Rio Noguchi and Yasutaka Uchiyama will face off in the quarter of the Shanghai Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on COURT 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yasutaka Uchiyama who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yasutaka Uchiyama is the pick to win this match.
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 1.82
Rio Noguchi -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Yasutaka Uchiyama

This will be the 2^nd time that Rio Noguchi and Yasutaka Uchiyama face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Noguchi won 6-2 1-0 ret. in the quarter in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger back in 2024.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 219, the Japanese got to the quarter after beating Yosuke Watanuki 6-4 7-5 and Oliver Crawford 6-4 1-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Japanese defeated Crawford (6-4 1-6 6-4). During the match, Noguchi scored 87 points vs Crawford’s 82. Noguchi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Noguchi recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 66% of his first serves in, winning 80% (39/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Crawford 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Noguchi has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Noguchi has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (362-249). 33-21 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Noguchi has a compiled 257-161 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he overcame Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

The Japanese has an overall 33-21 win-loss record in 2025, 33-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Ranked no. 225, Yasutaka got to the quarter after defeating Arthur Gea 7-5 6-4 and Ilia Simakin 6-0 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Yasutaka had a good straight sets win against Simakin (6-0 6-4). During the match Uchiyama scored 60 points vs Simakin’s 36. Yasutaka was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Uchiyama fired 8 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yasutaka Uchiyama was quite effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Uchiyama broke Simakin 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Uchiyama hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Uchiyama’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Zhangjiagang Challenger.

Yasutaka has a compiled 17-20 win-loss record in 2025, 13-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2019. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Noguchi	Uchiyama
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	49	38
Pts	158-144	133-101
Total Points	302	234
Winners	80	68
%Winners	51%	51%

Both Noguchi and Uchiyama played 2 matches. At the moment, Rio Noguchi conceded 1 set while Yasutaka Uchiyama hasn’t dropped a set so far. Noguchi has played 1 set more than Uchiyama (5 vs 4). Therefore, Noguchi played 11 games more than Uchiyama. Noguchi scored 80 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese scored 68 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Noguchi	Uchiyama
Aces	10	14
Avg per match	5	7
1st in	106/149	85/121
%1st in	71%	70%
1st pts	80/106	68/85
%1st pts	75%	80%
2nd pts	21/43	19/36
%2nd pts	49%	53%

Noguchi struck 10 aces (5 per match). Uchiyama fired 14 aces (7 per match). Noguchi won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Uchiyama won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Noguchi	Uchiyama
Won	5	6
Converted	5/8	6/13
% Converted	63%	46%
Conceded	12	8
Saved	9	8
% Saved	75%	100%
Times Broken	3	0

Rio broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Rio surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Uchiyama broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Uchiyama was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.

Noguchi
	R1 Watanuki	R2 Crawford	Total
Score	6-4 7-5	6-4 1-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	22	27	49
pts	71-62	87-82	158-144
Total points	133	169	302
Winners	41	39	80
%Winners	58%	45%	51%
SERVE
Aces	2	8	10
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	57/75	49/74	106/149
% 1st in	76%	66%	71%
1st pts	41/57	39/49	80/106
% 1st pts	72%	80%	75%
2nd pts	11/18	10/25	21/43
% 2nd pts	61%	40%	49%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/2	3/6	5/8
Converted %	100%	50%	63%
Conceded	6	6	12
Saved	6/6	3/6	9
Saved %	100%	50%	75%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Uchiyama
	R1 Gea	R2 Simakin	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-0 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	16	38
pts	73-65	60-36	133-101
Total points	138	96	234
Winners	42	26	68
%Winners	58%	43%	51%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	14
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	52/77	33/44	85/121
% 1st in	68%	75%	70%
1st pts	42/52	26/33	68/85
% 1st pts	81%	79%	80%
2nd pts	12/25	7/11	19/36
% 2nd pts	48%	64%	53%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/4	4/9	6/13
Converted %	50%	44%	46%
Conceded	8	0	8
Saved	8/8	0/0	8
Saved %	100%	–	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Filip PeliwoPeliwo – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Omar JasikaJasika – Bernard TomicTomic (1-1) – H2H and prediction