse hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Buse has played 2 set(s) less than Merida (6 vs 8). Therefore, Buse played 23 games less than Merida. Ignacio scored 70 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 120 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Buse	Merida
Aces	6	4
Avg per match	2	1.3
1st in	103/177	180/246
%1st in	58%	73%
1st pts	70/103	120/180
%1st pts	68%	67%
2nd pts	41/74	36/66
%2nd pts	55%	55%

Buse fired 6 aces (2 per match). Merida struck 4 aces (1.3 per match). Buse won 68% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Merida won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Buse	Merida
Won	14	12
Converted	14/28	12/25
% Converted	50%	48%
Conceded	18	19
Saved	12	12
% Saved	67%	63%
Times Broken	6	7

The Peruvian broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Buse conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Buse
	R1 Zapata Miralles	R2 Llamas	1/4 Taberner	Total
Score	7-63 6-3	6-3 6-1	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	22	16	17	55
pts	84-72	57-32	72-53	213-157
Total points	156	89	125	370
Winners	33	18	19	70
%Winners	39%	32%	26%	33%
SERVE
Aces	4	0	2	6
Double Faults	3	1	0	4
1st in	44/80	23/40	36/57	103/177
% 1st in	55%	58%	63%	58%
1st pts	33/44	18/23	19/36	70/103
% 1st pts	75%	78%	53%	68%
2nd pts	14/36	11/17	16/21	41/74
% 2nd pts	39%	65%	76%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	14
Converted	4/8	5/7	5/13	14/28
Converted %	50%	71%	38%	50%
Conceded	10	1	7	18
Saved	7/10	0/1	5/7	12
Saved %	70%	0%	71%	47%
Times Broken	3	1	2	6

Merida
	R1 Negritu	R2 Faria	1/4 Jorda Sanchis	Total
Score	3-6 6-3 6-2	4-6 7-5 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	26	32	20	78
pts	84-75	113-108	64-53	261-236
Total points	159	221	117	497
Winners	45	46	29	120
%Winners	54%	41%	45%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2	4
Double Faults	3	1	0	4
1st in	61/81	81/111	38/54	180/246
% 1st in	75%	73%	70%	73%
1st pts	45/61	46/81	29/38	120/180
% 1st pts	74%	57%	76%	67%
2nd pts	9/20	17/30	10/16	36/66
% 2nd pts	45%	57%	63%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	6	3	12
Converted	3/7	6/11	3/7	12/25
Converted %	43%	55%	43%	48%
Conceded	2	14	3	19
Saved	1/2	9/14	2/3	12
Saved %	50%	64%	67%	60%
Times Broken	1	5	1	7

Tennis Scores in Seville Challenger

• Ignacio BuseBuse – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Dusan LajovicLajovic – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Dusan LajovicLajovic – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-3 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – (0-0) – H2H and prediction