Calvin Hemery and Luca Potenza will square off in the quarter of the Istanbul Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on HILTON COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Calvin Hemery who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Calvin Hemery is the pick to win this match.
Calvin Hemery -> 1.59
Luca Potenza -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Calvin Hemery vs. Luca Potenza

There is no head to head record between Calvin Hemery and Luca Potenza since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Calvin Hemery

Ranked no. 185, the French player reached the quarter after defeating Peter Makk 6-4 6-4 and Mert Naci Turker 6-2 3-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Hemery defeated Naci Turker (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Hemery scored 106 points vs Naci Turker’s 96. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Hemery recorded 8 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Calvin Hemery lost the serve once and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Hemery put 62% of his first serves in, winning 73% (45/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Naci Turker 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hemery has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Hemery has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (321-232). 3-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Hemery has an aggregate 80-55 record in the last years on hard.

The French player best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Brazzaville Challenger and the Troyes Challenger.

Calvin has an aggregate 27-26 win-loss record in 2025, 3-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Istanbul Challenger

Luca Potenza

Ranked no. 479, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Manas Manoj Dhamne 7-6(3) 6-4, Arda Azkara 6-2 7-6(4), Koray Kirci 7-5 7-5 and Norbert Gombos 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Luca had a good straight sets win against Gombos (7-5 6-3). During the match Potenza scored 73 points vs Gombos’s 60. Luca was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Potenza bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luca Potenza lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Potenza put 63% of his first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Potenza broke Gombos 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Potenza started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Potenza’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.

Potenza has an aggregate 45-23 win-loss record in 2025, 42-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Hemery	Potenza
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	8
Tot Games	46	89
Pts	176-155	322-275
Total Points	331	597
Winners	78	122
%Winners	44%	38%

Hemery played 2 matches while Potenza competed in 4 matches. Potenza started his run from the qualifications while Hemery had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Calvin Hemery surrendered 1 set while Luca Potenza hasn’t conceded a set so far. Hemery has played 3 set(s) less than Potenza (5 vs 8). Therefore, Hemery played 43 games less than Potenza. Hemery scored 78 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 122 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Hemery	Potenza
Aces	15	12
Avg per match	7.5	3
1st in	104/163	177/283
%1st in	64%	63%
1st pts	78/104	122/177
%1st pts	75%	69%
2nd pts	31/59	61/106
%2nd pts	53%	58%

Hemery fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Potenza managed to score 12 aces (3 per match). Hemery won 75% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Hemery	Potenza
Won	5	16
Converted	5/16	16/42
% Converted	31%	38%
Conceded	16	26
Saved	15	17
% Saved	94%	65%
Times Broken	1	9

Hemery broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Hemery surrendered his serve once and he saved 94% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 16 times with a 38% conversion rate. Potenza conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Hemery
	R1 Makk	R2 Naci Turker	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-2 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	26	46
pts	70-59	106-96	176-155
Total points	129	202	331
Winners	33	45	78
%Winners	47%	42%	44%
SERVE
Aces	7	8	15
Double Faults	3	8	11
1st in	42/63	62/100	104/163
% 1st in	67%	62%	64%
1st pts	33/42	45/62	78/104
% 1st pts	79%	73%	75%
2nd pts	12/21	19/38	31/59
% 2nd pts	57%	50%	53%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/7	3/9	5/16
Converted %	29%	33%	31%
Conceded	4	12	16
Saved	4/4	11/12	15
Saved %	100%	92%	96%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Potenza
	Q1 Manoj	Q3 Azkara	R1 Kirci	R2 Gombos	Total
Score	7-63 6-4	6-2 7-64	7-5 7-5	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	23	21	24	21	89
pts	85-76	85-72	79-67	73-60	322-275
Total points	161	157	146	133	597
Winners	29	39	28	26	122
%Winners	34%	46%	35%	36%	38%
SERVE
Aces	6	1	2	3	12
Double Faults	1	2	2	1	6
1st in	44/72	52/79	41/69	40/63	177/283
% 1st in	61%	66%	59%	63%	63%
1st pts	29/44	39/52	28/41	26/40	122/177
% 1st pts	66%	75%	68%	65%	69%
2nd pts	18/28	14/27	16/28	13/23	61/106
% 2nd pts	64%	52%	57%	57%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	3	5	5	16
Converted	3/10	3/10	5/14	5/8	16/42
Converted %	30%	30%	36%	63%	38%
Conceded	6	9	6	5	26
Saved	4/6	8/9	3/6	2/5	17
Saved %	67%	89%	50%	40%	123%
Times Broken	2	1	3	3	9

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo GrenierGrenier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Luca PotenzaPotenza – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-0) – H2H and prediction